For those new to bangthebook.com or this feature, it features the NFL lock of the week. The “Lock” is considered to be the best play on the board for that particular week. That play could be a favorite or an underdog, but it is essentially the best play on the board, hands down.
In week 15 of the current NFL season, the lock of the week is in the game between the New York Giants and the Washington Redskins.
The line in this game opened with the Giants listed as 6.5 point favorites, but after some heavy betting action by the public, the Redskins have jumped over 7 points, making this game a lock.
After a big win against the Dallas Cowboys, the New York Giants are on pace to win the NFC east as long as they don’t stumble against the Redskins. The Redskins have stumbled of late but they are still playing games very close. Their defense is rushing the quarterback with a reckless abandon and putting up a fight to the end.
The Giants are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0, 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games against a team with a losing road record.
Rex Grossman has some problems but even without the services for Fred Davis, he has plenty of weapons that he can use to exploit the Giants secondary.
The Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and 5-1 ATS in their last six against the NFC East. The Giants will have some letdown after a big win and that could open the door for an outright win in this game.