Love him or hate him, it’s hard to deny that Pete Carroll has done an excellent job with the Seattle Seahawks. His attitude blends well with the players on his team and if there’s one thing Carroll has proven it’s that he hates to lose at any time, even in the preseason. Following Seattle’s opening-week loss to the Denver Broncos, the Seahawks have an 11-5-1 record against the point spread with Carroll in charge.
There’s little doubt that Carroll wasn’t too pleased with his team following the game at Denver, as Seattle committed 13 penalties and the offensive line was particularly poor for much of the game.
It’s reasonable to expect a much-better effort from the Seahawks when they host former division rival San Diego on Friday night at CenturyLink Field, the team’s first appearance in front of the home fans since winning the Super Bowl.
Seattle opened as 5.5-point favorites and are now favored by six. The total on the game has remained 38.5, which is one of the lowest totals for the week.
The Seahawks have several solid trends in their favor in this game, as Week 2 favorites of six or more points have gone 5-1 ATS over the past three seasons, which is better than they do the other three weeks of the preseason. The Seahawks are also 2-0 against the Chargers in the preseason under Carroll, who is still on an 11-2 ATS run as the majority of his point spread losses came in his rookie season when Seattle was 1-3 straight up and 0-3-1 against the spread.
If looking at the Seahawks to cover a 6-point spread, it also makes a bit of sense to give the over a look, as you have to expect Seattle to score some points and Week 2 totals are 19-12-1 the past two seasons, while Seattle is 10-7 in totals under Carroll.
The battle for backup quarterback in Seattle also plays to the over. While Tavaris Jackson and Terrelle Pryor haven’t tore up the National Football League, both have starting experience and are capable of putting some points on the scoreboard, especially when playing against third-string players and free agents. B.J. Daniels didn’t play in the opening game and it’s unknown if he’ll see some mop-up action in this game, as his chances of making the team are slim and Carroll has only carried two quarterbacks for the past two seasons.
Several starting offensive linemen will return for the Seahawks and while they won’t play a whole lot, it does help with the depth chart, as Alvin Bailey and Caylin Hauptmann, who started last week’s game, will see more action with the second team.
Laying points in the preseason isn’t always ideal, but the trends point to the Seahawks and the over in this one.
Allen Moody is a sports bettor and author who has been immersed in the betting scene for more than 30 years and has worked with some of the biggest names in sports handicapping. Using historical anaylsis and betting market trends, he is able to uncover solid value plays on a consistent basis.