Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2012 NFL betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 9!
Denver Broncos (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS) @ Cincinnati Bengals (3-4 SU, 2-4-1 ATS)
Spread: Denver -4, Total: 48
Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH – Sunday, November 4th, 1:00 ET
The Bengals and the Broncos are only separated by a game in the standings, something that is a theme this week all across the NFL. The other theme though, is that it is clear that there is one team that is a whole heck of a lot better than the other. The Broncos have scored at least 34 points in three of the last three four games, and if you prorate what they have done since the fourth quarter against the Texans, they have averaged 33.2 points per game in that run. The Bengals meanwhile, are headed in the wrong direction having lost three in a row both SU and ATS, and two of those three losses were pivotal ones at home to AFC teams that are contending for spots in the playoffs, just like the Bengals. You still likely have to go back to 2010 to find the last time that Cincinnati beat a team that ultimately made it into the playoffs.
Detroit Lions (3-4 SU, 2-4-1 ATS) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (1-6 SU, 4-3 ATS)
Spread: Detroit -4.5, Total: 44
EverBank Field, Jacksonville, FL – Sunday, November 4th, 1:00 ET
The Lions and the Jaguars are both likely going nowhere fast, though at least Detroit could get back to .500 for the first time since being 1-1 with a win this week. It’s an interesting game for sure for the men in blue and silver, as it is one of the rare games that they have played over the course of the last several years that they are clearly expected to win on the road, and the last time they were in this spot, they were beaten by the Tennessee Titans 44-41 in overtime. Since that point, the boys from Motown have been significantly better defensively, and they get a relatively easy matchup in this one. Jacksonville showed some grit last week in Green Bay though, and the team isn’t going to lay down and die. Don’t be shocked if this turns out to be a win for the hosts, as the Jags have won and covered three in a row in this series.
Arizona Cardinals (4-4 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) @ Green Bay Packers (5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Spread: Green Bay -10, Total: 43.5
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI – Sunday, November 4th, 1:00 ET
The last time that the Cardinals took on the Packers, they scored 51 points. Now, if only QB Kurt Warner could come back and lead this offense… Instead, it’ll be QB John Skelton who has no choice but to take the snaps, and he has only helped his team get to 36 points combined over the last four games. That just isn’t going to cut it for sure, and it is proof as to why this team has totally fallen from grace from the 4-0 start to the season. Meanwhile, Green Bay has won three in a row, though each of those wins have gotten progressively less impressive, and the time for an upset could legitimately be here. The Packers are starting to play like the best team in the NFL again, but they have a heck of a lot of work to do if they really are going to make it back to that level, as they are still two back of the Bears as well.
Carolina Panthers (1-6 SU, 3-4 ATS) @ Washington Redskins (3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS)
Spread: Washington -3, Total: 47.5
FedEx Field, Landover, MD – Sunday, November 4th, 1:00 ET
It is absolutely impossible to avoid the comparisons of QB Robert Griffin III and QB Cam Newton. These two men have all of the talent in the world, they were both Top 2 picks in the NFL Draft, they were both tabbed to be the men that saved their franchise, and they are both ridiculous mobile. In fact, RG3 is likely to break all of the rookie records for rushers that Newton set last year, and he might break all of the passing records as well. On the field, Carolina’s season is likely already over with, knowing that it is 1-6 and is a heck of a lot closer to the first pick in the NFL Draft than the second season. Washington still has a chance, but it feels like the window is really starting to close and will certainly be slammed shut if this one is ultimately lost.
Miami Dolphins (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS) @ Indianapolis Colts (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS)
Spread: Miami -1.5, Total: 43.5
Lucas Oil Field, Indianapolis, IN – Sunday, November 4th, 1:00 ET
The Dolphins were a trendy pick to do well last year, but they started off the season in terrible form and came on strong at the end. That’s why once again, this was another year where Miami was a trendy selection. Now, the team is favored to improve to 5-3 and into a first place tie with the Patriots through half of the season. The foe this week won’t lie down easily though, as the Colts, another of the worst teams in the NFL from last year, are 4-3 and ready to pounce as well. Indy is still stalking the Texans atop the AFC South, and though the likelihood of catching Houston is slim, getting into the playoffs isn’t totally out of the question for either of these teams. What once seemed like a matchup between two hopeless teams that were going nowhere might all of a sudden be one of the better Week 9 NFL matchups.
Baltimore Ravens (5-2 SU, 2-5 ATS) @ Cleveland Browns (2-6 SU, 4-3-1 ATS)
Spread: Baltimore -3.5, Total: 42.5
Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH – Sunday, November 4th, 1:00 ET
It might be a stretch to think that the Browns are still really on the verge of the playoffs in the AFC, but perhaps not if this game is won. Odds have it, 10 wins will be enough to win this division, and eight might get the job done as well if Baltimore really starts to slide as it has shown could be very possible. Cleveland is most certainly done if this game is lost though, and the hometown crowd knows just how important this one is. The old Browns are clearly the superior team, and Baltimore has won nine straight in this series. However, after failing to cover all but one meeting from the start of 2008 through the first meeting in 2011, the Browns have had two straight solid outings against the Ravens, losing by six and seven. The seven-point defeat came earlier this year in Baltimore, with the Ravens favored by 11.5.
