NFL Betting: NFL Matchups for Week 9

Here at Bang the Book, we have all of the top matchups of the 2013 NFL betting campaign covered! Today, we’re taking a look at the best matchups for Week 9!

Cincinnati Bengals (6-2 SU, 5-2-1 ATS) @ Miami Dolphins (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS)
Spread: Cincinnati -1, Total: 42.5

Sun Life Stadium, Miami, FL – Thursday, October 31st, 8:25 ET

Handicapping Match-up Details Pick & Preview

The Dolphins and the Bengals are going in completely opposite directions right now. Miami started at 3-0 SU and ATS and is 0-4 SU and ATS since that point. Cincinnati was 2-2 SU and 2-1-1 ATS and is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS since that point. Now, the two will cross paths in South Beach in what amounts to be a really dangerous game for the Bengals. The AFC North lead is firmly in their control, but they are playing against a very desperate Miami team that has a lot of work to be done to get back to the playoff race. The Bengals are also just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against the Dolphins, and they have all sorts of problems playing here at Sun Life Stadium, where they have one win in the last three decades.

Atlanta Falcons (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS) @ Carolina Panthers (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS)
Spread: Carolina -7.5, Total: 43.5

Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC – Sunday, November 3rd, 1:00 ET

Handicapping Match-up Details Pick & Preview

Remember back when people thought that the Falcons were a good team but were just struggling to get it together? Reality is setting in, and that reality suggests that perhaps Atlanta isn’t all that good. The Panthers on the other hand, have stormed to three straight wins, and they are on the verge on being back in the playoffs in the NFC. We’re cautious about suggesting that this could be a great team though, knowing that the three clubs that Carolina beat would all struggle against the Alabama Crimson Tide with the way that they are playing right now. Still, it would be tough to justify anything but the Panthers being favored in this game by at least a half dozen points. More than a touchdown is a bit much, but with QB Cam Newton posting a QB rating of over 120 over the course of the last three weeks combined, why not? The Panthers covered both of the meetings of these two foes last year, including winning the home game 30-20 to hand the Falcons one of their three losses in the regular season.

Minnesota Vikings (1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS) @ Dallas Cowboys (4-4 SU, 7-1 ATS)
Spread: Dallas -10, Total: 47.5

Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX – Sunday, November 3rd, 1:00 ET

Handicapping Match-up Details Pick & Preview

The Cowboys are dubbed as “America’s Team,” and it seems really unlikely that they would be a significantly better ATS team than an SU team. Dallas has the best ATS record in the game at 7-1, yet it is on the verge of falling below .500 to put the whole NFC East in peril. The only reason that this team is favored by so much in this game is because the Vikes are a train wreck, and the only reason why Dallas is in the lead in the NFC East is because the Redskins, Eagles, and Giants have all taken turns figuring out how they can all be worse than everyone else in the division. Minnesota has actually covered seven of the last eight meetings in this series, and the Cowboys only have one SU victory over the Vikes dating all the way back to 1996.

New Orleans Saints (6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS) @ New York Jets (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Spread: New Orleans -6, Total: 45.5

MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ – Sunday, November 3rd, 1:00 ET

Handicapping Match-up Details Pick & Preview

The Saints have all of the betting action on their side in this game, and there is probably a heck of a lot of justification for it. They haven’t played a game in the last 13 days, and the last time that we saw them, they were beaten at the death by the Patriots. In fact, New Orleans is just two plays away from being a perfect team both from an SU and an ATS standpoint. The Jets meanwhile, are coming off of that whooping at the hands of the Bengals 49-9. They are definitely going to be an avoided team from the betting standpoint, as we all like what we know and have seen of late. The history really isn’t particularly good in this series either, knowing that the Jets have been held to 14 points or fewer in four of the last six meetings, and they haven’t scored more than 19 in any of those games. New Orleans is 6-1 ATS and 5-2 SU in the last seven games in this rivalry dating all the way back to the mid-80s.

