The San Diego Chargers and the Kansas City Chiefs are set to square off in Monday Night Football betting action this week at Arrowhead Stadium. But before you make your NFL picks for the big game on Monday, check out some of the great NFL betting trends that we have for the duel!
San Diego Chargers Notes: If the Bolts can win this game, they’ll open up a full game lead in the AFC West and will probably put the Chiefs away once and for all. That being said, the team has suffered both of its losses on the road this year, and the only win was at a Denver Broncos team that really hadn’t found its identity yet. The Bolts are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games favored by more than a field goal but less than double digits, but they are only 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games as favorites of that margin of points.
Something needs to change with QB Philip Rivers soon if the Chargers are going to be a serious threat to win the Super Bowl. He does have a slew of yards this year with 1,715, but he only has seven touchdown passes against nine picks. He was picked off twice when these teams met in Week 3, and he doesn’t exactly have a sparkling history in this series. Rivers has completed more passes to his two running backs this year, RB Ryan Mathews and RB Mike Tolbert than any other receiver on the team. That’s really not good news for a team that is relying upon its passing game as often as the Chargers do.
TE Antonio Gates came back into the fold last week after missing all of San Diego’s games dating back to Week 2 with a foot injury. He did score a touchdown last week and looked good, though he has been limited in practice. RB Mike Tolbert didn’t show up on the injury report until Wednesday with a hamstring problem and a hand problem, and though no one totally knows what is wrong, he is considered seriously questionable for the game. WR Malcom Floyd is doubtful with a hip pointer as well.
Kansas City Chiefs Notes: Is this really the same team that started off the season by getting absolutely clocked by the Buffalo Bills and Detroit Lions? Since that point, the Chiefs nearly pulled off the upset of the Chargers at Qualcomm Stadium, and then they rolled off three straight victories. Now, with a win, KC will be back in first place in the AFC West after being left for dead just a few weeks ago, and it will have forced a three way tie atop the division with San Diego and the Oakland Raiders. Still, the Chiefs are only 2-5 ATS in their last seven games in the division (though both wins have come this year), and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning record on the road. That being said, KC is also 5-1 ATS in its last six games played in October and 8-2 ATS over the last 10 seasons in Week 8.
The man that really emerged in that game against the Chiefs a few weeks back was WR Dwayne Bowe. Bowe was absolutely nowhere to be heard from in the first two weeks of the season, but after that, he has really turned it on. He hasn’t had a game with less than 67 yards since Week 1, and he has found the end zone four times in his last four games. The former LSU Tiger really woke up last season after three solid, but not spectacular years. He had 72 receptions for a career high 1,162 yards and 15 TDs, earning his way to the Pro Bowl in the process.
There are three players that are on IR for torn ACLs, RB Jamaal Charles, S Eric Berry, and TE Tony Moeaki, but aside from that, we are expecting to see all of the Chiefs play on Sunday. Fortunately, the injury bug has really not bitten this team that hard after stinging it over and over in the first two weeks of the campaign.
Head To Head: San Diego was lucky to escape with a 20-17 win when these two teams met up a few weeks ago. The Chiefs easily stuck inside the 14.5 point spread. Last year, the Chargers whipped Kansas City 31-0 at Qualcomm Stadium, but its last visit here to Arrowhead Stadium didn’t go all that well. In a win that really set the tone for the rest of the season, the Chiefs won on Monday Night Football 21-14.
Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.