NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6

Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2013 NFL betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 6!

New York Giants (0-5 SU, 0-5 ATS) @ Chicago Bears (3-2 SU, 1-3-1 ATS)
Spread: Chicago -7.5, Total: 47

Soldier Field, Chicago, IL – Thursday, October 10th, 8:30 ET

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NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6

Are the Giants ever going to win (or cover) a game this year? They haven’t done so yet and we are more than a month into the campaign. Things are starting to look ugly for sure, and QB Eli Manning and the gang are running up against a bad foe to try to snap all of that against this Thursday. The team is in some trouble for sure, knowing that the Bears force turnovers like mad, and New York has coughed it up 20 times in four games this year. It’s not a pretty proposition, but we do have to remember that QB Jay Cutler has more picks than games played in primetime in his career. The Giants did cover the last time that these two played back in 2010 in a game where the Bears amassed a grand total of 110 yards for the whole game.

Detroit Lions (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) @ Cleveland Browns (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)
Spread: Detroit -2.5, Total: 45.5

FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH – Sunday, October 13th, 1:00 ET

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NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6

The Browns have won three games in a row, but all three of those wins came with QB Brian Hoyer calling the shots. Now, Hoyer is out for the season with a torn ACL, and the only way to victories is by leaving the ball in the hands of QB Brandon Weeden once again. This offense was atrocious under Weeden the first time around, and he really didn’t look all that good against the Bills last week. Detroit wasn’t able to beat the Packers last week, but that game came without WR Calvin Johnson in the fold. Megatron should be back, and that will give an opportunity to get the job done in this one. QB Matthew Stafford will be relieved to get his prized receiver back in the lineup. These two have only met three times since the reincarnation of the Browns, and Detroit is 2-1 SU but just 1-2 ATS in those games.

Philadelphia Eagles (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS)
Spread: Philadelphia -1.5, Total: 45.5

Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL – Sunday, October 13th, 1:00 ET

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NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6

It’s a battle of backup quarterbacks, and it is probably the only time this year that you’ll see an Eagles game featuring a ‘total’ less than 48 or so. QB Mike Glennon now has the stage all to himself in Tampa Bay, as the team has released QB Josh Freeman, and that saga is now done with. The Eagles would love to not have to use QB Nick Foles in this game, but QB Michael Vick is hurt and is probably out for at least this week and possibly next. Foles has played well thus far in relief of Vick though, and we have a lot of confidence in his abilities to run this offense. These two clubs have had some tremendous battles with each other from back in the day, but it has been a long time since Tampa Bay broke its streak of a zillion straight games losing when the game time temperature is below freezing in the City of Brotherly Love. The Eagles are 2-0 SU and ATS in the last two in this series, including when they came South for the winter last year and won 23-21 as eight-point underdogs.

Oakland Raiders (2-3 SU, 4-1 ATS) @ Kansas City Chiefs (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Spread: Kansas City -8.5, Total: 40.5

Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO – Sunday, October 13th, 1:00 ET

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NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6

You wouldn’t recognize it, but the Raiders are right there in the AFC for the chase for a playoff bid. A few teams are 3-2 and a game in front of Oakland, but just the fact that the team has made it through a third of the season and is still in striking distance for the playoffs is saying something. QB Terrelle Pryor is back from injury, and that means that QB Matt Flynn is out. Not only is Flynn not the backup any longer, but he has been cut as well. The Chiefs continue to roll to win after win, and they really should be 6-0 going into next week’s game with Houston in what might be one of the biggest games of the year for both teams. Before we get ahead of ourselves though, we have to remember that this game isn’t a total pushover. The Raiders are 5-1 SU and ATS in this series over the course of the last six games in this series, though obviously, this is a much better KC team than we have seen in quite some time.

Cincinnati Bengals (3-2 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) @ Buffalo Bills (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS)
Spread: Cincinnati -7, Total: 41.5

Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY – Sunday, October 13th, 1:00 ET

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NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6

The Bengals have caught a big time break this week, as they get to play the Bills with QB Thad Lewis calling the shots and not QB EJ Manuel. This is essentially Buffalo’s fourth quarterback for the season, as QB Jeff Tuel really wasn’t deemed adequate and QB Kevin Kolb’s career might be over after suffering a concussion in the preseason. Cincy though, hasn’t looked good offensively, scoring just one touchdown over the course of its last 21 drives covering two games. If that’s the way that the offense shows up in this one, it could be a long day for sure in Orchard Park. Lewis can make things happen with his arm or his legs, and he is sure to be doing just that in this game. Buffalo was 8-1 SU and ATS in this series before 2011 when Cincy scored a 23-20 victory at home in a game in which it was a short underdog.