Tennessee Titans (3-4 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) @ St. Louis Rams (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS)
Spread: Tennessee -3, Total: 39.5

Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis, MO – Sunday, November 3rd, 1:00 ET

Handicapping Match-up Details Pick & Preview

Head Coach Jeff Fisher absolutely has to get a bit emotional about this game on Sunday. He is going to be coaching against the team that he once took to a Super Bowl for the first time since his departure. This time around, he has a team that has a lot of problems, namely at the quarterback position. QB Kellen Clemens and the gang went 0-for-4 in the red zone from a touchdown perspective last week against the Seahawks, and now, it has a short turnaround time to play on Sunday, something that has been horrid for teams all season long that played on MNF. Tennessee is coming off of its bye, and it is surely going to be one of these teams in bad need of a ‘W’. The opportunity is there for the Titans for sure, especially with QB Jake Locker having a game and now a bye week under his belt to get ready for this one. Tennessee owns a 3-1 SU and 3-0-1 ATS record in the last four game in this series, but remember too, that the argument could be made that Fisher has the same records in this series since that point. It seems like forever ago, but this is the rematch of the first Super Bowl of the millennium, as Tennessee came up literally just inches short of sending the game to overtime.

Kansas City Chiefs (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS) @ Buffalo Bills (3-5 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Spread: Kansas City -3, Total: 40

Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY – Sunday, November 3rd, 1:00 ET

Handicapping Match-up Details Pick & Preview

This is clearly the trickiest line of the week to try to handicap. It looks so, so easy to take the unbeaten Chiefs on the road against the Bills, but it looks far too tempting to do that to us. Buffalo has one of the best home field advantages this side of Seattle, and the fact that it is going to have likely a fourth or perhaps a fifth option starting at quarterback is scary at best. QB Thad Lewis hasn’t been practicing with the team, and QB Jeff Tuel has once again been taking first team reps. Tuel hasn’t started a game yet this year, but he has been waiting for this moment. QB Matt Flynn is also a possibility, but it seems as though Tuel would be the man getting the nod first, knowing that he has been with the team all season long. The Bills have covered six straight games in this series, and have won five of the six SU. This could be the biggest trap of the week.

San Diego Chargers (4-3 SU, 5-1-1 ATS) @ Washington Redskins (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS)
Spread: Pick ‘Em, Total: 51

FedEx Field, San Diego, CA – Sunday, November 3rd, 1:00 ET

Handicapping Match-up Details Pick & Preview

The Chargers have been one of the few teams on the West Coast that have been lucky playing on the East Coast over the course of the last few years. They have won and covered four straight games here in the Eastern Time Zone in these 1:00 p.m. ET games. The Bolts are still holding that last Wild Card slot in the AFC, and they are going to be holding on tight to that with so many teams right on the verge of overtaking them. Washington isn’t out of it at 2-5, but it is really starting to feel like the season is almost over with at this point. The Skins have gotten better play out of QB Robert Griffin III of late, but their defense has been atrocious. San Diego is 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 ATS over the course of the last three meetings in this series, the last of which was in Week 17 of the 2009 season.

Philadelphia Eagles (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS) @ Oakland Raiders (3-4 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Spread: Oakland -1, Total: 45.5

O.co Coliseum, Oakland, CA – Sunday, November 3rd, 4:05 ET

Handicapping Match-up Details Pick & Preview

Last week, it was the Steelers which paid a visit to the Black Hole. Now, the Raiders are going to go for the Keystone State sweep when Philly comes to Oakland. Interestingly enough, Oakland is only a game back of the last playoff spot in the AFC. The quarterback carousel is continuing to turn in the City of Brotherly Love, knowing that QB Nick Foles is set to take over again after QB Michael Vick got hurt once again last week. There’s still a question as to whether Foles is really ready to go after suffering a concussion a few weeks ago. It always seems like it has to be “next quarterback up” for these Eagles, who have made six quarterback changes due to injuries to Vick and Foles already this season. Oakland has covered four straight in this series.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS) @ Seattle Seahawks (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS)
Spread: Seattle -16, Total: 40.5

CenturyLink Field, Seattle, WA – Sunday, November 3rd, 4:05 ET

Handicapping Match-up Details Pick & Preview

It’s not all that often that we think a team that played on a Monday and is playing on the next Sunday is that good of a bet, especially when the team on the other side of the field played the Thursday before it. However, we saw the Broncos blow out the Eagles in a very similar situation, and there is a good chance that the Bucs are going to get blown out by the Seahawks as well. Tampa Bay is a train wreck, and on a week where Jacksonville is on a bye, there is no doubt who the worst team is in the NFL playing. Seattle still has the best home field advantage in the league, and if there is a great equalizer to travel problems, seeing CenturyLink Field decked out in green and blue is surely it. The Bucs have had all sorts of problems stopping mobile quarterbacks this year, and QB Russell Wilson could be the next of the bunch to have a field day against this unit.

