NFL Betting By the Numbers: Week 6
When you bet on the NFL, you should know all about the numbers. Numbers for stats, numbers for trends, numbers for betting lines, numbers for ‘totals’ – You should know it all. Here at Bang the Book, we are set to talk about the NFL betting lines for Week 6. Here are the most important numbers that you need to remember for the week!
0 – The number of games that the Houston Texans and the Pittsburgh Steelers have combined to cover thus far this season. There might be some hope, though. The New York Giants covered their first game of the year on Thursday Night Football against the Chicago Bears, and though they didn’t win, at least they figured it out for their bettors. These two playoff contenders though, are 0-9 ATS between them, and it’s going to be tough for either to take down an underrated team this weekend. Houston faces the St. Louis Rams, while Pittsburgh travels to take on the New York Jets.
1 – The number of touchdown drives that the Cincinnati Bengals have had in their last 21 drives over the course of their last two games. This was supposed to be a team that was a lot better offensively this year, especially with RB Giovani Bernard in the backfield. However, we have seen nothing but troubles at times, especially down near the end zone with teams spending more time paying attention to WR AJ Green. It’s only a matter of time until Green busts out again, but this is an offense that is clearly in some trouble right now.
3 – The number of teams that are favored by double digits this week. Down below, we’ll talk more about the game between the Denver Broncos and the Jacksonville Jaguars, but the games that we want to focus in on now are from the NFC West. The San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks are favored by 11 and 13.5 respectively. That’s not all that much of a surprise considering the fact that both teams are at home, but what is surprising is the fact that they’re both playing against teams that are 3-2 this season and could be on the verge of the playoffs. If the Arizona Cardinals and the Tennessee Titans want to make a huge statement, they can make that statement by going on the road and beating the Niners and Seahawks respectively.
4 – The number of consecutive games in which QB Matt Schaub has thrown an interception that was returned for a touchdown. If you remember properly, he also threw an interception in the first game of the year that was returned to the seven-yard line as well, and that resulted in a touchdown just one play later. Head Coach Gary Kubiak has at least considered sitting Schaub down, but for now, he is still the starting quarterback for the Houston Texans, no matter how many fans try to flip him off at his house or how many burger joints try selling “Pick Six” burgers in his honor.
8 – The number of consecutive games that the Indianapolis Colts have covered against teams with a losing record. Indy has been flat out awesome against teams that it should beat, though this isn’t you average game against a lousy team this week against the San Diego Chargers. The Bolts are 2-3, but they have played well enough to be 4-1 or 5-0. The game is on the road across the country, and it comes on Monday Night Football. Head Coach Chuck Pagano will be happy to escape Qualcomm Stadium with a triumph.
12 – The number of times that a quarterback has thrown for 500 yards in a game in NFL history. The 12th time came on Sunday when QB Tony Romo threw for over 500 yards for the Dallas Cowboys against the Denver Broncos. But of course, even after setting a franchise record for the most passing yards in a game and putting 48 points on the board, it’s the one interception that proved to be a blemish on a Picasso, and that’s what all of the fans in Big D want to talk about. Romo can’t ever catch a break when he makes any mistakes whatsoever. It’s exhaustingly frustrating for us to keep hearing all of the whining, so we can’t imagine how bad it is for Romo himself.
23 – The number of interceptions that QB Jay Cutler has thrown in primetime games with the Chicago Bears in just 17 games. Be very careful going forward here with the Bears when they are playing in these primetime outings, as they could end up being done in by a man who badly needs to showcase himself on the big stage if he wants that brand new contract from the Bears in the offseason.
26.5 – The number of points that the Jacksonville Jaguars are getting from the Denver Broncos this week. Not only is that the biggest point spread of the week, but it is the biggest point spread in the history of the NFL as well. This one has to hang above 26 to continue being the record, as the Pittsburgh Steelers were favored over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 26 four decades ago. The difference? Denver could give up 20 points and still cover this spread. Those Pittsburgh teams could score 28 and still cover a number like this one.
28 – The number of years that it has been since the Cincinnati Bengals won a game against the Buffalo Bills on the road. They have played the Bills 11 times since that point, and they are only 1-10 SU and ATS in those games, so it’s not like there has been all that much luck at home either. Buffalo is going to be starting QB Thad Lewis this week in hopes of a miracle with both of its first two quarterbacks injured, which is going to make it very likely that the Bengals get the job done.
40.5 – The number representing the lowest ‘total’ of the weekend. It’s shocking to think that of the 15 games, there isn’t a single one that is lined in the 30s, but that’s the case. The Kansas City Chiefs and the Oakland Raiders have the ‘total’ that is that low. Last season, this would have been a game that most would have thought would barely eke into the 30s. This year though, with QB Alex Smith and QB Terrelle Pryor running rather efficient offenses, things have definitely turned around just a bit for both squads.
41 – The number points that the last 10 games between the Tennessee Titans and the Seattle Seahawks have been decided by. Of course, with the Seahawks moving to the NFC a decade ago, a lot of these games happened quite a ways back, and some of those games came when the team was known as the Tennessee Oilers (or the Houston Oilers!). However, that 4.1 points per game isn’t the only amazing stat. There hasn’t been a game in decades between these two that was decided by more than 10 points, yet the Seahawks are being asked to lay 13.5 on Sunday at CenturyLink Field.
52 – The number of consecutive games that QB Tom Brady went in a row throwing a touchdown pass before last week’s loss to the Cincinnati Bengals. There’s good news for the Brady Bunch, though. They should be getting TE Rob Gronkowski back this week, and that means that Brady has back his best red zone target. This week is surely the one where another touchdown streak begins.
53.5 – The number representing the highest ‘total’ of the weekend. The Jacksonville Jaguars might get some better offense now that QB Chad Henne is back under center and now that WR Justin Blackmon is done with his suspension, but you can bet that all of those points are going to be needed to have any chance of sticking close to the Denver Broncos. The Jags have lost all of their games this year by double digits, and they are playing against a team that is threatening to score 40 in each of its games this season, so a ‘total’ this high is definitely justified, especially if you believe that Jacksonville can score at least 17.
99 – The number of points that were scored in last week’s epic game between the Dallas Cowboys and the Denver Broncos. We’ve heard all of the Arena Football League references, and they are perhaps apt, though there aren’t many AFL games where the two quarterbacks combine for over 900 passing yards. This was tied for the fourth highest scoring game in NFL history, and had Denver punched that last ball into the end zone instead of setting up the game-winning field goal as time expired, you never know how many points really could have been scored.
1974 – The number representing the year in which the Green Bay Packers last won a game in the city of Baltimore. Of course, the Baltimore Ravens haven’t been in town all that long, and the Packers have only paid one visit to M&T Bank Stadium, but there are a couple losses to the Baltimore Colts in here as well. Green Bay is favored in this one by 2.5 points, and that at least gives some hope for that nearly 40-year string without a win in Baltimore to be snapped.
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