Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2013 NFL betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 11!
Indianapolis Colts (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) @ Tennessee Titans (4-5 SU, 5-3-1 ATS)
Spread: Indianapolis -3, Total: 42.5
LP Field, Nashville, TN – Thursday, November 14th, 8:25 ET
Someone is going to have to claim that last Wild Card spot in the AFC playoffs, and the Titans are only a game back from doing so. That said, they have a team that looks lost at the moment, and with QB Jake Locker out for the season after last week’s loss to the lowly Jaguars, it really doesn’t seem like they have any fight left in them. A win in this one, and Indy really has no excuse not to win the AFC South, something that should be a given with the Texans falling apart in front of our eyes. That said, it seemed like a given that the Colts were going to beat the Rams last week at home, and we all saw what happened in that one. Indy has won and covered three straight games in this series, though the last two could have just as easily gone either way. At the end of last season, Tennessee held down QB Andrew Luck and the gang to just 269 yards of offense, but it wasn’t enough to get the win.
New York Jets (5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS) @ Buffalo Bills (3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS)
Spread: Buffalo -1, Total: 41
Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY – Sunday, November 17th, 1:00 ET
There are only six teams in the AFC which are above .500 right now, and New York is one of the six. The Jets are in the playoffs, but they have a brutal schedule left, starting with this game in Orchard Park. The Bills have played sufficient ball defensively, and if they didn’t suffer all sorts of injuries this year at the quarterback position, they would have probably still legitimately been competing for a playoff spot as well. These two teams met early in the season, and New York rolled off 513 yards in a game at home that was won. The Jets know that they have the potential to do some damage here in a very important game. They are 6-2 ATS in the last eight games in this series, and it doesn’t get much more important than this one on Sunday.
Atlanta Falcons (2-7 SU, 2-7 ATS) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-8 SU, 3-6 ATS)
Spread: Atlanta -1.5, Total: 43.5
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL – Sunday, November 17th, 1:00 ET
This is the biggest dog game of the day, as these two teams only have three wins between them, one of which was an Atlanta victory over the Bucs a month ago. Both of these coaches, Head Coach Mike Smith and Head Coach Greg Schiano should be fired for as badly as their seasons have gone, though Smith at least has a winning history with the team. One bad season probably won’t see him ousted, knowing that he turned this team around from being a complete joke the year that QB Michael Vick was arrested to one that hosted the NFC Championship Game last season. Atlanta won 31-23 four weeks ago, but the game was on tilt the entire way. The Buccaneers are coming off of their first win of the season, and they are going to try to build a rare winning streak in this one at home. These two teams are split right down the middle of late, going 4-4-1 in their last nine meetings dating back to the end of the 2009 campaign.
Detroit Lions (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS)
Spread: Detroit -1.5, Total: 47
Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA – Sunday, November 17th, 1:00 ET
The Lions only probably have another week, maybe two with QB Aaron Rodgers and QB Jay Cutler both sitting on the sidelines for the Packers and the Bears respectively, and they have to take advantage of that fact and extend their lead in the NFC North as much as possible. It’s shocking to think that Detroit is favored in this game on the road against one of the perennial contenders in the AFC. Pittsburgh’s season isn’t over with yet, as a win last week against Buffalo left it just two back of the Jets for the last Wild Card spot in the conference. A win in this one could ultimately cut that deficit to just a game, something that would be really telling for a squad that has been brutalized at times this year. The Lions though, are rolling. They narrowly hung on for wins against the Bears and the Cowboys, and they know that the world is their oyster, and the road to hosting a playoff game is clear as long as they can get out of their own way. Pittsburgh has won back to back games in this series, but the Lions covered both outings. The last SU win in this series for the Lions was the Thanksgiving Day coin toss gaffe in overtime when Detroit held serve at home against the Steelers in 1998.
Washington Redskins (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS) @ Philadelphia Eagles (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS)
Spread: Philadelphia -3.5, Total: 53
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA – Sunday, November 17th, 1:00 ET
Think that these teams in the NFC East are pretty tight? The Redskins are 3-6, just as they were last season when they went on their magical run to the division title, and they very well could do the same thing in this one. Home field advantage is all that separates these two teams, and we know that it is going to be a heck of a fight the rest of the way for the Eagles and the rest of the teams in the division. QB Nick Foles has 10 TDs in his last two games, though he has been beating up patsy teams without legitimate quarterbacks of late. Washington’s loss last week to the Vikings was brutally bad, and it was the type of loss that can kill a season. Still, the Skins swept the season series last year, and they were arguably just one or two plays away from coming all the way back from down 33-7 against the Eagles in Week 1 in the first Monday Night Football game of the season. This could be a fun one.
