New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds Preview 7/17/2008

MLB Betting Preview 
New York Mets (51-44) at Cincinnati Reds (46-50)  
Thursday, 7:10 pm Eastern 
 
SBG Global Opening Line: Mets  – 145 ,  Total  8 Over -120 

The New York Mets were one team that did not want the All-Star break to come.  They had won nine in a row before the break and will try and make it 10 straight as they face Cincinnati on Thursday.  New York has not won 10 straight since 1991. They have a good chance to get the win on Thursday as Johan Santana takes the mound. “The break,” Mets manager Jerry Manuel said, “is just a pause, not the end of anything.”  New York is just a half game back of the Phillies for first place in the National League East. SBG Global reports that early MLB betting has the public taking Mets on the Road.

Santana is 8-7 with a 2.84 ERA this season. He has not had much support this season even though his ERA is excellent. Santana is 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA in three career games against the Reds.  Earlier this season he allowed three runs and 10 hits in six innings in a 12-6 win.

The Reds send Johnny Cueto to the mound as they open a season-high 10 game homestand on Thursday.  Cueto is 7-9 with a 4.67 this season.  He gave up six runs and eight hits against the Mets in an 8-3 loss back in May.

Here are the MLB betting stats for Thursday’s game.  The Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite. The Mets are 10-1 in their last 11 overall. The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 road games. The Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a road favorite. The Mets are 1-5 in Santana’s last 6 starts as a favorite. The Mets are 0-4 in Santana’s last 4 road starts. The Mets are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between the two teams.  
 
SBG Global Current Line: Mets  – 141 ,  Total  8.5 Under -115 

The Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the National League East. The Reds are 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Reds are 7-3 in their last 10 overall. The Reds are 5-2 in Cueto’s last 7 home starts.

The Over is 4-0-1 in the Mets last 5 vs. the National League Central. The Under is 9-1-1 in the Mets last 11 games as a favorite. The Under is 5-1 in the Mets last 6 overall. The Over is 5-1-1 in the Mets last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Mets last 6 games as a road favorite. The Under is 6-1-3 in Santana’s last 10 starts overall. The Under is 4-1 in Santana’s last 5 starts as a road favorite.

The Over is 5-2 in the Reds last 7 overall. The Under is 5-0 in Cueto’s last 5 starts overall. The Under is 8-2 in Cueto’s last 10 home starts. The Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Cincinnati between the two teams.

Pick: Take the red hot Mets, 4units