When you bet on the NFL, you should know all about the numbers. Numbers for stats, numbers for trends, numbers for betting lines, numbers for ‘totals’ – You should know it all. Here at Bang the Book, we are set to talk about the football betting lines for Divisional Round weekend. Here are the most important numbers that you need to remember for the week!
0: The number of games that WR/KR Trindon Holliday has lost this year. He was undefeated with the Houston Texans when he was cut, and then he was picked up by the Denver Broncos, who have since not lost a game. Holliday hasn’t been a total waste though, as he has been big for Denver in the kick return game this year. Still, it’s a quirky little stat, and Holliday has a chance to finish out his year personally at 19-0, which would make him the most perfect player in the history of the NFL.
0: The number of playoff wins that Head Coach Mike Smith and QB Matt Ryan have in their playoff careers thus far for the Atlanta Falcons. What we will say about the teams that the Falcons have lost to is that all three teams that logged wins against them went on to the Super Bowl, and the Green Bay Packers and New York Giants both won the whole thing.
2: The number of rookie quarterbacks to have won two playoff games in the same postseason. QB Mark Sanchez was the second to do so. QB Joe Flacco was the first. Will QB Russell Wilson be the third? He is the only one of the three rookie quarterbacks to ultimately go on and win last week in his first playoff game. QB Andrew Luck and QB Robert Griffin III were drafted No. 1 and No. 2 in the NFL Draft, but it is Wilson, who was drafted rounds and rounds later that is still playing this year in the postseason.
2.5: The number of sacks that LB Clay Matthews had against the San Francisco 49ers when these teams met in Week 1. Of course, at that point, the quarterback was QB Alex Smith, not QB Colin Kaepernick. The good news is that Kaepernick has a level of mobility to try to get around Matthews and the rest of the Green Bay defenders. The bad news is that he tends to hold the ball a bit longer than Smith does, and he takes a little while longer to make decisions.
4: The number of touchdown passes that QB Tom Brady threw against the Houston Texans when these teams met five weeks ago. Brady threw for three touchdowns four times this year, but he didn’t get to that four TD mark against any other team than Houston. He also showed the most emotions of the season against Houston as well. If the Brady Bunch plays with that type of emotion and is on that much of a high this week, the Texans are in a heck of a lot of trouble.
5: The number of consecutive games that RB Marshawn Lynch has rushed for at least 100 yards. That includes last week when Lynch rumbled for over 130 yards against a very underrated Washington Redskins defense in the first round of the playoffs. Lynch is quite possibly the most bruising back that the NFL has to offer right now, and he certainly fits the bill for the backs that are all still playing in the playoffs. It’s going to be tough for the Atlanta Falcons to stop Beast Mode on Sunday.
6: The number of covers – without a defeat – that the Seattle Seahawks have had this year against teams that have made the playoffs. In that mix includes two covers against the San Francisco 49ers, one against the Green Bay Packers, and one against the New England Patriots. What that doesn’t include are great wins against teams like the Chicago Bears that didn’t even get into the playoffs.
7: The number of times that RB Ray Rice had fumbled in his entire career before last week. However, he put the ball on the ground twice last week and ended up kind of getting benched at times for the surging RB Bernard Pierce. Pierce now has three straight great games, and he could have a bit impact on this game against the Denver Broncos. Should Rice and Pierce carry the load, this is a game that could be won. If not though, this is a game in which the team is probably going to get blown out.
9.5: The number of points that the Houston Texans and the Baltimore Ravens are getting this weekend. That’s why it has really seemed like a foregone conclusion for weeks that the two favored teams in these games, the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos will be playing against each other in the AFC Championship Game. Any other result would be shocking.
45: The number of times that the Denver Broncos ran the ball against the Baltimore Ravens when they met back on December 16th. That’s a tremendous amount of times to run the football against a team that historically, prior to this year, was insanely difficult to run the ball against. Perhaps this one will be different with LB Ray Lewis back in the lineup. Lewis had a remarkable first game back in the lineup after his triceps injury in the first round of the playoffs against the Indianapolis Colts, but there is a lot more work to do to keep the Ravens in the second season.
45: The number of rushing yards that the Green Bay Packers had against the San Francisco 49ers when these two teams met in Week 1. Denver had 45 carries. Green Bay had 45 yards. This has been a microcosm of the Packers’ season this year. They just haven’t been able to run the ball no matter who the running back has been. Against the 49ers though, this is going to be a whole heck of a lot harder. They dominated defensively the first time around, and odds have it, they’re going to do so once again.
47.5: The number of points that the Houston Texans and the New England Patriots are featuring in their ‘total’ this week. That’s the highest number of the weekend, though that isn’t by all that many points. In fact, all of the three ‘totals’ are separated by just a field goal of each other. The lowest ‘total’ of the week? The 44.5 between the Green Bay Packers and the San Francisco 49ers.
98: The number of yards that DB Chris Harris took a QB Joe Flacco interception for a touchdown when the Denver Broncos and the Baltimore Ravens played against each other earlier this season. The pick was the one that really changed the game. Baltimore was on the Denver goal line right at the end of the first half, and it could have cut a 10-0 deficit to just 10-3 or 10-7, but instead, Flacco threw the pick six that ultimately any chance the Ravens had of coming back to win the game.
100: The minimum number of rushing yards that RB Arian Foster has had in each of his first three playoff games in his career. While we’re talking about numbers, the number of backs that have rushed for triple digits in their first three playoff games? One. Foster. The truth of the matter is that Foster is the only man that really has a chance to get the Texans into the AFC Championship Game. He didn’t even get to half of that against the New England Patriots the first time around when these teams met at Foxboro.
200: The number of yards that QB Matt Ryan has never thrown for in a game in the playoffs in his three tries. Ryan keeps getting worse and worse as his playoff games go on, and last year’s debacle against the New York Giants was the worst. He didn’t get a single point offensively on the board in that one, and the only points in the 24-2 defeat came in the form of a safety. He has to do better than that in this one against the Seattle Seahawks, but that might be tough, knowing just how well this team has played over the course of the last several weeks.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.