Baltimore Ravens (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) @ Cleveland Browns (3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS)
Spread: Baltimore -2.5, Total: 41

First Energy Stadium, Cleveland, OH – Sunday, November 3rd, 4:25 ET

Handicapping Match-up Details Pick & Preview

The Browns have an opportunity here that is going to be huge. If they lose this game, they are probably destined to just be the Browns and will certainly finish no better than third in the AFC North. Win this one though, and the opportunity could be there to get back into the playoff chase very, very reasonably. Remember that Cleveland pushed the heck out of this Baltimore team six weeks ago when they met at M&T Bank Stadium, and this could be every bit as good of a game. Six straight games have failed to reach the ‘total’ in this series. The Ravens have failed to score more than 17 points in two straight games, and QB Joe Flacco and the offense badly need to figure out how to get some more points on the board, though the Cleveland defense isn’t a good one to try to get some issues settled with.

Pittsburgh Steelers (2-5 SU, 2-5 ATS) @ New England Patriots (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS)
Spread: New England -7, Total: 44

Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA – Sunday, November 3rd, 4:25 ET

Handicapping Match-up Details Pick & Preview

The Steelers are in a whole heck of a lot of trouble right now at 2-5, and the loss on the road to the Raiders was probably a death knell to their season. They have a really tough game here in New England, and there is a real chance to be four games out of the lead in the AFC North eight games into the season, which would probably be too much to overcome. The Pats look rather human, but they did beat the Dolphins at home last week to improve to 6-2 and to put a chokehold on the AFC East. QB Tom Brady still hasn’t had a particularly sharp game in quite some time, and he is going to need a big one in this game against a team that he hasn’t had the best history in the world against at all times. These are two vastly different teams right now than the ones that were meeting in playoff games seemingly year in and year out, but for what it’s worth, New England is 4-2 SU and ATS in the last six games in this series.

Indianapolis Colts (5-2 SU, 4-3 ATS) @ Houston Texans (2-5 SU, 1-6 ATS)
Spread: Indianapolis -2.5, Total: 44.5

Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX – Sunday, November 3rd, 8:30 ET

Handicapping Match-up Details Pick & Preview

The Texans know that their 2013 season probably hangs in the balance this week on Sunday Night Football. The opportunity is there to perhaps move just a game back of the Wild Card spot with a win, and they can get back within two in the AFC South. However, a loss, and they might be two out of the Wild Card and four out of the division title race by the time this week is over with. Both Houston and Indy had byes last week, and both needed them for as banged up as they are. Both RB Arian Foster and RB Ben Tate are questionable, and if that’s the case, Houston is going to have all sorts of problems when it comes to running the football. QB Case Keenum is going to be starting at home for the first time in his career in place of the now healthy and now benched QB Matt Schaub. Houston has covered six out of seven here at home against Indy. The two teams split the season series both from an SU and an ATS perspective last year.

Chicago Bears (4-3 SU, 1-5-1 ATS) @ Green Bay Packers (5-2 SU, 5-2 ATS)
Spread: Green Bay -10.5, Total: 49.5

Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI – Monday, November 4th, 8:40 ET

Handicapping Match-up Details Pick & Preview

Technically, this game is for first place in the NFC North, but few are talking about that due to the fact that few believe there is any chance whatsoever for the Bears to win the game. Sure, QB Josh McCown could pull off some miracles, and if he does, he might ultimately push QB Jay Cutler for his job when he is healthy. Cutler, of course, is out for at least the next month with a groin tear, and his season might effectively be over. Green Bay is clicking on all cylinders right now, and it has a shot to really put the NFC North title to rest here at the halfway point of the season. Green Bay has covered and won five straight games in this series, and there is little reason to doubt that that would be the case once again in this one. The Bears haven’t won a game in six years here at Lambeau Field.

Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.

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