NFL Picks: 2010 Odds to Win NFL MVP (as of 9/16/10)
MVP Update (as of 9/16/10)
Ready to see how the best MVP candidates in the NFL are doing? Check out our new, weekly odds analysis of the 2010 MVP odds for the best players in the NFL!
Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers: Considering the fact that Rodgers didn’t have that great of a game on Sunday, it is a tad surprising to see him as the favorite to win this award after just one game. We love Green Bay’s signal caller and know that he is going to get a ton of looks now that RB Ryan Grant is out for the season, but the only nice thing to say about a game in which he went 19-of-31 for 188 yards with two TDs and two INTs is that the Packers won on the road, taking care of the Philadelphia Eagles 27-20. We love Rodgers as an MVP choice, but probably not at these odds.
Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts: There is a silver lining for Manning in Indy’s 34-24 loss to the Houston Texans on Sunday. We know that the Colts are going to win games. It’d be impossible to envision the defending AFC champs not making the playoffs as long as No. 18 stays upright. Still, save perhaps RB Arian Foster, who ran all over his defense, no one put up better sheer numbers in Week 1 than Manning did. He went 40-of-57 for 433 yards and three scores. The 40 completions was the most that he has ever thrown for in his career. If the Colts aren’t going to bother trying to establish a running game, Manning could be a threat to hit 400 yards every single week through the air, and watching him throw for 5,000 yards and 40 TDs isn’t out of the question. If that’s the case and Indy makes the playoffs, Manning is probably winning the MVP Award.
Chris Johnson, Tennessee Titans: And we’re off and running once again! Last year’s 2,000+ yard back is already starting his old tricks. Johnson rushed for 142 yards on 27 carries and found pay dirt twice in a 38-13 win for his Titans over the Oakland Raiders. The former ECU Pirate has now had 12 straight 100+ yard games. Unfortunately for him, this week’s opponent, the Pittsburgh Steelers, give up a 100 yard rusher about as often as the Apocalypse descends onto earth. Still, the Titans are clearly invested in Johnson this year 100%, and anything less than a 1,500 yard season would be a bitter disappointment.
Tom Brady, New England Patriots: Brady is really thankful that WR Wes Welker is back in the lineup. For as long as that’s the case, the Pats really don’t need a rushing game. Welker is the favorite option of Brady’s when he only needs a few yards, whether it be as a slant over the middle, a short curl, or the bubble screen like the one he scored on in the first half against the Cincinnati Bengals last week. It is fairly clear that the Pats are going to use their passing game a ton this season, which should come as no surprise. Rookie TEs Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez might make all the difference of making this team very, very lethal offensively. Against one of the best defenses in the NFL last year, Brady threw for 258 yards and three TDs in Week 1.
Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints: Putting up 14 points against the Minnesota Vikings certainly wasn’t all that impressive last week for the defending Super Bowl champs, but wins are wins. As long as the Saints are winning, Brees has a great chance of winning MVP honors this year. He did complete 27-of-36 passing for 237 yards with a TD pass in Week 1, and though those are pedestrian numbers by his standards, there would be nothing wrong with that passing yard total as long as the TDs come up. But Brees will be the first to tell you that an MVP award doesn’t mean anything to him, especially if he can put another Lombardi Trophy up in the office in New Orleans.
Philip Rivers, San Diego Chargers: It’s fairly clear that Rivers is going to need another wide receiver to help him through this season. Missing WR Vincent Jackson could very well kill his MVP chances this year, and they might ruin the chances of the Chargers to win the Super Bowl as well. Last week’s Monday Night Football loss to the Kansas City Chiefs was devastating. Rivers had a good statistical game, going 22-of-39 for 298 yards with two TDs, but it coming in a losing effort is going to spoil any of the numbers. Rivers is still on our MVP watch list, but we know that he is going to need to do better than this to both win the award and guide the Bolts back towards the playoffs.
Odds to Win 2010 MVP at BetMania (as of 9/16/10)
Aaron Rodgers +350
Adrian Peterson +1500
Alex Smith +4000
Brett Favre +2000
Chris Johnson +1000
Drew Brees +1200
Eli Manning +3000
Felix Jones +4000
Joe Flacco +2500
Mark Sanchez +2500
Matt Ryan +4000
Matt Schaub +2000
Michael Turner +4000
Peyton Manning +800
Philip Rivers +1500
Randy Moss +4000
Ray Rice +3000
Tom Brady +1200
Tony Romo +2000
Odds to Win 2010 MVP at BetMania (as of 9/16/10)
Latest posts by cappers (see all)
- Odds to Win the 2013 BCS Championship by Joe D’Amico - August 30, 2012
- NFL Values on Over/Under Total Wins by Joe D’Amico - August 30, 2012
- NFL Odds to Win it All by Joe D’Amico - August 30, 2012
- 2012 Sun Belt Conference Football Predictions - August 23, 2012
- 2012 WAC Conference Football Predictions - August 23, 2012