NFL Pick of the Week – 2013 Week 2
Date/Time: September 15th, 1:00 PM ET
NFL Betting Odds from WagerWeb.AG
Spread: Philadelphia -9.5
Week 2 of the NFL season is here! With all of the games on the docket each and every week, we are going to be zeroing in on just one side or total that we think is the best of the bunch. Join us today, look at the game on Sunday, September 15th between the San Diego Chargers and the Philadelphia Eagles.
Last week, we made out just fine with our pick of the week on the Jets, who did, as we expected, beat the Buccaneers. That moves us to 3-0 ATS with our picks of the week between college and the pros. This week in the NFL, we’re going to be looking at the Chargers and the Eagles, a game in which we feel as though there has been a massive overreaction to what went on last Monday night.
Both Philly and San Diego played on Monday Night Football this past week, and there is good reason to think that both of these teams are going to be tired after a long week. The Eagles ran 53 plays in the first half of last week’s game against the Washington Redskins, and they ended up really not doing a darn thing in the second half offensively. Even the offense got tired, as this unit just doesn’t have the depth to be able to keep up with its own pace when it is running at its fastest.
The issue that we have is that RB LeSean McCoy probably isn’t going to be running the ball 31 times again in this game. McCoy did run for 184 yards and a TD, making him the top rusher in the entire league in Week 1. Like we said though, it is incredibly unlikely that he is going to be used so much in the offense.
On top of that, we can’t figure out whether QB Michael Vick is really healthy or not. At the end of the game last week, you would think that Vick was the quarterback that was coming off of ACL surgery, not QB Robert Griffin III. Vick can run and run like the dickens, and he threw the ball for 205 yards and two TDs. However, if he really has a groin injury like it seems, he could really be slowed. There’s a chance that if Vick and the offense are going to run 80 plays in this game, there could be some issues. QB Nick Foles might need to come into this game, and that might mean that this offense could take a step back.
On the other side of the field, the Chargers still can’t run the football, and their offense doesn’t have the wide receivers to make up for it. Sure, San Diego went up 28-7 in that game against the Houston Texans, and we definitely like the up tempo offense that gives QB Philip Rivers a chance to look over the defense before snapping the pigskin.
The Bolts scored just seven points in the second half, and they managed just seven rushing yards in the second half as well. The only run for more than 12 yards on the day belonged to Rivers on a scramble. In the end though, he only threw for 195 yards on 14-of-29 passing. It sort of makes those four TD passes look like a bit of a sham.
This ‘total’ just continues to rise, and we don’t think that it is a legitimate number at this point. The most points per game in the history of the league is 38.8, and the most in recent history is what the 2007 New England Patriots put up at 36.8 points per game. And the oddsmakers think that a game against an at best average offensive team is going to feature more than 55 points more often than not? We just don’t see it. The Chargers are going to have a long week of preparation in this one, but we do believe that eventually, defenses are going to figure this Chip Kelly offense out. If San Diego figures out how to do it in a span of just five days of preparation, this game won’t get anywhere near the number.
Week 2 NFL Pick of the Week: Under 55.5