NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 7

Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2012 NFL betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 7!

Seattle Seahawks (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) @ San Francisco 49ers (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS)
Spread: San Francisco -7, Total: 37.5

Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA – Thursday, October 18th, 8:30 ET

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The NFC West will have its three way tie split up on Thursday night, as at least for the time being, there will be a clear first place team, a clear second place team, and a clear third place team in the division. At the end of the night, the winner of this one will be a half game up on the Cardinals, who will be a half game up on the loser of this game, who will be a half game up on the Rams. Got all that? Good. Because this game, though vitally important, clearly won’t be the definitive answer for anything in the NFC West for as close as things are for all four teams. These two teams played in two great games last year that both would have ended 19-17 in favor of the Niners if not for a punt return and a kick return for a touchdown by WR Ted Ginn Jr. in the dying moments of the game that was played here at The Stick in Week 1.

Baltimore Ravens (5-1 SU, 2-4 ATS) @ Houston Texans (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS)
Spread: Houston -6.5, Total: 48

Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX – Sunday, October 21st, 1:00 ET

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The top seed in the AFC playoffs might ultimately be handed out on Sunday when the Texans and the Ravens square off. The winner is going to remain two games up on the rest of the pack with just nine games to play, essentially giving the winner a magic number of nine to clinch at least a first round bye. The loser will be just a game up on the rest of the pack. The bigger bonus? The tiebreaker over the other team when push comes to shove. This is the type of game that Houston has never had to play before in its franchise history. It is expected to beat perhaps its biggest competitor on the road to the Super Bowl, and it is expected to do so by a comfortable margin Perhaps that’s bad news. The Texans have never beaten the Ravens, and that included last year in the playoffs when they came up a touchdown short of moving on to the AFC Championship Game for the first time in franchise history. Needless to say, this is a vital game going forward for both of these clubs.

New Orleans Saints (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-3 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Spread: New Orleans -2.5, Total: 49.5

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL – Sunday, October 21st, 1:00 ET

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The Bucs and the Saints have had a great history playing against one another, and the records don’t really seem to matter when the two meet up. The games are always great, and unexpected results are usually the ultimate theme. Case in point: The Buccaneers have clearly been the inferior team over the course of the last three seasons in this series, yet they have won four of the last seven games SU against the Saints, including twice in the Bayou. QB Josh Freeman is coming off of one of the best games of his career, but he is going to need to repeat the performance that he had last week against Kansas City if there is any hope of keeping up with QB Drew Brees, who is once again on a pace to break the single season passing record this year. The winner will surely be out of the gutter in the NFC South, while the loser will plunge further away from the playoffs, a goal that already seems out of sight for both clubs.

Arizona Cardinals (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) @ Minnesota Vikings (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS)
Spread: Minnesota -6, Total: 40

Mall of America Field at the H.H.H. Metrodome, Minneapolis, MN – Sunday, October 21st, 1:00 ET

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This is likely to be the least bet game on the docket on Sunday, and for good reason. The Vikings and Cardinals both seem to be enigmas right now, and the team that wins this one is going to remain a candidate to fall off the face of the earth, while the loser effectively might have already taken the plunge once and for all. Alas though, both of these teams are indeed 4-2, and that’s more than we can say for so many other teams that were figured to be in the chase in the NFC (we’re looking at you, Dallas, Philly, Green Bay, Detroit, and New Orleans). The Zona defense has taken a step back over the course of the last few weeks, but it is still one of the most feared defenses that the NFL has to offer. The Cardinals though, are going to be under the gun, knowing that they have to go back to QB John Skelton under center now that QB Kevin Kolb is out for at least the next few weeks. The Vikes have won four of the last five SU, but are just 2-3 ATS in the last five in this series.

Dallas Cowboys (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) @ Carolina Panthers (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Spread: Dallas -1, Total: 45.5

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC – Sunday, October 21st, 1:00 ET

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The time is coming that the Cowboys and the Panthers are going to have to start winning games and winning them in bunches if they are going to get back into the chase in the playoffs here in the NFC, where 4-2 is the minimum record to get you in the postseason at the moment. QB Tony Romo is throwing picks all over the place of late, but he almost led the team all the way back in what would have been a huge victory in Baltimore last week. Still, losses are losses, and that’s what the Panthers are finding out as well. Carolina has three losses by a combined 12 points this year, but again, defeats are still defeats no matter whether they come by 1 or 100. Dallas has won four in a row in this series and is 3-1 ATS to show for its work in those games. The Panthers have averaged just 13.5 points per game against Big D dating back to 2005.

Green Bay Packers (3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS) @ St. Louis Rams (3-3 SU, 5-1 ATS)
Spread: Green Bay -5.5, Total: 45.5

Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO – Sunday, October 21st, 1:00 ET

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This feels like a trap game if we ever saw one. The 3-3 Packers and 3-3 Rams really are on level terms right now, and at the end of the day, one will be 4-3 and sitting pretty for a playoff spot, while the other will be at least a game, and possibly two back of the postseason with just nine dwindling games to play. The two don’t feel like they are on level terms on the field though, as the general consensus is that St. Louis has overachieved to get to .500, while Green Bay has massively underachieved, especially considering the fact that last year, the team lost just one game in the regular season and brought virtually all of the major pieces back from last year’s puzzle. It’s a nasty road trip to a dome for a team that thrives on playing outdoors, and it comes on the heels of the biggest victory of the season over the Texans, a previously undefeated team. Green Bay does have three straight wins and covers in this series, and it has averaged 31.0 points per game in those three games. Two of those three were played here at the Edward Jones Dome.

