NFL Betting Pick: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

49ers seahawks nfl free pickThe Seattle Seahawks (9-4) will put their three-game winning streak on the line when they meet the San Francisco 49ers (7-6) this week. This game will feature the NFL’s fifth-leading rusher, Marshawn Lynch (1,042 yards, 9 TDs). Seattle comes into this game looking to continue their recent success. They have won four of their last five. Players will take the field Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET and the game will air on FOX.

In a Week 13 meeting between these two teams, San Francisco suffered a defeat against Seattle 19-3. Lynch had a big performance in that game, carrying the ball 20 times for 104 yards. Chris Borland led the way for the San Francisco defense, registering 15 tackles.

The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is 41 points and the 49ers are a clear seven-point underdog. The Seahawks enter the game with records of 9-4 Straight Up (SU) and 7-6 Against The Spread (ATS) this season. Over their last five games, the Seahawks have records of 4-1 both SU and ATS. Seattle has kept their running game going like a well oiled machine lately, averaging 204.6 rushing yards during its last five matchups. The Seahawks defense has been very good this season, only giving up 18.1 points per game. Expect the 49ers to have a difficult time throwing the ball against the No. 1 pass defense in the NFL. The Seahawks give up only 190.2 yards per game through the air. The Seahawks hope to continue the trend of torching San Francisco’s defense during the first quarter, when they allow 6.7 points per road game.

On the other side, the 49ers have 7-6 SU and 5-8 ATS records this season. Over their last five games, the 49ers have a SU record of 3-2 and a 2-3 record ATS for those betting with them. San Francisco is a menacing group to opposing offenses. The 49ers give up just 212.5 yards per game through the air, fifth in the league. The 49ers usually get going immediately from the initial kickoff, averaging 7.4 points in the first quarter of road games. Keeping penalties at bay could be key for Seattle. The team earns an average of 8.5 penalties per game, the highest in the NFL.

Predictions: SU Winner – SEA, ATS Winner – SEA, O/U – Under

Notes

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 6 games.

Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.

San Francisco is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games at home.

San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.

Seattle is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco’s last 10 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle’s last 7 games when playing San Francisco.

San Francisco is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road.

Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco.

San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco.

San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle.

Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco’s last 7 games when playing Seattle.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle.

San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle.

San Francisco is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle.

San Francisco is 5-2 SU when leading at the half this season. Seattle is 7-0 SU when taking a lead into halftime.

San Francisco is 5-1 SU when leading at the start of the fourth quarter this season. Seattle is 7-1 SU when leading after three quarters.

This season, San Francisco is 5-1 SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, and only 1-4 SU in games where it loses the turnover battle.

Seattle is 4-2 SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, and an even 1-1 SU in games where it loses the turnover battle.

The San Francisco defense has forced an average of 2.2 turnovers over its last five games, but Seattle is 4-1 SU this season when turning the ball over at least 2 times in a game.

San Francisco has drawn an average of 8.0 penalties on opponents this season. Seattle is an even 4-4 SU when penalized at least 8 times in a game.

Since the start of last season, Seattle is 6-3 SU against NFC West opponents, while San Francisco is 6-4 SU against divisional foes.

The Seattle passing attack is ranked only 29th in the league, while the San Francisco pass defense is ranked fifth. The 49ers’ passing game is ranked just 27th, compared to the first-ranked pass defense of the Seahawks.

Seattle is rated higher in the ground game on both sides of the ball. Its first-ranked rushing attack will face the seventh-ranked run defense of San Francisco, while its third-ranked run defense will look to contain the 15th-ranked rushing game of the 49ers.

San Francisco has allowed 22.4 points per contest on the road, which is ranked 12th in the league. Seattle has scored 28.7 points per game at home (ranked eighth overall).

Aaron Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.