NFL Pick of the Week – 2013 Week 10

Matchup:Oakland Raiders vs. New York Giants

Date/Time: November 10th, 1:00 PM ET

Television: CBS

NFL Betting Odds from WagerWeb Sportsbook

Spread: New York -7

Total: 43.5

Week 10 of the NFL season is here! With all of the games on the docket each and every week, we are going to be zeroing in on just one side or total that we think is the best of the bunch. Join us today, look at the game on Sunday, November 10th between the Oakland Raiders and the New York Giants.

Losing RB Darren Sproles early on in the game didn’t help us last week, as the New Orleans Saints ended up getting beaten by the New York Jets to drop us to 4-5 ATS on the season. This week, we’re going back to MetLife Stadium, and we’re going to be backing a team that we think has really turned a corner at this point and should be poised for a big run.

It’s not all that unbelievable to think that the Giants could ultimately win the NFC East after starting at 0-6. The team has won back to back games, and with the Cowboys taking on the aforementioned Saints this weekend, there is a good chance that New York could be one back in the loss column with just less than half of the season to play.

The bye week probably helped Head Coach Tom Coughlin and the gang, as it gave them the chance to refocus and work on a portion of the schedule that should be providing the team with some victories. All of a sudden with the Green Bay Packers not having QB Aaron Rodgers, a run could be had, as these next three games are all at home and are all going to be games in which the G-Men are favored.

We will admit that we are concerned that RB David Wilson still hasn’t been cleared to return to the lineup, as the ground game with RB Peyton Hillis and RB Brandon Jacobs isn’t very good. There’s a reason that the Giants rank 30th in the league in rushing at just 69.9 yards per game, though they have been getting things together just a bit of late.

The bottom line though, is that QB Eli Manning has cut back on his turnovers. His stats haven’t looked all that flashy, but as long as the number in the interception column is a zero, there is no reason to think that New York would be losing this game.

It has also helped out a ton that New York has gotten its defense going. The team has allowed a total of just 14 points in its last two games, and though holding the Minnesota Vikings to just seven isn’t all that much of an accomplishment, holding the Philadelphia Eagles to seven certainly looks to be a huge feat, knowing that QB Nick Foles just threw for a league-record seven touchdowns without an interception last week.

The team that just allowed those seven touchdown passes? None other than these Raiders. Oakland might have a fighting chance to get into the playoffs this year, but the fact of the matter is that four of the next five games are on the road, and save for a home victory over the San Diego Chargers, there isn’t much to write home about. The only cover on the road this year came in Week 1 against the Indianapolis Colts, and we just don’t see it happening in this one either.

QB Terrelle Pryor has a knee problem that could really slow him down if he ultimately plays, and RB Darren McFadden is out of the fold with a hamstring injury. That leaves RB Rashad Jennings and RB Marcel Reece to try to run the football, and that isn’t going to cut it when push comes to shove. Pryor is also the team’s leading rusher, and he has created plenty of offense on his own over the course of the season with his legs.

If Pryor is slowed or isn’t in the lineup, there isn’t a man that can really create that same type of dynamic. QB Matthew McGloin runs at about the speed of molasses flowing uphill, so we know that that would be one less problem that New York has to deal with.

The bottom line is that everything Oakland does well, it only does well when it has a healthy roster. This roster isn’t healthy, and that isn’t going to make a lot happen on either side of the ball. Manning won’t throw seven touchdown passes this week as we saw Foles throw last week, but there is a real chance that this is a game that could end up getting pretty ugly, especially if Pryor isn’t in the lineup.

The favored team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in this series, and the last time these two met in 2009, Manning and the Giants scored 44 points in a massive victory, holding Oakland down to just 124 yards of offense. We definitely like Big Blue on Sunday.

Week 10 NFL Pick of the Week: New York Giants -7

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Cole Ryan

Cole Ryan

Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.

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