The New England Patriots and the New York Jets are set to square off in Sunday Night Football betting action this week at MetLife Stadium. But before you make your NFL picks for the big game on Sunday, check out some of the great NFL betting trends that we have for the duel!
New England Patriots Notes: Are the Patriots really that good this year? That’s the question that has come out of Foxboro over the course of the past few weeks. The team has had four straight performances under 30 points after 13 straight reaching that plateau. That being said, the team is still 25-10-1 ATS over the course of its last 36 games after an SU loss, and it is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four games as an underdog. The Patriots are also 6-2 ATS in their last eight division games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in the conference.
In the first go around of these two teams, the offensive line was the key for the Patriots. The unit did open up holes for 136 rushing yards and two touchdowns for RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis. However, it also allowed four sacks to the New York pass rush, and it has struggled over the course of the last few weeks. The Steelers and Cowboys have been able to get all sorts of pressure on Brady, forcing him to get rid of the ball a lot faster than he probably would have wanted to. If this doesn’t improve, especially if the Meadowlands, Brady and the New England offense could be in some trouble.
Most of the injury concerns for the Pats are already known. RB Kevin Faulk has been out for most of the season, and this week doesn’t seem to be any different, and LB Brandon Spikes is considered doubtful. Former Jet, DE Shaun Ellis has injured ribs that have him listed as questionable in this one, but the biggest injuries of note are S Patrick Chung (knee) and T Nate Solder (concussion). Both are listed as questionable, and both are big parts of their respective side of the ball.
New York Jets Notes: New York likely played the best game of its season last week against the Bills to force this first place tie in the AFC East with Buffalo and New England. It was a true renaissance for a Jets outfit that could have been buried once and for all had it lost that game, especially if this one were to be lost as well. The Jets have covered 19 of their last 28 against the AFC, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games played here at home. Head Coach Rex Ryan and company know that winning this game gives them the edge in the division for the rest of the season as long as it keeps winning, as it will hold the tiebreaker over the Patriots as long as it doesn’t lose another divisional game.
QB Mark Sanchez has a knack of playing well in games like this one. He threw for 166 yards and two scores the first time around, a 30-21 loss in Foxboro, and his numbers this year really aren’t all that special either. He has thrown for 1,775 yards and 13 scores against seven picks, but his completion percentage is a woeful 57.5 percent. If he can’t pick it up in this one against a pass defense that ranks dead last in the league at over 310 yards per game, there are going to be some serious issues from now through the rest of the season.
There are plenty of nagging injuries for the Jets, but the mass majority of the men on the injury report are expected to play. The biggest names are likely RB Shonn Greene (head), TE Dustin Keller (concussion), and WR Plaxico Burress (back). The only man that is out of this game that isn’t already on IR is S Brodney Pool, who suffered an MCL injury in last week’s win against the Bills.
Head To Head: The winner of this one is going to be at least in a first place tie for the division lead, while the loser is probably going to be tied for second and third. Even more important is the tiebreaker between these two teams. The Patriots will have won the season series with a ‘W’, but if they lose, they’ll be a game and the tiebreaker behind the Jets by virtue of their divisional loss against the Bills. New England won the first meeting 30-21, stretching New England’s edge to 10-2 ATS over the course of the last 12 meetings in this series. That being said, the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.