The Indianapolis Colts and the New Orleans Saints are set to square off in Sunday Night Football betting action this week at the Louisiana Superdome. But before you make your NFL picks for the big game on Sunday, check out some of the great NFL betting trends that we have for the duel!
Indianapolis Colts Notes: The Colts are being outscored by nearly 10 points per game this year, and there’s a reason that they are already at 0-6 and looking forward to a top draft pick in the upcoming NFL Draft. However, they have been stingy at times, covering a pair of spreads to move to 2-4 ATS on the season. They really haven’t had a non-competitive game since the first week of the year at the Houston Texans, and the argument certainly is there that this isn’t the worst team in football. The bad news Indy is that it is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games overall dating back to last season. The good news is that it is 15-7-2 ATS in its last 24 games on the road.
The hope is that QB Curtis Painter can really get going. The truth of the matter is that he hasn’t played all that poorly this year, but this is the toughest competition that he is going to go up against from another offense’s perspective. Painter has only completed 54.9 percent of his passes, but he has averaged nearly 200 passing yards per start and has five TD passes against just one INT.
Obviously, the injury to QB Peyton Manning is the one that ruined the season, but we’re not all that sure that that blow was the only one that wrecked the 2011 edition of the Colts. Eric Foster, Ben Ijalana, Jaimie Thomas, Gary Brackett, and Melvin Bullitt are all on IR as well. Anthony Castonzo and Ryan Diem are both questionable with ankle injuries, which will only further hurt this offensive line. In the backfield though, if there is any good news, it is that RB Joseph Addai should be back in the fold after sitting out last week’s loss at the Cincinnati Bengals with a hamstring injury.
New Orleans Saints Notes: New Orleans has only lost twice this year, but both times came on the road. In fact, it’s good for the Saints to be back at home, where they have covered five of their last six dating back to last season (and the one that they failed to cover was a relatively meaningless game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the end of the regular season in Week 17). Still, the fact that the Colts are so bad bodes poorly for the Saints. They are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a losing record. They are 1-1 ATS this year though, but neither game was at home.
QB Drew Brees is going against a defense that ranks No. 27 in the league overall and No. 29 in scoring, so he has to be licking his chops. The good news is that he has had at least 350 passing yards in five of his six games this year. He also has three games with three TD passes and four with at least two scores. The bad news is that he has been picked off eight times in his last four games, numbers of which he isn’t all that used to.
The big question is going to be who is snapping the ball to Brees, though. C Olin Kreutz quit the team this week, leaving a huge void in the center of this offensive line. TE David Thomas has missed three straight games with a concussion, and he could return to the fold. DT Sedrick Ellis is also questionable with an ankle injury. Aside from that though, this is a relatively healthy team… unless of course, you want to consider Head Coach Sean Peyton’s broken leg that will keep him coaching from the press box a notable injury.
Head To Head: The last time that these two teams met up was in the Super Bowl. No one expected New Orleans to be able to beat the might Colts with Manning in the fold, but thanks to a ballsy onside kick call to start the second half by Peyton, the upset was cemented. Before that though, this series belonged to Indianapolis in the Manning era. The Colts won the only other two contests between these two teams by an aggregate score of 96-31 dating back to 2003. The Saints won all five meetings both SU and ATS dating back to 1986 before that, though.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.