NFC Championship Betting Preview – New York Giants vs San Francisco 49ers Pick
Pointspread: San Francisco -2.5
Total line: 43.5
It will be a four seed verse a two seed in this season’s NFC Championship Game as the streaky New York Giants have earned the right to face the upstart San Francisco 49ers this Sunday afternoon at Candlestick Park for a trip to Super Bowl XLVI. The kick-off is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on FOX.
New York was all but left for dead after a demoralizing 23-10 loss to Washington in Week 15 as a 5.5-point home favorite, but Head Coach Tom Coughlin has his road warriors in position for another improbable trip to the Super Bowl as a result of a four-game winning streak. The Giants shocked the No.1-seed Green Bay Packers 37-20 as eight-point road underdogs in Sunday’s NFC Divisional Round to move to 6-3 both straight-up and against the spread on this road this season. The total has gone ‘over’ in six of the nine games.
Behind Eli Manning’s 607 yards passing and six touchdown throws in two playoff games combined with a suburb defensive effort that shutdown both Atlanta and the Packers, New York comes into this matchup playing at a very high level.
Alex Smith and an unexpected offensive outburst are the reason that San Francisco is in this game after a last-minute touchdown pass to tight end Vernon Davis capped-off a 36-32 come-from behind victory over New Orleans in the other NFC Divisional matchup. The 49ers covered as 3.5-point underdogs to remain a perfect 8-0-1 ATS at home this season. The total has gone 5-4 in the nine games.
Smith finished the game with 299 yards passing and three touchdowns while completing just 57.1 percent of his throws. Davis ended the day with seven receptions for 180 yards while Frank Gore carried the ball 13 times for 89 yards. Look for a return to a more balanced attack in this matchup, although the 49ers certainly proved they could move the ball through the air when they had to.
The Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games in the postseason and 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the NFC. The total has stayed ‘under’ in seven of their last nine playoff games.
The 49ers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games against the NFC. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of their last five home games in the postseason.
Head-to-head in this series, New York is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, but the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven games and the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four. The total has gone ‘over’ in three of the last five games.
The 49ers came away with a 27-20 victory as four-point home favorites in Week 10 of the regular season, but stick with the hottest hand this time around as the Giants find a way to once again win on the road.
The Free NFL Pick: New York 27 San Francisco 24
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