Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2012 NFL betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 13!
New Orleans Saints (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS) @ Atlanta Falcons (10-1 SU, 6-4-1 ATS)
Spread: Atlanta -3.5, Total: 55.5
Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA – Thursday, November 29th, 8:30 ET
Many expect that this is going to be one of the highest scoring affairs of the week, and why not? The Saints and Falcons are both two of the highest flying teams in the league, and neither has really shown the consistency defensively that you’d like to get out of teams that are threatening to be in the postseason. New Orleans won this game the first time around, and it might have to win it again to get back in contention for that last Wild Card slot. The Saints are just a game back, but they’re a game back of three teams, which makes moving up all the more difficult. Atlanta can virtually lock up the NFC South with a win in this game, something that is remarkable to even think about 13 weeks and 12 games into the season in a division where there are still three teams that are fighting for the right to go to the playoffs.
Minnesota Vikings (6-5 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) @ Green Bay Packers (7-4 SU, 5-6 ATS)
Spread: Green Bay -8, Total: 46.5
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI – Sunday, December 2nd, 1:00 ET
The Packers and the Vikings are teams that truly hate each other, and there are still two games to see between these two this year. The Vikes know that they are in a bad spot right now, as they are tied for the last Wild Card spot, one back of the Pack, and two back of the Bears for the lead in the NFC North. Losing this one would probably eliminate any chance of winning the division, and it would probably put the team on the wrong side of the playoff picture for another week. WR Percy Harvin is hoping to get back in the fold, which would really help, but it is going to take a second straight poor effort by the Packers to win this game at Lambeau. Green Bay was in first place in the NFC North for a week, but that lead disappeared last week with that dud in the Meadowlands. The Pack could take the lead in the division once again with a win and some help, but with a loss, they’ll be back in third once again.
Houston Texans (10-1 SU, 7-4 ATS) @ Tennessee Titans (4-7 SU, 4-7 ATS)
Spread: Houston -6, Total: 47
LP Field, Nashville, TN – Sunday, December 2nd, 1:00 ET
Almost 80% of the betting action this week is on the Texans, and that tells us that Houston might be struggling to put aside a Tennessee team that is on life support. The season isn’t lost yet in Nashville, but losing this game might make it as such. The Texans are playing without at least three of their top linebackers, including LB Brooks Reed and LB Brian Cushing. Houston also has New England on tap on Monday Night Football next week, and no matter how good this team is, next week’s game means a whole heck of a lot more. There is also a bit of a score to settle for the Titans, who were beaten by 24 when these teams met in Houston back in September. Also, the last time the Texans paid a visit to LP Field, they walked away with a 41-7 victory that really finished any hopes that the Titans might have had of winning the AFC South last year. Houston’s second ever playoff bid will be clinched with a win this week.
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-9 SU, 6-5 ATS) @ Buffalo Bills (4-7 SU, 5-6 ATS)
Spread: Buffalo -6, Total: 45
Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY – Sunday, December 2nd, 1:00 ET
Really pay close attention to this Buffalo team for the rest of the year. Sure, the squad is just 4-7 right now, but it has three straight home games and has four of its last five at home. On top of that, the team should be favored in just about all of its games. Finishing 8-8 and at least having a chance to make the playoffs is a real possibility with the bottom of the AFC playoff picture being so cloudy and relatively weak. The Jags are fighting hard, and they won their first home game last week, marking their second straight really hard fought battle with QB Chad Henne at quarterback. Buffalo’s pass rush has logged seven sacks in the last two games, which might make it difficult for Henne to get the ball up the field to his new best friend, WR Justin Blackmon, who has exploded onto the scene in the last two games. The last meeting of these two was a 36-26 romp in favor of the Jaguars in Orchard Park.
New England Patriots (8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS) @ Miami Dolphins (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS)
Spread: New England -7.5, Total: 51.5
Sun Life Stadium, Miami, FL – Sunday, December 2nd, 1:00 ET
If the Dolphins are going to make a stand this season, this is the time and the place for it to happen. They’re at home, they’ve got a New England team that has to be looking forward to its Monday Night Football showdown next week with the Texans at home, and they’ve got some momentum going from beating the Seahawks in this building last week. It snapped a string of six straight games in which they were outgained by the opposition, and it also ended in a three-game skid both SU and ATS. New England’s offense has dropped at least 37 points in four straight games, and the team is 5-0 SU and 3-2 ATS in the last five overall. The Pats will put the AFC East to rest with a win, while a loss at least could make things more interesting, knowing that there is still another game for these two to play. Miami is still a game off of the pace in the AFC Wild Card chase, and it has a chance to do something special if it can at least split the series with the Pats down the stretch.