Baltimore Ravens (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS) @ Chicago Bears (5-4 SU, 2-6-1 ATS)
Spread: Chicago -3, Total: 46.5
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL – Sunday, November 17th, 1:00 ET
The Bears still only have two covers all season long, and it is really tough to imagine that they are going to be covering too many with QB Josh McCown under center in place of the injured QB Jay Cutler. That said, they are still favored in this game, knowing that the Baltimore offense has had all sorts of problems. The Ravens are still only averaging less than three yards per carry for the season, and RB Ray Rice is going to hope to get something going against a team that has allowed at least 20 points in each of its games this year. Both of these teams are just a game back of their respective division leads right now, but neither can be overly happy about where they sit through nine games. The home team has won every game in this series for the last three decades, including going a perfect 6-0 ATS since 1989 when the Ravens were playing as the Cleveland Browns.
Cleveland Browns (4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS) @ Cincinnati Bengals (6-4 SU, 5-4-1 ATS)
Spread: Cincinnati -5.5, Total: 42.5
Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH – Sunday, November 17th, 1:00 ET
The Browns have a shot to get back to .500 this year, and the fact that that is even remotely plausible is a heck of an accomplishment. They are counting on journeyman QB Jason Campbell to continue to win games, something that he has done a lot of since taking over for the beleaguered QB Brandon Weeden. Cleveland can get the season sweep in this one and seize total control of the AFC North with a win, and that’s all that more exciting for a franchise that has yet to win a playoff game since coming back into the league. The Bengals though, are tough luck losers right now, having dropped a pair of games in overtime in a row, and they really could be a 9-1 team right now, with the one loss coming to none other than these Browns. Cleveland is 2-2 SU and 3-0-1 ATS in its last four in this series, and this could be a dangerous game for the hosting Bengals.
Oakland Raiders (3-6 SU, 5-3-1 ATS) @ Houston Texans (2-7 SU, 2-7 ATS)
Spread: Houston -7.5, Total: 42
Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX – Sunday, November 17th, 1:00 ET
The Raiders are going on the road for the second straight week and playing their second straight 1:00 p.m. ET start time. They covered last week’s game and had a shot to beat the Giants, and they are going to have a shot to win this one as well. Houston is now on the longest losing streak in the league at seven games, and though the argument could be made that it could be 0-9, the argument also could be made that it should be 3-0 with QB Case Keenum calling the shots. Head Coach Gary Kubiak is back this week after missing the last game and a half after suffering a stroke on the sidelines at halftime against the Colts on Sunday Night Football. All isn’t lost yet for these two teams, but you have to think that the loser of this one is going to lose all hope to get back into the playoff push. The Texans are 5-2 ATS all-time in this series.
Arizona Cardinals (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS)
Spread: Arizona -7.5, Total: 41
EverBank Field, Jacksonville, FL – Sunday, November 17th, 1:00 ET
The Jaguars and the Bucs were both 0-8 teams coming into last week, and both managed to break their perfectly imperfect seasons. Can they both start winning streaks this week? Jacksonville has a good chance to do so against an Arizona team that has a bad history of coming to the East Coast for these early games. That said, the Cards are still in the thick of the fight in the NFC playoff hunt, and there is a good chance that they are going to sneak into the back end of the playoffs in spite of the fact that they won’t finish better than third in their own division, the best division in the league. Jacksonville has a lot of work to do if it is going to win its first home game of the season in this one, though at least it knows that it is 2-1 SU and ATS all-time in this series dating back to 2000.
San Diego Chargers (4-5 SU, 5-3-1 ATS) @ Miami Dolphins (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS)
Spread: San Diego -2, Total: 45
Sun Life Stadium, Miami, FL – Sunday, November 17th, 4:05 ET
The Dolphins are in a lot of trouble right now, and they are playing some of the worst football in the league over the course of the last two months. This was a team that started at 3-0 and was thought to challenge the best of the best, but since then, the squad has been beaten in five out of six, and a scandal in the locker room has Head Coach Joe Philbin and GM Jeff Ireland wondering if they are going to ultimately be ousted any day now. San Diego has a long road trip here, but at least the game is being played in the afternoon and not at 1:00 p.m. ET. It’s also a short week of prep for Miami, which is coming off of that brutal loss on Monday Night Football in which the Fins managed just two rushing yards for the game. The Chargers have won and covered the last two games in this series, but you have to go back over two decades to find their last win in South Beach.