Chicago Bears (6-1 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) @ Tennessee Titans (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Spread: Chicago -3.5, Total: 43.5
LP Field, Nashville, TN – Sunday, November 4th, 1:00 ET
The Bears should be able to put this game to rest relatively easily, but the Titans are, for the second time this year, facing a game that they really probably have to win if they want to keep their name in the hat for the playoffs in the AFC. Tennessee beat the Lions when they came to LP Field in a crucial spot for the Titans, and this is a very similar situation. Chicago though, is a significantly better team, and one that is not just trying to hold off the Packers, but potentially nail down the No. 1 seed in the NFC as well. The road team has won all three meetings both SU and ATS in this series dating back to 1998, and the last time that the Titans won a home game against Chicago was back when they were the Houston Oilers in 1992.
Buffalo Bills (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) @ Houston Texans (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Spread: Houston -10, Total: 48
Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX – Sunday, November 4th, 1:00 ET
The Texans are clearly the better of these two teams, and this should be a game that they romp to victory. RB Arian Foster could have a field day against the league’s worst ranked rush defense, and the defense could be set to tee off on QB Ryan Fitzpatrick as well. If that turns out to be the case, it will be a very unhappy homecoming for DE Mario Williams, who was cast aside in free agency by the Texans this year after being drafted by them as the No. 1 overall pick in the NFL Draft just a handful of years ago. The last time these two met was back in 2009 at Ralph Wilson Stadium in what then amounted to be a rare blowout win on the road for Houston, a 31-10 triumph. These two teams have met five times in their history, and both are 2-2-1 ATS. Buffalo holds the slight 3-2 SU advantage.
Minnesota Vikings (5-3 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) @ Seattle Seahawks (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Spread: Seattle –4, Total: 38.5
CenturyLink Field, Seattle, WA – Sunday, November 4th, 4:05 ET
The Vikings and the Seahawks both got off to great starts this season, and both were hoping to hang right around the playoff race in the NFC all season long. Both are still right there, but in the end, they might not ultimately be able to stick in for the course of the next nine weeks. Minnesota has lost two out of three and is just 0-2-1 ATS in those games, while Seattle has lost two games in a row with lackluster offensive efforts. However, the Seahawks still have the best home field advantage in the league, and they are going to be trying to keep their unbeaten record intact against the Vikes. However, to do that, Head Coach Pete Carroll and company are going to have to snap a two-game skid both SU and ATS in which Minnesota has won and covered both games, covering the NFL odds by an average of 19.25 points per game. In fact, for those of you that are paying attention to teasers, the average margin of victory in relation to the NFL betting lines in this series since 1996 is 19.6 points per game.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4 SU, 5-2 ATS) @ Oakland Raiders (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Spread: Oakland -1.5, Total: 46.5
O.co Coliseum, Oakland, CA – Sunday, November 4th, 4:05 ET
The Buccaneers and the Raiders both have reasons to be smiling about this matchup. For Tampa Bay, this is, of course, the team that it beat to win its only Super Bowl all those years ago. For Oakland, the fact of the matter is that it is 3-0 SU and ATS in this series in the regular season since 1999, and it has covered spreads by just massive amounts of points in the process. In fact, the last time these two met, it was Oakland that knocked the Bucs out of the playoffs, beating them 31-24 as 11-point underdogs in a game that was a must-win for Tampa Bay to get in. The Buccaneers were beaten, and former Oakland boss Head Coach John Gruden was fired by the Bucs. Both of these teams are 3-4 and hoping to get back to .500 in relatively weak divisions.
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) @ New York Giants (6-2 SU, 4-3-1 ATS)
Spread: New York -3, Total: 47.5
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ – Sunday, November 4th, 4:25 ET
The Steelers and the Giants are both going to be contenders for the Super Bowl this year, but this game is going to be played in remotely absurd conditions. We’re not talking about the weather any longer, but the effects that the weather had on the state of New Jersey. The Steelers have to travel to East Rutherford on Sunday for this game, and they are going to have to fly right back out. Meanwhile, the Giants have had their practices and their general lives disrupted all week long thanks to the storms. This isn’t going to be an easy one to play for sure. The G-Men won the last battle of these two, a 21-14 triumph in the Steel City in 2008, but a heck of a lot has changed since that point. For what it’s worth, the Giants are 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings.
Dallas Cowboys (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) @ Atlanta Falcons (7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Spread: Atlanta -4, Total: 47.5
Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA – Sunday, November 4th, 8:20 ET
The Falcons are still the only undefeated team in the game this year, and they are going to try to get to the halfway mark in the campaign when they take on the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. Dallas has a history of winning games like this one out of the blue, especially when it is up against the wall like it is right now at 3-4. Head Coach Jason Garrett might be coaching for his job and QB Tony Romo might be playing for his job and his reputation. Still, the Atlanta passing attack could have a field day if the offensive line keeps QB Matt Ryan clean, as the Falcons have never lost a game in which he has thrown at least three touchdown passes. This is another one of these games where we would expect Matty Ice to at least come close to that number.
Philadelphia Eagles (3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS) @ New Orleans Saints (2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Spread: New Orleans -3, Total: 51.5
Mercedes Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA – Monday, November 5th, 8:30 ET
Expect to see a whole heck of a lot of points on the board in this one. The Saints and the Eagles are both offensive juggernauts, and it is only a matter of time until Philly turns all of those turnovers, especially the ones in the red zone, into touchdowns. Both of these teams know that time is of the essence, and there might not be all that many losses that either one can afford to still get into the playoffs. In fact, for the loser, the number might legitimately be zero for the whole second half of the campaign. The winning team has scored at least 27 points in each of the last five in this series, and all five games have reached at least 51 points. The road team has covered three in a row and has won two straight.
Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.
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