Indianapolis Colts (7-4 SU, 7-4 ATS) @ Detroit Lions (4-7 SU, 4-6-1 ATS)
Spread: Detroit -5, Total: 51
Ford Field, Detroit, MI – Sunday, December 2nd, 1:00 ET
This game is a very interesting study in oddsmaking. The Colts are clearly the better of these two teams on paper, as they are 7-4, and they have a great opportunity to get into the playoffs this year in the AFC. However, there is a sentiment that the club still really isn’t legit, won’t necessarily make the playoffs, and wouldn’t stand a chance in say, the NFC North. The Colts are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six games, but the teams that they have beaten haven’t exactly been impressive (Buffalo, Jacksonville, Miami, Tennessee, and Cleveland). The Lions have lost three in a row, but they had the Texans dead to rights on Thanksgiving Day, only to lose in overtime. The common thought is that their season might be over with, but the oddsmakers have decided to give Detroit the nod by a comfortable margin, insinuating that these teams are essentially on level terms this year. Maybe the Lions have one last push in them to get into the playoffs.
San Francisco 49ers (8-2-1 SU, 7-4 ATS) @ St. Louis Rams (4-6-1 SU, 7-4 ATS)
Spread: San Francisco -7, Total: 40
Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO – Sunday, December 2nd, 1:00 ET
The Rams and the 49ers tied each other when they met a few weeks ago, and it was a game that really was frustrating to watch on both sides. St. Louis never really had the offensive firepower to get the job done, and QB Colin Kaepernick was a bit of a waste, to tell the truth. In fact, if not for the fact that the Rams hurt QB Alex Smith enough to knock him out of one more game, we probably never would have gotten the chance to experience Kaepernick until next year. The Rams are on life support, but they aren’t dead yet, and they have already proven that they can play with this San Fran team. The Niners are coming off of a really emotional win in New Orleans, but they have had a heck of a lot of traveling to do over the course of the last weeks. This could be a bad spot for the visitors to be in, in spite of the fact that they clearly have the superior of the two sides.
Carolina Panthers (3-8 SU, 5-6 ATS) @ Kansas City Chiefs (1-10 SU, 4-7 ATS)
Spread: Carolina -3, Total: 40.5
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO – Sunday, December 2nd, 1:00 ET
The Chiefs haven’t covered two games in a row all season long, and they have a chance to do it for the first time if they can figure out how to beat the Panthers in what absolutely is the worst game of the day on Sunday. Carolina isn’t totally out of the equation in the NFC playoff race, but it’s going to clearly take winning out and getting a heck of a lot of help. The chance is there though, to get back within two games with four to play, though there will still be a ton of teams to hop. It’s amazing to think that a team that was 2-8 coming into last week is going to be favored on the road for the second straight weekend, but alas, that’s what’s going down for the Panthers. If KC loses this game, there is a real chance that it will get the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft… and a new head coach. Romeo Crennel is now on one of the hottest seats in the game.
Seattle Seahawks (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS) @ Chicago Bears (8-3 SU, 6-4-1 ATS)
Spread: Chicago -3.5, Total: 37.5
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL – Sunday, December 2nd, 1:00 ET
Chicago is sort of becoming a home away from home for the Seahawks. They have played here three times over the course of the last 25 months, and they actually have a pair of outright upset wins in that stretch as well. Seattle is going to need this one as well to have a chance of getting into the playoffs as a Wild Card team, though it isn’t a pre-requisite. The Bears are also fighting for Wild Cards, the NFC North title, and perhaps even home field advantage throughout the playoffs, but there aren’t many more games that can be punted away to stay in the chase. Chicago knows that five wins or Green Bay losses will win the NFC North, but that’s a lot to ask for over the course of the last five games of the season, knowing that there is still a game to be played against the Packers as well.
Arizona Cardinals (4-7 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) @ New York Jets (4-7 SU, 6-5 ATS)
Spread: New York -4.5, Total: 36.5
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ – Sunday, December 2nd, 1:00 ET
The last time that the Jets and Cardinals did battle, the end result was a 56-35 drubbing by the boys from the Meadowlands. We would bet that this game could be played three times, and there might not be 91 points put on the board between the three games. These two offenses are a wreck right now. QB Mark Sanchez is clearly the most embattled quarterback that the league has seen in years and years. QB Ryan Lindley has been a joke of a quarterback for the Cardinals as well, and it is clear that he is in over his head. However, Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt is trying to push every button that he can to try to save his job, as he has a team that has lost seven in a row, and there clearly isn’t much more room for falling before his turns out to be the man that gets the axe. Not that Head Coach Rex Ryan is really in all that much better of shape in the Big Apple.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-5 SU, 8-2-1 ATS) @ Denver Broncos (8-3 SU, 6-5 ATS)
Spread: Denver -7, Total: 50
Sports Authority Field at Mile High – Sunday, December 2nd, 4:05 ET
The Bucs have been in good form of late, and they were unlucky not to beat the Falcons last week. However, they have a heck of a challenge in this one, coming on the road to take on a Denver outfit that has won six games in a row. Of course, not all is rosy for the Broncos, as they really have had to survive in back to back games against division rivals. QB Peyton Manning’s streak of five straight games with at least three TDs came to a close last week, as did his streak of leading his team to 30+ points in games. RB Knowshon Moreno has taken over as the team’s top running back again, and if he plays like he did last week, he might be well on his way to being back in the saddle as the future of this team at the running back position. The Broncos are 3-2 SU in the five meetings that these teams have had since 1993, but they are just 0-3-2 ATS in those outings.