Minnesota Vikings (2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS) @ Seattle Seahawks (9-1 SU, 6-4 ATS)
Spread: Seattle -12, Total: 45.5
CenturyLink Field, Seattle, WA – Sunday, November 17th, 4:25 ET
The Seahawks and the Vikings have been trolling each other for years, and this goes all the way back to when Minnesota signed Steve Hutchinson in the offseason. Even this year, these two teams struck a trade with one another, as WR Percy Harvin has been dealt to Seattle. This is going to be the first time all season long that Harvin has suited for the Seahawks, and it is a heck of an opportunity for him to shine against his former team. Seattle badly needs a deep threat to stretch the field to open up the ground game, and this might be just what the doctor ordered. Minnesota is in a bad way right now, but at least it managed to get a victory last week against the Redskins. The home team has won and covered back to back games in this series dating back to 2009.
San Francisco 49ers (6-3 SU, 6-3 ATS) @ New Orleans Saints (7-2 SU, 6-3 ATS)
Spread: New Orleans -3, Total: 47.5
Mercedes Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA – Sunday, November 17th, 4:25 ET
The Saints are only favored by the value of home field advantage in this game, and it almost feels like they should be getting the nod by just a little bit more when push comes to shove. New Orleans has itself a great team with just two setbacks on the season, including winning 49-17 against the Cowboys in a game in which they had a whopping 40 first downs. It doesn’t get much better offensively than the game that the Saints just had. San Fran has had a history of doing well in this series though, and in spite of the fact that it has now lost its second home game of the season, it could be set to do well in this one. Remember that these two teams have met twice in the last two seasons, and in both games, the 49ers managed to pull off big victories, including in the NFC Divisional Round playoff game at Candlestick Park with that phenomenal run by QB Alex Smith to win the game.
Green Bay Packers (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS) @ New York Giants (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS)
Spread: New York -5, Total: 42
MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ – Sunday, November 17th, 4:25 ET
The Giants have gotten a gift in this one, and if they can take advantage of it, they might be just a game and a half back in the NFC East by the end of the day. They have won three games in a row, and now they get a Green Bay team that is going to be using QB Scott Tolzien out of Wisconsin for his first career start with both QB Aaron Rodgers and QB Seneca Wallace hurting. This is the end of the fun and games for New York though, as it has Dallas and Washington in its next two games after this one, so this is a game that must be had. The Packers are now a game back in the NFC North, and loss in this one, and they will suddenly be back to .500 and in danger of missing the playoffs. The Giants have three straight covers in this series, including a pair of SU victories in a row.
Kansas City Chiefs (9-0 SU, 6-3 ATS) @ Denver Broncos (8-1 SU, 5-3-1 ATS)
Spread: Denver -8.5, Total: 49
Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, CO – Sunday, November 17th, 8:30 ET
There haven’t been many regular season games quite like this one in recent memory. The Chiefs are the last undefeated team in the league left standing, and they are going to be going against the Broncos, whom many believe is the best team in the league. A win in this one for KC, and the path to home field advantage in the playoffs in the AFC would be completely clear. A loss though, and the Broncos will seize control of the division lead. There is a huge difference between winning this division and getting the #1 seed which is likely to come with it, and finishing with the top Wild Card slot and having to go on the road for three games in all likelihood just to reach the Super Bowl. Last season, the Chiefs were crushed in both games by the aggregate score of 55-12, but this is a much different scenario this season with Head Coach Andy Reid in charge.
New England Patriots (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS) @ Carolina Panthers (6-3 SU, 6-3 ATS)
Spread: Carolina -2.5, Total: 46.5
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC – Monday, November 18th, 8:40 ET
It’s not all that often that you see the Patriots underdogs in games, but in this one on Monday Night Football, they are considered to be on level terms with the Panthers. A win in this game, and not only will the AFC East title basically be wrapped up, but in all likelihood, New England will be just a game back of the top record in the AFC as well. Carolina has won five games in a row to get to 6-3 though, and it is the flavor of the month for certain. The NFC South title is certainly up in the air at this point, and every win that the Panthers can get, the better off they are going to be. These two teams have only met five times all-time, and though New England holds the 3-2 SU edge, it is only 1-4 ATS in those five games. Carolina has covered three in a row, including in the Super Bowl when it was beaten 32-29 as seven-point underdogs back in 2004.
is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.
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