Cleveland Browns (1-5 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) @ Indianapolis Colts (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Spread: Indianapolis -2.5, Total: 45

Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN – Sunday, October 21st, 1:00 ET

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The Browns now officially have their first win of the season, but we know that they are only on their way to a Top 5 pick in the NFL Draft this year in all likelihood. Indy too, is probably in the same spot, but at least it knows that it can get back to .500 with a victory and at least be thinking about contending for a spot in the postseason. Heck, the Colts might even be just a game and a half back of the AFC South leading Texans by the time the afternoon is said and done with. Last year, the Browns came here to Lucas Oil Field and logged their first ever victory over the Colts since the rebirth of the Dawg Pound, a 27-19 victory that proved that Indy was one of the worst teams in the league. Before that though, QB Peyton Manning had blown apart the Browns to the tune of a 5-0 SU and 3-2 ATS record.

Tennessee Titans (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS) @ Buffalo Bills (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS)
Spread: Buffalo -3, Total: 46

Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY – Sunday, October 21st, 1:00 ET

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Last week was a big one for both of these teams. The Titans probably avoided falling totally out of the discussion when they beat the Steelers, and the Bills proved that they can indeed still play some defense when they took down the Cardinals in overtime on the road in what amounted to be a massive victory. Now the two run across each other, and it’s a bad spot for the Bills to be in for sure. They have dropped seven of the last eight in this series dating back to 1994, and they are just 2-6 ATS to show for their work in those games. If that doesn’t turn back around, the AFC playoff race is going to get a heck of a lot tighter, and Buffalo is going to be a game back of the AFC East lead at the end of the day on Sunday.

Washington Redskins (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) @ New York Giants (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS)
Spread: New York -5.5, Total: 50

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ – Sunday, October 21st, 1:00 ET

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The Giants and the Redskins are going to be fighting it out for first place in the NFC East, and the game is ridiculously important to avoid a letdown for the Giants. New York is a team that historically plays to the level of its competition, and it shows. The team escaped games against the Bucs and Browns this year after falling behind by multiple scores in both games, but in the toughest task of the year against the Niners at The Stick, the G-Men proved to be victorious by a 26-3 romp of a margin. Washington has had a great season thus far at 3-3, and it knows that it is going to have its work cut out for it in this game. However, the Redskins did sweep this season series last year against what turned out to be the Super Bowl champs, winning 23-10 here at Snoopy Stadium and 28-14 at home. Anything is possible in this one, and if Washington can pull off the upset, the NFC East is going to be just about as tight as the AFC East when this week is said and done with.

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS) @ Oakland Raiders (1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Spread: Oakland -4, Total: 43.5 Coliseum, Oakland, CA – Sunday, October 21st, 4:25 ET

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There is definitely some good news and some bad news if you’re a fan of the Jaguars. The good news is that you’ve won four in a row in this series and have covered all four games, and you’ve averaged beating the Raiders by the average final score of 30-14 in those clashes. The bad news? You’re almost certainly better off losing this game than you are winning in. In fact, QB Matt Barkley might be set to pack his bags for the destination of the team that has lost this game, as both teams are in the market for a quarterback in the offseason in all likelihood. This could end up being a divisional game in the years to come, as rumors have been all over the place that the Jags are going to move to Los Angeles, so get used to hearing these two teams playing against each other.

New York Jets (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS) @ New England Patriots (3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS)
Spread: New England -10.5, Total: 47

Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA – Sunday, October 21st, 4:25 ET

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The Jets and the Patriots are both 3-3 teams that are tied for the lead in the AFC East, but in the end, these clubs are separated by miles in all likelihood. The Jets can disprove that theory if they can find a way to go into Foxboro and log a victory, something that isn’t totally out of the question. However, when push comes to shove, the Brady Bunch is probably walking away with a ‘W’. Remember that the Seahawks were able to get the best of the Pats last week, and that can’t sit well with Head Coach Bill Belichick. The truth of the matter is that New England needs to start stringing some wins together in a big time way, or it won’t end up really contending for the Super Bowl this year. The two teams have split the last 10 meetings from an ATS standpoint with New England coming out ahead 6-4 SU. The Pats swept the season series last year both SU and ATS, winning by nine at home and 31 on the road.

Pittsburgh Steelers (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS) @ Cincinnati Bengals (3-3 SU, 2-3-1 ATS)
Spread: Pittsburgh -1, Total: 45.5

Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH – Sunday, October 21st, 8:20 ET

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The Steelers and Bengals have to know how important this Sunday Night Football clash really is. The two teams are separated by just a half game in the standings, but more importantly, it’s a matter of how far away the rest of the AFC is pulling from these two. Losing this game would give that team four losses already, and we’re not even at Halloween yet. QB Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers have dropped at least 23 on the Bengals in four straight in this series, and all four of those games provided both wins and covers for NFL bettors. This one though, is expected to be close, and it is really the game of the season for the Bengals, who have punted back to back games that they should have had against the Browns and Dolphins. There are no excuses this week. This is a game that has to be had for both.

Detroit Lions (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS) @ Chicago Bears (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Spread: Chicago -6, Total: 47

Soldier Field, Chicago, IL – Monday, October 22nd, 8:30 ET

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The Lions probably saved their season last week by beating the Eagles on the road, but there is still just a ton of work to do if they think that they are getting back in the playoffs once again this year. QB Matt Stafford will have his work cut out for him against a Chicago defense that has just been flat out ferocious this year. Chicago knows that it is one of the four teams in the league that has one loss or fewer this year, and it would like to keep it that way, especially in the NFC where the Falcons are running away from the field and the rest of the conference seems to be jumbled at 4-2. Last year these two teams split, but prior to that point, this was a series that was dominated by the Monsters of the Midway.

Andrew Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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