Pittsburgh Steelers (6-5 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) @ Baltimore Ravens (9-2 SU, 5-5-1 ATS)
Spread: Baltimore -6.5, Total: 40
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD – Sunday, December 2nd, 4:25 ET
You’re not going to find a bigger rivalry game in the NFL than this one between the Steelers and the Ravens. These two clubs genuinely hate each other, and they are going to be even more amped knowing that the last time that they faced off was just two weeks ago. QB Ben Roethlisberger hopes to get back in the saddle for this one, but it is sounding less and less likely that he is going to be able to do just that. Instead, it’s going to be up to the defense to find a way to slow down QB Joe Flacco and the gang. RB Ray Rice made the play of the season last week when he found a way to convert on 4th and 29 against the Chargers, as Baltimore went on to tie the game in regulation and ultimately win it in overtime. The Ravens have won three in a row against the Steelers, and they are 2-0-1 ATS in those games, and winning this one could clinch up the AFC North title with some help.
Cincinnati Bengals (6-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) @ San Diego Chargers (4-7 SU, 5-6 ATS)
Spread: Cincinnati -1.5, Total: 46
Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA – Sunday, December 2nd, 4:25 ET
The Chargers are on life support after losing these last three games to the Ravens, Broncos, and Bucs. This is going to be the fourth straight game played against a team that is going to be challenging for a spot in the playoffs. QB Philip Rivers can’t stop throwing picks, and he is going to be playing against a Cincinnati secondary that has had some great games in recent weeks. Very quietly, the Bengals have held their last three foes to 10, 6, and 13 points, though the level of competition hasn’t been stellar. Cincy is level with the Steelers for the last playoff spot, and the distance between it and Baltimore isn’t insurmountable at this late juncture of the season. Watch for WR AJ Green to get back in the end zone once again in this one, as last week was the first time in over two months in which he didn’t score in a game.
Cleveland Browns (3-8 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) @ Oakland Raiders (3-8 SU, 3-8 ATS)
Spread: Cleveland -1.5, Total: 41
O.co Coliseum, Oakland, CA – Sunday, December 2nd, 4:25 ET
This is another one of the games in Week 13 that makes us cringe to just think about. Cleveland isn’t a fantastic team by any stretch of the imagination, but the club has played competitive ball for most of the year, including last week when it beat the rival Steelers 20-14 thanks to eight forced turnovers. Oakland has dropped four games in a row, and all four games have been lost by double digits. Last week’s loss to the Bengals was a disgusting defeat, knowing that the team was outgained by 197 yards of offense in a 24-point loss. QB Carson Palmer has to be wondering what in the heck he’s doing here in Oakland, as he is throwing the ball a ton but just not putting up the numbers to justify all of the throws. The loser of this game is likely going to be in a position to have a Top 5 pick in next year’s NFL Draft, while the winner will at least keep the faintest of playoff hopes alive.
Philadelphia Eagles (3-8 SU, 2-9 ATS) @ Dallas Cowboys (5-6 SU, 4-7 ATS)
Spread: Dallas -10, Total: 43
Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX – Sunday, December 2nd, 8:20 ET
The Cowboys and the Eagles are always bitter towards each other, and this should be no exception, especially with the two teams playing such lopsided ball right now. Philly is clearly in the tank for the rest of the year, and there isn’t really a chance that either QB Michael Vick or RB LeSean McCoy is going to get back out there this week. Add WR DeSean Jackson to the most recent list of players out of the fold. The Cowboys have to have this one in division, knowing that the Giants are starting to get away after the Thanksgiving Day loss to the Redskins, and a defeat also could leave Dallas two back from the Wild Card slots as well, which would be difficult to make up with just four weeks to play and a ton of teams to hop. The Cowboys easily won the first meeting this year 38-23 in the City of Brotherly Love, and the team is now 6-2 ATS in the last eight in this series.
New York Giants (7-4 SU, 5-6 ATS) @ Washington Redskins (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS)
Spread: New York -2.5, Total: 51
FedEx Field, Landover, MD – Monday, December 3rd, 8:30 ET
It was only a few weeks ago that Head Coach Mike Shanahan declared the season over with for the Redskins, and now, they’re in a position where they can get within just one game of the division lead and potentially into the last Wild Card slot with a win and some help on Sunday. The team has won two games in a row and has put up at least 31 in both of those games, and save for a half of football against the Cowboys, the defense really has played as well as it has all season long in these games. New York was on a bit of a slide having lost two in a row to the Bengals and Steelers before this week, but that was all remedied last week with a dominating 38-10 win over the Packers to get the team back in firm control of the NFC East. A win parlayed with a Dallas loss would put the Giants back within just one game of clinching up the division title, and regardless of what happens with a Dallas, a win ensures a season sweep. Still, the Skins have covered four in a row in this series dating back two seasons.
Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.
Latest posts by Andrew Ryan