Pittsburgh Steelers (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS) @ New York Jets (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Spread: New York -2.5, Total: 41

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ – Sunday, October 13th, 1:00 ET

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NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6

The line movement has been goofy in this game, and it deserves being discussed. The Jets were +1 at the beginning of the week, and they quickly moved up to +3. However, after they beat the Falcons on Monday Night Football, they moved that line back to a pick ‘em, and now it is up to -2.5 and even -3 in some places as of Wednesday night. The bottom line is that this is a game that the Steelers absolutely have to win if they are going to have a shot of keeping their season alive. The problem is that their offense has had all sorts of problems, and going against this New York defense isn’t going to help that case any. Four of the last five meetings between these two have been decided by five points or fewer, though the exception was the game that these clubs played last year, a 27-10 win for Pittsburgh at Heinz Field. The last time the Steelers won a game in East Rutherford though, was way back in 2000.

St. Louis Rams (2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS) @ Houston Texans (2-3 SU, 0-5 ATS)
Spread: Houston -7.5, Total: 43

Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX – Sunday, October 13th, 1:00 ET

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NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6

Is this the most important game for the Texans all season long? The argument could be made that it is. Houston has played three straight very tough opponents in Baltimore, Seattle, and San Francisco, and it has lost all three games. QB Matt Schaub is under fire, and he very well could see himself ousted very soon as the starting quarterback if he continues his NFL record streak of four straight games with an interception returned for a touchdown. The Rams aren’t an easy foe either, though they haven’t really done all that much in terms of beating good teams (or even looking good against good teams). The Texans have logged at least 400 yards in their only two games against the Rams in their history, but they are only 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS to show for their work in those efforts.

Green Bay Packers (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS) @ Baltimore Ravens (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)
Spread: Green Bay -2.5, Total: 48.5

M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD – Sunday, October 13th, 1:00 ET

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NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6

The Packers know that they are going to have to continue to prove that they are amongst the best teams in the league, or they are going to quickly fall in the NFC North. They’re just a half game back now, but they’re only a game up on last place in the division as well. QB Aaron Rodgers and this offense are unstoppable at times, and it goes without saying that this is a team that is going to be a force to be reckoned with, especially if it wins the division. Baltimore is tied atop the AFC North, but this still doesn’t have the feel of a team that is excellent. Wins against Miami and Houston are both victories against playoff-caliber foes, and the types of wins that might prove to be tiebreakers come playoff time. The Packers haven’t won a game in Baltimore since 1974 (obviously it was that Colts that they beat that day), and the home team is 4-0 SU and ATS since 1998 in this series.

Carolina Panthers (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS) @ Minnesota Vikings (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS)
Spread: Minnesota -2.5, Total: 44

Mall of America Field at the HHH Metrodome, Minneapolis, MN – Sunday, October 13th, 1:00 ET

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QB Christian Ponder is officially on notice. It’s bad enough that two weeks ago while he was hurt, QB Matt Cassel played better ball than he did all season long, but then, the team went out on Monday and signed QB Josh Freeman to be added to the competition. Freeman won’t start this week as far as we know, but it might be just a matter of time until he is given the keys to the car in Minnesota. The Panthers meanwhile, are on notice as a whole team. The loss last week to the Cardinals was ugly, and a defeat in this one probably guarantees that the Panthers won’t even challenge for a playoff spot this year. If that’s the case, Head Coach Ron Rivera is out the door, and that might come before the season even comes to a close. These two teams have met four times since 2006, and the Vikes are 3-1 SU and ATS in those games. Carolina’s last win in Minnesota was in 2002.

Tennessee Titans (3-2 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) @ Seattle Seahawks (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Spread: Seattle -13.5, Total: 40.5

CenturyLink Field, Seattle, WA – Sunday, October 13th, 4:05 ET

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NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6

In another situation, perhaps the Titans would be underdogs by fewer points in this game. However, in this situation, they really don’t stand a fighting chance. The Seahawks are working on nearly a two-year long streak of winning games, and this isn’t the one where they’ll blow that. QB Ryan Fitzpatrick really didn’t look all that good this past week, and we can’t imagine that he is going to go into Seattle and win. The Seahawks are coming back home and playing a more traditional 4:05 ET game than the two 1:00 ET games that they have been playing the last two weeks on the road in Houston and Indianapolis. The team hasn’t really had a great game though, since beating the 49ers, and it would be nice for Head Coach Pete Carroll to see his team put a full and comprehensive victory together against an inferior team. The 10 meetings between these two teams dating back to 1988 have featured a total margin of victory of just 41 points, and none of the 10 games have ended with a margin of victory greater than 10.

