September 30, 2010

NFL Picks: 2010 Odds to Win NFL MVP (as of 9/30/10)

MVP Update (as of 9/30/10)


Ready to see how the best MVP candidates in the NFL are doing? Check out our new, weekly odds analysis of the 2010 MVP odds for the best players in the NFL!

Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers: We always knew that Rodgers was going to become the focal point for this offense when RB Ryan Grant went down for the season, and that was proven to be exactly the case on Monday Night Football. Rodgers had to throw the ball 45 times, completing 34 passes for 316 yards with a TD and an INT on the day. A 20-17 loss to the Chicago Bears will sting, but it isn’t the end of the world. In the end, the former Cal Golden Bear did enough to win this game, while his teammates didn’t quite pick up the slack, especially in the dying five minutes or so. As long as the Pack are the favorites to win the NFC North, Rodgers is the favorite to win the MVP Award.

Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts: It was incredibly clinical last week watching Manning tear apart a rock solid Denver Broncos defense. With WR Pierre Garcon on the sidelines, Manning had no problem throwing the ball to little used WR Blair White, and he also used WR Austin Collie, connecting with his 12 times for 171 yards and two TDs. It doesn’t seem to matter who Manning has in the lineup around him. He is always coming up with the big play to whomever is out there to catch passes. He threw for 325 yards and three TDs and is now one of the few QBs in the league to have at least 1,000 yards through just three games this year.

Chris Johnson, Tennessee Titans: The big caveat this year for Johnson is going to be Tennessee making the playoffs. If the Titans don’t get there, it doesn’t matter what type of year he has, he won’t get the award, just as was the case last year. Johnson was an absolute bull last week and did all of the dirty work, running the ball a whopping 32 times against the New York Giants. The former ECU Pirate has a new streak of 100+ yard games going after getting his 12 game streak snapped two weeks ago against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

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Adrian Peterson, Minnesota Vikings: The man they call Purple Jesus is back in the fold for the MVP Award this year, and for good reason. Peterson was the one that came out and said that the Vikes were still okay this year, even at just 0-2 on the season, and that a victory would make for a nice, easy bye week. He called it. AP rumbled for 160 yards, including an 80 yard TD run in a 24-10 win over the Detroit Lions. It is clear that QB Brett Favre is going to need Peterson to run like the wind this year to win ball games, and if the Vikings do recover, he will be a serious contender to win this award.

Tom Brady, New England Patriots: With as bad as this defense is for the Pats, Brady might not have a choice but to be an MVP favorite this year if they are going to make the playoffs. This is a big, big game coming up for the Brady Bunch, as they are going into hostile territory in Miami on Monday Night Football. But as for last week, Brady threw for three scores and 252 yards on 21-of-27 completions, and he is clearly on his way to another 30+ TD season without a shadow of a doubt.

Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints: Brees did everything that he had to do last week in the OT loss to the Atlanta Falcons, so we have to be wondering what in the heck is going on in the New Orleans locker room right now with the ill fate of K Garrett Hartley. Brees did toss two picks, but he also threw for three TDs, led the game tying drive at the end of regulation, and what should’ve been the game winning drive in OT. When all was said and done, the former Purdue Boilermaker star went 30-of-38 for 365 yards.

Odds to Win 2010 MVP at BetMania (as of 9/30/10)
Aaron Rodgers +200
Adrian Peterson +1000
Alex Smith +5000
Brett Favre +5000
Chris Johnson +800
Drew Brees +1200
Eli Manning +5000
Felix Jones +5000
Joe Flacco +2500
Mark Sanchez +2000
Matt Ryan +5000
Matt Schaub +2000
Michael Turner +5000
Peyton Manning +500
Philip Rivers +3000
Randy Moss +5000
Ray Rice +3000
Tom Brady +1000
Tony Romo +2500
Field +150

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