Thanksgiving Day football betting action is a great tradition like none other in all of sports, and here at Bang the Book, we are making our NFL picks for the clash between the Dallas Cowboys and the Miami Dolphins.
The Dolphins have the best record on Thanksgiving Day in terms of winning percentage amongst teams that have played at least five times on the holiday at 5-1, and they hope to continue that this week in Big D, a site of three of their five wins. Miami’s season looked to be said and done with after starting off the campaign 0-7, but since that point, Head Coach Tony Sparano has really gotten his team rolling, winning three in a row in convincing fashion. Now, an upset in this game, and all of a sudden, the squad could legitimately be a longshot to make the playoffs in the AFC. The key has been the defense, which just refuses to give up touchdowns now. The offense has done a good job taking care of the football, and RB Reggie Bush has had a renaissance as a runner, scoring a touchdown in each of the last three games. There is still a lot of work to do, and we have to remember that games against the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, and Washington Redskins aren’t exactly wins that will stand out at the end of the season, but there is no doubt that this team is more formidable now than it was a month ago.
The Cowboys have hit their annual Thanksgiving Day game on a high as well, winning three straight games as well. Again, the quality of opponent really hasn’t been all that special, but wins are wins, and there is no doubt that this is a team that is on the cusp of getting back to the postseason. Dallas has tied for the lead in the NFC East, and with two games with the co-leaders, the New York Giants still on tap, it could use all the wins that it can get. QB Tony Romo is No. 5 in the league in touchdown passes this year with 19, but once again, he is likely going to be without one of his favorite receivers, WR Miles Austin. Austin has a hamstring injury and has missed the last two games. There is only one game all year long in which Austin, WR Dez Bryant, and TE Jason Witten have all played from start to finish, thus making it all the more remarkable that Romo has been able to put up these types of numbers.
Miami Dolphins @ Dallas Cowboys Pick: Dallas is probably going to find a way to win this game, but we aren’t going to be counting out the Fins. We do suggest waiting to see if you can find a 7.5 later in the week, as the public loves backing the Cowboys and fading the Lions on Thanksgiving. In the end though, you’re going to be better served snaring the points.
NFL Pick: Miami Dolphins +7 Bookmaker Sportsbook.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.