Jacksonville Jaguars (0-5 SU, 0-5 ATS) @ Denver Broncos (5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS)
Spread: Denver -26.5, Total: 53

Sports Authority Field at Mile High – Sunday, October 13th, 4:05 ET

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Last week, the Broncos played in the fourth highest scoring game in the history of the league, as they gave up 48 points and managed to walk out of Dallas with a victory. QB Peyton Manning and the gang won’t nearly cut it as close this time. Denver is now the biggest favorite in the history of the NFL. It’s not all bad news for the Jaguars, though. QB Chad Henne is going to have to start this one, knowing that QB Blaine Gabbert has a hamstring injury (which may or may not just be code for having a bruised ego). Jacksonville actually has three straight wins and covers in this series, though none of those games came with Manning calling the shots in the Rockies. However, remember that Manning never really fared all that well against the Jags when he was in Indy either, so this game might end up being a little bit closer than the so called “experts” perceive.

New Orleans Saints (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS) @ New England Patriots (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS)
Spread: New England -2.5, Total: 50

Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA – Sunday, October 13th, 4:25 ET

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NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6

There are a heck of a lot of future Hall of Famers that are going to be involved in this game. We already know that QB Tom Brady and QB Drew Brees are going to the Hall, and if their top tight ends keep up this pace, TE Rob Gronkowski and TE Jimmy Graham will as well. Head Coach Bill Belichick will have a bust in Canton one day, and so too might Head Coach Sean Payton if he can bring another couple titles to the Bayou. Gronk might be the key in this one, as he is determined to get back in the fold for the first time this season this week. That would be a huge help for Brady, who has only posted one game with a quarterback rating over 100 this year. Dating all the way back to 1986, the Saints are 7-1 ATS in this series, including winning a few games in the 80s and 90s here in Foxboro.

Arizona Cardinals (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS) @ San Francisco 49ers (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS)
Spread: San Francisco -11, Total: 41

Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA – Sunday, October 13th, 4:25 ET

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NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6

The 49ers have only covered one of their last six games against NFC West foes, and this could be a bad spot for them as well. They have played back to back dominating games, but they are now having to settle down and take on a team that we think is one of the most underrated in the league. The Cards are 3-2 this year, and they are playing phenomenal defense and have an offense that is a lot more dangerous than you think. QB Colin Kaepernick and the gang are 5-2 ATS in the last seven games in this series, including winning the two games last year by a total of 35 points. Arizona has only kept one of the last seven games within 14 points, and that came in a 21-19 upset of a struggling San Fran team that went on to fire its head coach at the end of the 2011 season.

Washington Redskins (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS) @ Dallas Cowboys (2-3 SU, 4-1 ATS)
Spread: Dallas -5.5, Total: 53

Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX – Sunday, October 13th, 8:30 ET

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This is a dangerous game for the Cowboys. They are coming off of that devastating loss to the Broncos last week in a game that really should have been won several times over. Washington is coming off of its bye week, and it is eager to prove that it is good enough to win this division. The rest might be good for QB Robert Griffin III, who was tremendous last season against the Cowboys in two games, including on Thanksgiving Day when he showed the world that he was legit. The winner of this game will likely be in first place in the division at the end of the day, and it will certainly be in first place if the Eagles lose to the Buccaneers earlier in the day. Alas, this is the disaster known as the NFC East, where all four teams, even the 0-5 Giants, have every chance in the world to win the division title.

Indianapolis Colts (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) @ San Diego Chargers (2-3 SU, 3-1-1 ATS)
Spread: Indianapolis -1.5, Total: 50

Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA – Monday, October 14th, 8:40 ET

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NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 6

The Colts have really played well this year, and their one loss to the Dolphins seems to be excusable considering how well that the Fins have played this year. San Diego might have been beaten last week by the Raiders, but that was the first really bad game that the team played. The argument could be made that this club could be 4-1 this year. Indy is the chosen team right now in the AFC South, and with the favored Texans reeling and facing an undefeated KC team next week, there is a real chance to take a commanding lead in the division. San Diego has had all sorts of luck in this series of late, going 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in the last seven games in this series, including when QB Philip Rivers led his team to a 23-17 win the 2009 playoffs over QB Peyton Manning and the Colts.

Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.