When you bet on the NFL, you should know all about the numbers. Numbers for stats, numbers for trends, numbers for betting lines, numbers for ‘totals‘ – You should know it all. Here at Bang the Book, we are set to talk about the NFL Betting lines for Week 8. Here are the most important numbers that you need to remember for the week!
0: The number of times that the Dallas Cowboys have ever beaten the New York Giants playing at their new stadium. Jerry World, aka Dallas Cowboys Stadium, has been visited by the G-Men three times, and all three times, New York has walked away with SU victories. The difference between this game and the three in the regular season before it? The bookmakers realize this time that the Giants are the better of the two teams. This is the first time that New York has been favored in Dallas in quite some time.
1: The number of AFC teams that have ever won an NFL game in England. Over the course of the first four years of the International Series in the NFL, an AFC team played an NFC team at Wembley Stadium. (Last year, the Chicago Bears beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in an all-NFC showdown.) The only time an AFC team ever won? These very same New England Patriots that are going back to the other side of the pond on Sunday when they take on the St. Louis Rams, who are the designated home team for this clash. New England catches a break not having to go to the Edward Jones Dome, and it is a touchdown favorite as a result.
1: The number of times that the new Cleveland Browns have ever beaten the San Diego Chargers. Of course, the bad news for the Bolts is that they have failed to cover back to back games in this series, but in both cases, they were favorites of nearly two touchdowns. San Diego has to hope that its five wins in six games grows to six out of seven this week at the Dawg Pound when it takes on the Browns, who are as hungry as could be to continue to amass victories.
5: The number of consecutive games that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have covered against the Minnesota Vikings. These two are going to meet on Thursday Night Football this week, and if Tampa Bay does end up keeping this streak going, it is going to be as a touchdown underdog. It wouldn’t be the first time that it happened in this spurt though, knowing that the Bucs have won their last two meetings here at the Metrodome as well, including last year in a 24-20 upset over then QB Donovan McNabb and the Vikes.
11: The number of consecutive covers that underdogs have in the series between the Kansas City Chiefs and Oakland Raiders. These two teams have just kept taking surprising shot after surprising shot at one another, and the pups frequently end up winning outright as well. Even more remarkable? Should the Raiders end up covering on Sunday against the Chiefs, it will mark the 12th straight time that the underdog that has won that game has done so as an underdog of 4.5 points or fewer.
15.5: The number of representing the biggest favorite of the weekend. The favorite is the Green Bay Packers. The underdog is the hapless Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags are the biggest underdogs of the year to date, and they had better get used to that sort of distinction. They still have a number of games left on the campaign in which they are likely to be double digit underdogs, not the least of which is going to be a road game against the Houston Texans the week before Thanksgiving. If RB Maurice Jones-Drew and QB Blaine Gabbert aren’t healthy by then, it’s any guess what that number is going to be. 24? Don’t count it out, especially if this number isn’t nearly enough to hold in Jacksonville.
37.5: The number representing the lowest ‘total’ of the weekend. The San Francisco 49ers and the Arizona Cardinals are both relatively tame offensively, and the argument could be made that the Cards are a wreck on this side of the ball at the moment. These two defenses have both been great though, and Arizona has gone almost a full season’s worth of games holding teams down to 23 points or fewer. There’s no reason to think that this one is going to have more than 37 points in it more often than not.
55.5: The number representing the highest ‘total’ on the Week 8 NFL odds. Not only the 55.5 the highest of the week, but it is the highest of the year to date. That’s because the New Orleans Saints just don’t know how to play defense and have one of the best offenses in the league, and they’re taking on the Denver Broncos. Want another impressive nugget about the boys from the Bayou? They haven’t played a game this year that has featured fewer than 51 points.
69.6: The number of yards per game that the Washington Redskins are averaging more this year than they had a campaign ago. QB Robert Griffin III is on a pace to come up with a total of 3,659 passing yards and 1,095 rushing yards with a total of 30 TDs. Last year’s quarterbacks for the ‘Skins combined for 4,063 total yards (689 fewer than Griffin’s pace) and 21 TDs (nine fewer than what Griffin is on pace for). There’s no doubt whatsoever that RG3 has been the savior of this team this year, and he is the only reason why an upset in Pittsburgh this week leaves Washington right in the thick of the fight for a playoff bid.
184: The number of total yards that the entire Jacksonville Jaguars team has accounted for this year that didn’t either come off of the arm of QB Blaine Gabbert or the legs of RB Maurice Jones-Drew. And you wonder why this team is such a big dog on the Frozen Tundra? These two are both out of the lineup this week, and that means that it is going to be up to the thrilling duo of QB Chad Henne and RB Rashad Jennings to get the ball moving up and down the field against one of the hottest and most talented teams in the entire league.
299: The number of touchdown passes that QB Drew Brees has in his career. With just one touchdown pass on Sunday Night Football, Brees will become the seventh quarterback in the history of the league with at least 300 touchdown tosses. To put that in comparison, QB Peyton Manning is the active leader with 413, while QB Tom Brady is second with 312. Beyond Brees, the next closest are QB Matt Hasselbeck and QB Eli Manning, both of which will likely just be hitting 200 career touchdowns this week.
451: The number of rushing yards that RB Chris Johnson has had over the course of the last four games. Is it a sign that CJ2K is back? If you prorate those four games over the course of a whole season, you’ve got over 1,800 yards on the ground, so perhaps the answer to that question is a resounding “Yes!” Johnson averaged 10.8 yards per carry and had two touchdowns against the Buffalo Bills last week, and as a result, the Tennessee Titans are winning again and are right back in the thick of the playoff chase in the AFC.
543: The number of yards that the Carolina Panthers had last year against the Chicago Bears when these two teams met up. QB Cam Newton was out of this world, throwing for 374 yards and rushing for 35 more. He had a total of three TDs. RB DeAngelo Williams and RB Jonathan Stewart combined for 134 yards on just 18 carries. It was a total team effort for Carolina, but thanks to 205 yards on the ground for RB Matt Forte, the Bears were able to win the game 34-29 in a game that really wasn’t all that close. Carolina scored a touchdown to make an 11-point game look a bit more respectable with just 0:04 left on the clock.
1,022: The number of yards that the Jacksonville Jaguars have been outgained by over the course of the last five games. That’s as awful of a number as you’re going to see, and it is especially notable considering the fact that the San Francisco 49ers, the top team in football in terms of yardage differential is only +727 for the whole year. Jacksonville has been outgained by at least 104 yards in all five of those games, and that includes being outdone by over 300 by the Chicago Bears two weeks ago. And those games all came with QB Blaine Gabbert and RB Maurice Jones-Drew in the lineup! Matters might be getting worse before they’re getting better for Jacksonville.
99,475: The number of total passing yards that QB Drew Brees and QB Peyton Manning have in their careers combined. That’s right. They are just a total of 525 passing yards between them from having over 100,000 passing yards. That’s just remarkable, and there haven’t been all that many times in the history of the league that we have gotten a chance to see something like that. There might be many, many more matchups like that in the future as well with other quarterbacks that are throwing for 4,500 or 5,000 yards in a season. What makes this one unique as well, is that it is a rematch of an epic Super Bowl from just a few years ago when these two met when Peyton was with the Indianapolis Colts.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.