December 12, 2011

NFL Trends: St. Louis Rams @ Seattle Seahawks Betting Trends & Injury Report

BetOnline.comThe St. Louis Rams and the Seattle Seahawks are set to square off in Monday Night Football betting action this week at CenturyLink Field. But before you make your NFL picks for the big game on Monday, check out some of the great NFL betting trends that we have for the duel!

St. Louis Rams Notes: The Rams really have nothing to play for but pride and draft positioning in this one, as they are clearly long since out of the playoff race. Head Coach Steve Spagnuolo needs to show some spunk in these final few games to feel relatively safe about keeping his job, as this is now the second disastrous season that he has had in the three in which he has been in the Gateway to the West. St. Louis might be 9-4 ATS in its last 13 road games against teams with a losing home record, but that’s where the positive NFL betting trends stop. The Rams are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games played in division, and they are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 against the NFC. They’re also 1-6 ATS in their last seven as road underdogs dating back to last year’s loss right here on this field in the game that proved to be for the NFC West title and the No. 4 seed in the playoffs.

Regardless of who is under center this week for the Rams, they are going to have to get something out of their ground game. Last week was tough for RB Steven Jackson, as he was going against a San Fran defense that hasn’t allowed a rushing touchdown all season long. He ended the day with 10 carries for 19 yards, the third straight game in which he has failed to average even four yards per carry. Jackson has rumbled for 832 yards and four scores this year in basically what has amounted to be nine games. Those are great numbers, but without a passing game to help him out, this offense is just dead in the water.

This St. Louis offense looks like a M*A*S*H* unit. QB Sam Bradford sat out last week wit an ankle injury, and then QB AJ Feeley busted up his thumb in the shutout loss to the Niners. Both quarterbacks are questionable, and neither is overly hopeful to be able to play, which leaves just QB Tom Brandstater to take snaps. WR Danny Amendola and WR Greg Salas are already on IR, as are reserves TE Michael Hoomanawanui and WR Mark Clayton. RB Cadillac Williams has a calf injury that has him listed as questionable, while three lineup have been ruled out of the lineup as well. Defensively, LB Josh Hull has a hamstring injury that will likely cost him a third straight game, while DE Chris Long has an ankle sprain that has him listed as questionable.

Seattle Seahawks Notes: This is the final game on a three-game home stand for the Seahawks, and it is the first of the bunch that there is no doubt they should win. They’ll rue the day that they were beaten by the Washington Redskins, as they would have had a chance to draw even in the Wild Card race with a win in this one had they not lost it. That being said, in all likelihood, the Hawks will be just a game back with three to play if they can win this game, which is remarkable for a team that was written off a month ago. Seattle has gone 3-0-1 ATS in its last four games on Monday Night Football, and it is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games against the NFC. The Seahawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 divisional tussles and 6-2 ATS in their last eight at home. The downer though, is the fact that they are a stunningly bad 3-24-2 ATS in their last 29 games following a two touchdown victory.

The Seahawks dominated time of possession when these two teams met earlier this year in a 24-7 victory for the visitors at the Edward Jones Dome. RB Marshawn Lynch had 27 carries for 88 yards and a TD, and he comes into this one having scored a TD in eight straight games. Lynch has had at least 22 carries in five straight games, and it should come as no surprise that that has translated into four covers in that stretch as well. Lynch could be working on a Pro Bowl season. He has 854 yards on the ground and 170 more as a receiver, and he has a total of nine TDs.

Believe it or not, there really aren’t that many injuries to report. T Russell Okung has a pectoral injury that landed him on IR this week, and WR Sidney Rice is also out for the season with a concussion. There are no new injuries aside from that.

Head To Head: This has been a bad series for the Rams. They are just 1-8 ATS in the last nine meetings in this series, and they haven’t even covered a game in Seattle since 2006, a streak of four in a row. This is also generally an ‘under’ series as well. The ‘under’ has gone 5-2 in the last seven meetings here at CenturyLink Field, while it is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings overall. Seattle won the first meeting of the season 24-7, and it is going for its fourth series sweep in the last five years in this rivalry on Monday.

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Andrew Ryan

Andrew Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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