The Minnesota Vikings and the Green Bay Packers are set to square off in Monday Night Football betting action this week at Lambeau Field. But before you make your NFL picks for the big game on Monday, check out some of the great NFL betting trends that we have for the duel!
Minnesota Vikings Notes: Don’t count the Vikings totally out of this game automatically. Since taking over for the benched QB Donovan McNabb, QB Christian Ponder has led his team to two covers and an SU victory, which is a heck of a lot more than McNabb was able to pull off in most two game stretches this year. The team is coming off of its bye week as well. The Vikes don’t typically play well on Monday Night Football, failing to cover four in a row in this situation. They’re also 0-4-1 ATS in the last five seasons in Week 10. Minnesota is just 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight divisional games, and it is only 5-11 ATS in its last 16 road tests, but on the flip side, it is 3-1-1 ATS in its last five games as an underdog.
For all of the hype around Ponder and how “well” he played against the Packers, he only went 13-of-32 for 219 yards with two scores and two picks. A whopping 72 of those yards came on the first pass play of the game though, so there is less to those numbers than to what meets the eye. What is definitely notable though, is that RB Adrian Peterson rumbled for 175 yards and a touchdown on 24 carries. “All Day” has reached the end zone on the ground in four straight games, and he is up to 798 rushing yards and nine scores on the season. He also has another 125 as a receiver, and he is well on his way to yet another season with at least 1,500 yards and a dozen total touchdowns.
DB Chris Cook’s two-game suspension was lifted for his off the field issues, so he should be back in the lineup this week, but G Anthony Herrera was ruled out earlier this week with a knee injury. Aside from that though, the only other injuries listed on the report are DB Antoine Winfield (neck, probable) and RB Lorenzo Booker (concussion, questionable), and neither of those injuries should have a major impact on the game.
Green Bay Packers Notes: The march to perfection continues for the Packers. They are 8-0 already, and DB Charles Woodson was very open this week talking about the possibility of going 16-0 in the regular season and then winning the Super Bowl. And sure, it’s easy to see why. The team ranks No. 1 in the league in scoring at 34.4 points per game and No. 4 in total offense at 416.4 yards per game, and there just doesn’t seem to be a team in America that has the ability to stop it. The Pack have all sorts of ATS stats on their side… so try these on for size! 5-0 ATS in L/5 in Week 10… 4-0 ATS in L/4 as home favorites… 5-1 ATS in L/6 as favorites… 12-3-1 ATS L/16 home games… 14-5-1 ATS in L/20 against games with a losing record… 26-10-1 ATS in L/37 overall… Is that enough proof for you that this team is legit?
As always, when you talk about the Pack, you have to talk about QB Aaron Rodgers. He threw for 335 yards and three TDs when these two teams met a few weeks ago, and he has thrown for at least two TDs in all eight of his games this year. He’s on pace to throw for over 5,200 yards and 48 TDs against just six picks on the season, and he has another 127 rushing yards and two TDs on the ground already in his first eight games to boot. The 335 yards that Rodgers threw for against Minnesota was an average day in the office, though; he has six games with at least 300 passing yards thus far this year. Rodgers also has completed at least 80 percent of his passes in each of his last two games, and he hasn’t completed less than 62 percent of his passes in a game this season.
The injury front is relatively quiet for Green Bay this season, a far cry from what was the case last year. T Chad Clifton and DE Mike Neal have both been out of the lineup for at least the last month, and the fact that they are both missing this week should be of little concern. LB Frank Zombo is the only real injury of note though, as he has been ruled out with a hamstring injury.
Head To Head: This has been a series of streaks of late. Green Bay won a slew of games in this series in the mid-2000s through 2008, including covering four straight games in ’07 and ’08. From there, the Vikes won three in a row, and now, the Packers have won three in a row again. Minnesota was able to hang in front of the number in the 33-27 game at the HHH Metrodome earlier three weeks ago.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.