NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 4

Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2012 NFL betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 4!

Cleveland Browns (0-3 SU, 1-1-1 ATS) @ Baltimore Ravens (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Spread: Baltimore -12, Total: 44

M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD – Thursday, September 27th, 8:30 ET

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The Ravens are going to be playing in their third nationally televised primetime game of the year, and all three of these games have been played at home. They’re 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS so far in those two clashes, and now, they get to play against a Cleveland team that they have absolutely owned over the years. The last time that the Browns won a game in this series was back in 2007, and since that point, the mass majority of games haven’t even been really all that close. Baltimore has won eight straight and is 6-2 ATS in those games. The Browns have scored an average of just 9.0 points per game over the course of the last six in this series, and this doesn’t figure to get all that much better on Thursday night when push comes to shove.

San Diego Chargers (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) @ Kansas City Chiefs (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Spread: Kansas City -1, Total: 44.5

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO – Sunday, September 30th, 1:00 ET

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The Chiefs are hoping to make the AFC West race a heck of a lot closer, and they’ll do just that if they can pull the upset in this game. The Chargers are a game up in the AFC West right now on the rest of the pack. If they win, they’ll be two up on Kansas City and two up on the loser of the Denver/Oakland game. If they lose, there will be three teams at the top of the division when we all wake up on Monday morning. The Chiefs came up with their biggest game of the year in Week 3 when they took down the Saints in the Bayou, and in the same week, the Chargers came up with their worst performance of the year against the Falcons at home. The winner of this one is going to be flying high, but the loser is going to be wondering whether there is a way back any time in the near future and will have to look at the first quarter of the season as a failure.

New England Patriots (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) @ Buffalo Bills (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Spread: New England -3.5, Total: 50.5

Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY – Sunday, September 30th, 1:00 ET

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Everyone just more or less makes the assumption that the Patriots are okay even though they are a 1-2 team. Granted, they have played a heck of a schedule at the outset of the year, but they really legitimately could be a 1-3 team and two games back in the AFC East after this one is said and done with. Buffalo is playing with some confidence, and though it might not be playing with either RB CJ Spiller or RB Fred Jackson, it does have a defense that is coming on strong and a passing attack that quietly has some great weapons. Still, the Brady Bunch really could be a 3-0 team right now, and there is still no doubt that this is one of the best five teams in the NFL. The Patriots lost here last year at Ralph Wilson Stadium, but they are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 in this series over the course of the last five years.

Seattle Seahawks (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) @ St. Louis Rams (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Spread: Seattle -2.5, Total: 37.5

Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO – Sunday, September 30th, 1:00 ET

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The Rams have had absolutely no luck in this series of late, knowing that they have only beaten the Seahawks once in the last nine tries either SU or ATS. All but two of those victories came by at least 10 points, and five of those seven games came by at least 17. Seattle is coming off of one of the luckiest wins that you’ll ever see against the Pack, and though the argument could be made that the team should be 1-2, the truth of the matter is that a catch by WR Braylon Edwards in the first game of the year would have made the Seahawks 3-0. QB Sam Bradford is on the hook in St. Louis, and he might be in some trouble if he can’t get the ship righted. This is only the team’s second home game though, and for the most part, the Rams have been competitive this year.

Tennessee Titans (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ Houston Texans (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
Spread: Houston -12, Total: 45

Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX – Sunday, September 30th, 1:00 ET

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The Titans know that they are at a crossroad of their season at this point. They are just 1-3, and they are just barely coming off of their first win of the year against the Lions. Houston, on the other hand, is a 3-0 team that is rolling, and it is rolling right through the whole league. It almost feels like manifest destiny at this point for the Texans to take over the NFL, and many think that they should be the favorites on the Super Bowl odds at this point. QB Matt Schaub has had a great career against Tennessee in the past, and he might be in for another great game, coming off of a career best four scores against the Broncos. Houston has gone 4-2-1 ATS in the last seven in this series, but stick an asterisk next to last year’s 23-22 loss, knowing that the game came with the Texans resting their starters in Week 17.

