The San Diego Chargers and the Jacksonville Jaguars are set to square off in Monday Night Football betting action this week at Ever Bank Field. But before you make your NFL picks for the big game on Monday, check out some of the great NFL betting trends that we have for the duel!
San Diego Chargers Notes: It could be all over but the crying this year for the Chargers. If by chance the Cincinnati Bengals and Oakland Raiders both win on Sunday, the Bolts will be 3.5 games back of the playoffs with just five to play, and they would just about be mathematically eliminated. That being said, this is a game in which Head Coach Norv Turner is probably coaching for his job. San Diego has lost six in a row both SU and ATS to drop into this position, and though it has made the playoffs before in this type of a spot (remember when the team was 4-8 a few years ago and still made the postseason?), this just doesn’t seem like the year. The Chargers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games in the month of December, but they are only 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as road favorites.
QB Philip Rivers just can’t take care of the football to save his life. He is missing receivers left and right, and the end result is that the offense just isn’t able to do enough damage to put games away. He is only completing 61.1 percent of his passes this year, and he has 16 TDs against 17 INTs. Meanwhile, Rivers only completed 52.8 percent of his passes in last week’s loss against the Denver Broncos, and he hasn’t had a game with a quarterback rating over 91 since Week 4 against the lowly Miami Dolphins.
WR Vincent Brown has done a nice job taking over for the injured WR Malcom Floyd, but Floyd could be back this week after sitting out for a month with a hip pointer. Up front, Louis Vasquez and Tyronne Green have injuries that could keep them out of the lineup, which is terrible news for a team that already has three offensive linemen on injured reserve. DB Marcus Gilchrist also isn’t likely to play for a third straight week with a hamstring injury.
Jacksonville Jaguars Notes: Though the Jaguars are out of the playoff race, they have to have a renewed sense for the game. Head Coach Jack Del Rio is out, and Mel Tucker is in, and on top of that, owner Wayne Weaver has announced that he is selling the team to a man who is committed to keeping the squad in Jacksonville at the end of the year. That being said, the team is just 16-34-1 ATS in its last 51 games played on grass, and it is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 Monday Night Football games, though it does have a win at home against the Baltimore Ravens here on MNF. Jacksonville is just 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games as an underdog, and it is only 1-4 ATS in its last five against teams with a losing record.
Tucker knows that he has to get the ball in the hands of RB Maurice Jones-Drew. Jones-Drew has already toted the rock 230 times this year, but he is second in the league in rushing with 1,040 yards. MJD could be well on his way to a rushing title, but he could also be on his way to over 400 touches in the season. He is on a pace for 368 for the season, which would be a new career high after having 365 touches in his best year of 2009. Jones-Drew has reached at least 84 rushing yards in all but one game this entire season, making him one of the most consistent backs in the league.
The Jaguars already have a whopping 13 players on injured reserve this year, including some fantastic names like Clint Session, Rashean Mathis, and Zach Miller. That being said, the injuries of concern right now are to starting DEs Aaron Kampman and Matt Roth. Kampman has a hamstring injury, while Roth has a head injury. DT Terrence Knighton is likely going to miss a fourth straight week with an ankle injury as well, giving Tucker some real depth issues up front.
Head To Head: There isn’t a heck of a lot of history between these two teams, as they have only had four meetings with one another. The home team has won all four meetings both SU and ATS. The ‘over’ has been popular in these games as well, as it has cashed at a 3-0-1 clip in the four meetings. The home team has scored at least 24 in all four meetings, but Jacksonville hasn’t scored more than 20 in a game all year long.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.