NFL Pick: New Orleans Saints @ Tennessee Titans Preview
At times, it really looks like there isn’t a team out there that can slow down the Saints. When this offense gets going, it is really a work of art. QB Drew Brees has all sorts of streaks with games with at least one TD pass and games with at least 20 completions, and he became a 4,000 yard passer for the season in last week’s blowout of the Detroit Lions on Sunday Night Football. He has 30 TDs against 11 picks, and he only needs to average about 245 yards per game through the air for the rest of the year to become the first man in the history of football to have a pair of 5,000+ yard passing seasons. What we have to remember about New Orleans though, is that it hasn’t played great ball on the road this year. It was beaten by the lowly St. Louis Rams at the Edward Jones Dome, and it also was beaten by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, another team that won’t make the playoffs this year. In fact, the Saints have only put up fewer than 27 points in four games this year, and all four came on the road.
Tennessee knows that it has a great chance to make a move this weekend. The rest of the 7-5 teams in the AFC all have relatively difficult games, and though this is also a very difficult game, it certainly is one that is winnable. Any hopes of winning the AFC South probably go out the window with a loss, as an ‘L’ parlayed with a Houston Texans win gives the division title to the boys from the Lone Star State. The Titans have won three out of four, and they have covered four in a row. The real difference has been the emergence of RB Chris Johnson. Over the last four games, Johnson has rushed for at least 130 yards three times, and after not having a single game this year in which he averaged even five yards per carry, over the last two weeks, he has averaged 6.7 and 8.3 yards per tote. The clock has been controlled as well, and as a result, no one has scored more than 23 against this defense since allowing 41 against the aforementioned Texans back on October 23rd. This will be a real test though, as this offense is a heck of a lot better than those of Buffalo, Tampa Bay, Atlanta, Carolina, Cincinnati, and Indianapolis.
New Orleans Saints @ Tennessee Titans Trends: The Saints are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, but we have to remember that, like Tennessee, they have covered four in a row as well. The Titans have done particularly well in this series of late, winning four straight and going 3-0-1 ATS. However, they haven’t faced New Orleans since Brees came to the team, and that definitely makes the dynamic of this one a heck of a lot different than the games of recent history.