Carolina Panthers (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ Atlanta Falcons (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
Spread: Atlanta -7, Total: 48.5

Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA – Sunday, September 30th, 1:00 ET

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The Panthers have had absolutely no luck playing against the Falcons over the years, and matters don’t look great in this one, knowing that Atlanta is one of the three undefeated teams in the league through three games. QB Matt Ryan is playing as well as an quarterback in the league, and QB Cam Newton is coming off of one of his most disastrous performances in his career. A win for the Falcons, and they’ll likely be three up in the division on the rest of the pack, and potentially four up on the Saints, their likely biggest competition. This is the type of game though, that the Panthers have to win if they are going to be legit Super Bowl contenders as they thought that they were going to be at the start of the year. Falling to 1-3 with two losses in division will be really, really bad, and a hole that might not be able to get dug out of.

San Francisco 49ers (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) @ New York Jets (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Spread: San Francisco -4, Total: 40.5

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ – Sunday, September 30th, 1:00 ET

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The Jets are a 2-1 team, but they know that they are in a heck of a lot of trouble. This is going to be a real test for the New York secondary, which is going to be working without DB Darrelle Revis for the rest of the year. That means that RB Joe McKnight is going to be transfer to the other side of the ball to play corner, and he might actually be the slot corner when the Niners spread it out. QB Alex Smith is historically a great quarterback at protecting the football, but last week against the Vikes, that just wasn’t the case. This is still one of the best teams in the league though, and winning this game is something that is absolutely expected. Meanwhile, New York is just hoping that it can survive this game and get moving in the right direction against towards the AFC East title, though it is going to be a long, uphill battle indeed.

Minnesota Vikings (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ Detroit Lions (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS)
Spread: Detroit -4.5, Total: 44.5

Ford Field, Detroit, MI – Sunday, September 30th, 1:00 ET

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There is a big question mark still hovering over this game right now, as QB Matt Stafford might not be able to give this one ago after a shoulder injury against the Titans. If Stafford doesn’t play though, QB Shaun Hill will be the starter, and he had two TDs and nearly led the squad on an improbable comeback against Tennessee. Minnesota has a real chance this week to prove that it is really a playoff contender this year. If QB Christian Ponder can pull off wins against the Niners and the Lions in back to back weeks, it will hard to not recognize that he is really coming along as one of the top young quarterbacks in the league. These two teams have played games brutally close over the course of the last few years, as both teams are 4-4-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Miami Dolphins (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ Arizona Cardinals (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)
Spread: Arizona -5.5, Total: 39.5

University of Phoenix Stadium, Tucson, AZ – Sunday, September 30th, 4:05 ET

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The Dolphins are one of the worst teams in the league, and the Cardinals are one of the best in the league apparently. Still, Miami was a missed field goal away from being a 2-1 team and sitting atop the AFC East, though this is really expected to be the beginning of the end of the Fins being competitive this year. Arizona is one of the best in the bunch this year, and it is because of the defense. This unit is doing remarkable this year, and last week’s performance against the Eagles was one of the best games that a defense has had over the course of the start of the campaign. QB Kevin Kolb has done a decent job as a starting quarterback, and it looks like he is going to be the man that has to bring this team to the second season this year. These two teams haven’t met since 2008, a game that was won by the Cards here in the desert by three TDs. Arizona has covered three in a row in this series dating back to the mid-90s.

Cincinnati Bengals (2-1 SU, 1-1-1 ATS) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS)
Spread: Cincinnati -2.5, Total: 42.5

EverBank Field, Jacksonville, FL – Sunday, September 30th, 4:05 ET

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This is one of our most favorite games of the year. QB Andy Dalton was picked 25 picks after QB Blaine Gabbert in the NFL Draft last year, and it is clear that one of these picks was significantly better than the other. Dalton is probably headed to the Pro Bowl this year, while Gabbert might be headed to the unemployment line when push comes to shove. The Jaguars still just seem like a train wreck, and they aren’t going to be competing for the playoffs. Cincinnati is going to be right on the verge though, and after going on the road and beating the Redskins, it is going to try to do the same thing here in Jacksonville. Last year in this same venue, the Jags were beaten 30-20, but that was a game in which Jacksonville had the lead until just two minutes were left in the game.

