October 10, 2012

NFL Betting Trends – AFC Updated Futures

There are five weeks of the NFL regular season in the books making it is a great time to take a look at how the early results have impacted the betting public’s response to which team’s are now favored to win the AFC this year. Using Bovada’s updated futures odds for the AFC, here is look at few teams that the bettors have at the top of their list to end-up in Super Bowl XLVII from this side of the equation.

There is little wonder that the undefeated Houston Texans are the cream of the crop in the AFC and the new odds-on-favorite to win the conference at 2/1. The 5-0 Texans started the season as 11/2 second favorites behind New England, but have easily established themselves as the most complete team in the league. Through five weeks of action, Houston’s offense behind the trio of Matt Schaub at quarterback, Arian Foster running the ball, and wide receiver Andre Johnson are ranked third in the NFL in total points.

The Texans’ defense suffered a major blow this past week with the loss of linebacker Brian Cushing with a torn ACL, but it should quickly be able to quickly fill the void on a unit that is ranked near the top of the league in almost every major category.

It has been a bumpy ride for the New England Patriots so far with a 3-2 start that includes losses to Arizona and Baltimore, but the betting public still remains confident in their ability to make it back to the Super Bowl. New England is now the second-favorite to win the AFC at 5/2 after opening the season at 3/1. As long as Tom Brady remains behind center, this team will put a ton of points on the scoreboard and win its fair share of games.

It may not land the No.1 seed for the AFC playoffs, but you know that Bill Belichick’s bunch will have no fear if it has to go into Houston to win a title. That indoor track would probably favor Brady and Co. as opposed to the cold and possible snow in Foxborough that time of year.

The Baltimore Ravens opened the season as 7/1 third-favorites to win the AFC and via a 4-1 start and early lead in the AFC North over Pittsburgh have improved those odds to 4/1. The Ravens have already posted a victory over New England which could end-up factoring into home-field advantage and will get a shot at Houston next week. They still have two dates with the Steelers later in the year as well as late-season games against Denver and the New York Giants that will go a long way at determining their spot in the playoffs.

Baltimore’s true test will once against come in the postseason where Joe Flacco’s claim to be an elite quarterback in the NFL will come under direct fire. He is off to a good start, but do not forget that the calendar is still stuck in mid-October.

The fourth-favorite to win the AFC is the Pittsburgh Steelers at 10/1. They started the season in the exact same place but with odds of 7/1. The slight drop is probably due to a 2-2 start, but just like New England, this team will continue to win its fair share of games to be right in the playoff mix come early January. Early injuries have slowed this team down but if Rashard Mendenhall on offense and James Harrison on defense can return to their Pro Bowl form, it is more than capable of overtaking the Ravens for the division title.

The current odds for a few other teams in the conference along with their preseason odds in parentheses are Denver at 12/1 (15/2), San Diego at 12/1 (10/1), Cincinnati at 33/1 (16/1), and Miami at 60/1 (25/1).

 

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Dave Schwab

DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for BangTheBook.com as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.

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