When you bet on the NFL, you should know all about the numbers. Numbers for stats, numbers for trends, numbers for betting lines, numbers for ‘totals’ – You should know it all. Here at Bang the Book, we are set to talk about the football betting lines for Week 3. Here are the most important numbers that you need to remember for the week!
0: The number of times that the San Diego Chargers have beaten the Atlanta Falcons at home. Ever. That’s right. The Chargers, no matter whether we’re talking about Qualcomm Stadium or Jack Murphy Stadium, have never beaten Atlanta at home. In fact, there is only one win in this series, and that was way back in 1988. The Falcons are 5-0 SU and 3-2 ATS in this series since that point, including going 4-0 ATS all-time here in San Diego. Atlanta is an underdog in this one by a field goal, but it is the Chargers that clearly have their work cut out for them on Sunday.
0: The number of rushing yards that RB Darren Sproles has this year. It’s also the number of rushing attempts that Sproles has. The truth of the matter is that the 0-2 Saints really need to get some sort of a ground game going, and though Sproles isn’t the type of man that is going to carry the ball 15 times per game, but just the threat that he could possibly end up with six or seven carries to change the pace of the offense would be great. It’s not that points haven’t gotten on the board with the Saints, but there has to be a rushing game, and Sproles really is going to have to be a part of it for this team to string some wins together.
1: The number of games that the Seattle Seahawks have won against the Green Bay Packers since 1999. In that mix have been some brutal disappointments, namely a 48-10 beating three years ago at Lambeau Field, a 42-20 beating in the playoffs the year before that, oh… and that whole “We want the ball and we’re gonna score” thing on the Frozen Tundra in the playoffs in 2004. Still, this is one of the only chances since that point that the Seahawks really have of beating the Packers in a game, and it comes on a huge stage on ESPN’s Monday Night Football.
1.1: The number of yards per carry that RB Chris Johnson is averaging this year. That’s right. 1.1 yards per carry. That’s the reason, right there, why the Tennessee Titans are 0-2 and why they really haven’t looked anything like a team that can win games yet this year. QB Jake Locker has been bad, the defense has been bad, but in the end, it’s the ground game that just has to improve in order for Tennessee to get off of the 0-2 hole.
2: The number of teams that are left in the AFC that have perfect 2-0 records. It’s also the number of games this week that pit a pair of 2-0 teams against each other. Those two teams in the AFC, the San Diego Chargers and Houston Texans, are going to be involved in huge games this week, and if they can both win, they might both be two games in front of so many of the other AFC contenders. The Chargers are involved in one of the 2-0 games, but the other is in the NFC that pits the Arizona Cardinals against the Philadelphia Eagles.
6: The number of consecutive games that the New York Giants have covered as underdogs. The G-Men are pups for the first time this year when they go on the road to take on the Carolina Panthers, and they really have to embrace that underdog mentality if they want to make it to 2-1 on the campaign. QB Cam Newton and the Panthers aren’t going to just let QB Eli Manning walk right down the field and score touchdown after touchdown as he did in the second half last week against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, especially not here at Bank of America Stadium.
6-2: The number representing the SU record that the Arizona Cardinals have when they are underdogs in games since November 13th of last year. The game that got them going in the right direction last year came against QB Michael Vick and the Philadelphia Eagles, and that’s exactly who is coming to town this week. It’s going to be the first time that QB Kevin Kolb has started against the team that traded him, as it was QB John Skelton that was under center.
8: The number that is the smallest combined margin of victory for two 2-0 teams in league history. One might think that the number “2” is the key here, knowing that that is the total margin of victory for the Philadelphia Eagles this year in two games. And yes, it’s true that there is no team in the history of the NFL that had ever done that before. However, what’s more impressive is the fact that the team that they are playing this week, the Arizona Cardinals only have a total margin of victory of six for the year. There is no game in the history of the league that has featured a total margin of victory of eight, and for two teams that are 2-0, this is the smallest combined margin of victory in the history of the league as well.
8.5: The number of the biggest point spread this week in Week 2. The New Orleans, who are just 0-2, are the team laying the number against the Kansas City Chiefs, who just haven’t been able to stop anyone this year. Still, New Orleans was favored in both of its first two games, and it was a similar favorite against the Washington Redskins in Week 1. The boys from the Bayou had better get this one, because an 0-3 start to the season without having played a game against the Atlanta Falcons or any of the division winners from last year just isn’t going to cut it.
14: The number of home teams that won games SU in Week 2. Ironically, it was a team that had the longest home winning streak of home openers in the league, the New England Patriots, that spoiled the party for the hosts. The Patriots were the biggest favorites in Week 2, being favored by… that’s right, 14 points. New England is going to have to get back in the saddle very quickly this week against the Baltimore Ravens. QB Tom Brady and the New England offense just have to produce more than the 18 points that went on the board last week, or this game against the Ravens is going to be tough on the road.
23.0: The average number of points per game that the Buffalo Bills and Cleveland Browns have scored against each other in their last four meetings. Of course, the only reason the number is that high is because of the 29-27 game played in 2008, or that number would be a whopping 13.0 points per game. These two offenses have had a history of struggling against one another dating back to 2007, and that includes two years ago when Cleveland was beaten 13-6 at Ralph Wilson Stadium. The two start set to meet in the Dawg Pound for just the second time since the reincarnation of the Browns. The first meeting? 8-0 in favor of the hosts.
40.5: The number that represents the lowest ‘total’ on the board this week. Unofficially, this is the highest number for the lowest ‘total’ of the week in NFL history in weeks in which there were a full slate of games. The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins are the teams that are involved in this low scoring game, and history suggests that both of these squads are going to struggle offensively.
45: The number of games that QB Drew Brees has thrown at least one touchdown pass in. No one is even remotely close to that number. In this stretch, Brees has thrown for just a ton of touchdowns, 111 to be exact, and again. However, he just hasn’t had all that much of a ground game this year, and he hasn’t had a defense that is all that great either. Missing Head Coach Sean Payton is clearly hurting this team, and it is showing for sure.
53: The number that represents the highest ‘total’ of the weekend. The New Orleans Saints and the Kansas City Chiefs have the two worst defenses in the game statistically this year, and that’s why this is the highest ‘total’ of the season to date. We all know what the Saints are capable of doing offensively, but it is how bad the Chiefs really have been in games against the Atlanta Falcons and Buffalo Bills on the defensive side of the ball that has us wondering what the ceiling is for points in this game.
510: The number of yards that QB Eli Manning threw for last week. It was the most yards that any quarterback has thrown for this year in a game, and that number will likely stand for quite some time. Manning had to post a great comeback last week against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and he did so with a banged up WR Hakeem Nicks, no running back of note, and a defense that just couldn’t figure out how to stop the other team for the most part. Yes, Manning truly is the best quarterback in his family at this point, and it really has become clear that he indeed was worth all of what the G-Men traded to get him all those years ago from the San Diego Chargers.
1983: The number representing the last time that the New England Patriots lost a game in Baltimore. The team that was on the wrong end of that game was the Colts, though, not the Ravens. The Pats have only been beaten by the Ravens since they moved from Cleveland once, and that was in the first round of the playoffs at Gillette Stadium. QB Joe Flacco would really like to get this game, knowing that he was so close to getting his team to the Super Bowl last year, if not for a kicker that missed a chip shot of a field goal or a dropped pass that would have won the game.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.