Oakland Raiders (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ Denver Broncos (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Spread: Denver -6.5, Total: 48.5

Sports Authority Field, Denver, CO – Sunday, September 30th, 4:05 ET

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The Broncos and the Raiders have played in some really high scoring games over the course of the last few years, and this might not be all that much of an exception if the Oakland secondary can’t pick it up. QB Peyton Manning is going to be getting his first taste of this rivalry today, and he has to be licking his chops, especially after coming so close last week to beating the Texans. This is a really important game for both of these teams, knowing that the loser will be 1-3 and potentially two games back and in last place in the AFC West. The winner though, could be tied for first place in the division. The road team won both games last year, and Denver’s 38-24 win in November broke a string of four straight covers by the Raiders in this AFC West rivalry.

Washington Redskins (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-2 SU, 3-0 ATS)
Spread: Tampa Bay -2.5, Total: 47

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL – Sunday, September 30th, 4:25 ET

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The Bucs and the Redskins are two more of the teams that are going to fighting for the right to move to 2-2 instead of 1-3. This is a battle of two of the better young quarterbacks in the league. QB Robert Griffin III is clearly up and coming as one of the best dual-threat quarterbacks that the league has to offer, and QB Josh Freeman is a great pocket passer. These two teams have a lot of history against one another, but most of that history is in favor of the Buccaneers. They have gone 3-1 SU and 2-0-2 ATS over the course of the last four in this series dating back to the point that the Redskins came here to Raymond James Stadium and won a playoff game.

New Orleans Saints (0-3 SU, 0-3 ATS) @ Green Bay Packers (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Spread: Green Bay -7.5, Total: 53

Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI – Sunday, September 30th, 4:25 ET

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The Packers and the Saints were both supposed to be great teams this year, but both are on the verge of a total disaster. In fairness, Green Bay should be 2-1 this year and not 1-2, but in the end, you are what your record is. The Saints though, have been a total wreck, and though they have come close over the course of the last three games, they certainly weren’t the better team in any of the first three of the campaign. QB Aaron Rodgers and QB Drew Brees should be two of the best passers in the league, though neither has lived up to his potential and both feel like they are just a bit off. The last six in this series have gone past the ‘total’, and the average score has reached 64.0 points per game in those six meetings. Last year alone, on the first day of the season, the Saints marched into Lambeau and put up 34 points, but it was eight short of what was needed to win the game.

New York Giants (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) @ Philadelphia Eagles (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS)
Spread: Philadelphia -1.5, Total: 47.5

Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA – Sunday, September 30th, 8:20 ET

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The Giants and the Eagles should be the class of the NFC East this year. Both teams are 2-1 at the moment, and both are at the top of the division, but that just might not be the way that this works out. The G-Men haven’t played the greatest this year, but at least they are coming off of six straight amazing quarters of football. The Eagles are coming off of their worst four quarters of football on the year. QB Michael Vick and QB Eli Manning were two of the best quarterbacks in the league two years ago. Since that point, Manning has won a Super Bowl and is probably going to the Pro Bowl this year, while all of a sudden, Vick might be a backup quarterback. Philly is the favorite in this game though, and it has put up six covers and six SU victories in the last seven games in this series.

Chicago Bears (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) @ Dallas Cowboys (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Spread: Dallas -3.5, Total: 41.5

Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX – Monday, October 1st, 8:30 ET

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The Cowboys and the Bears could both be playoff bound this year, though only one of these two teams will start off the month of October with a good feeling about the way that the first quarter of the season went. QB Jay Cutler and QB Tony Romo haven’t always played the best in the big time games, but this year, Romo was able to put up a great effort in a road win against the Giants on the opening day of the season. Cutler though, put up a total dud against the Packers in his one primetime game. This is a chance for both to redeem themselves and get their teams to 3-1. The road team has won and covered the last two meetings, and both victories came as outright upsets.

Andrew Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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