NFL Week 11 Free Pick: New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
(6-3, 5-4 ATS)
(6-3, 4-5 ATS)
First place in the NFC East is on the line in the City of Brotherly Love in arguably the biggest Sunday Night Football betting bash of the season, as the New York Giants try to take out the Philadelphia Eagles.
The G-Men watched as their five game winning streak went by the boards in a bad loss to the Dallas Cowboys last week that put them in this predicament. We know that this might be the best team in the NFC, but we also know that there are some glaring holes to fill. There are still too many senseless penalties taken. Receivers are still dropping too many balls. The offensive line, which could be missing both C Shaun O’Hara and T David Diehl really needs to get healthy. However, even considering all of those things, New York ranks No. 1 in the NFL in total defense at 270.2 yards per game and No. 2 in total offense at 409.8 yards per game. DE Osi Umenyiora has only gotten his starting job back thanks to the fact that DE Mathias Kiwanuka is on the IR, but he has made the most of his chance. Umenyiora has nine sacks and a league high seven forced fumbles to show for his work on the campaign. Offensively, missing WR Steve Smith for potentially the rest of the regular season is hurting, but WR Hakeem Nicks is rounding in a Pro Bowler, while WR Mario Manningham stepped up last week and has the ability to be just fine. It also helps that RB Ahmad Bradshaw has already chipped in 838 yards and five scores on the season.
Is QB Michael Vick the league’s MVP ten weeks into the season? One thing is for certain, and that’s that he surely has his signature game if he is. What Vick did last week against the Washington Redskins, a team that totally stymied the Philly offense without No. 7 in it in the City of Brotherly Love back in Week 4, was absolutely insane. Vick went 20-of-28 for 333 yards and four scores, and he added two more TDs on 80 rushing yards to boot. The six TDs marked a career best and was certainly the best individual performance that any player has had this season. The key with Vick this year? He still hasn’t turned the football over this year. The Eagles have a dynamic offense, especially with the addition of RB Jerome Harrison. WRs Jeremy Maclin and DeSean Jackson are always available on the outside for stretching the field, which is why this team ranks No. 3 in the league in total offense at 400.2 yards per game and No. 2 in scoring at 28.6 points per game.
We know that Vick has really done a nice job with this offense this year, but the time is going to come that Philly is going to have to hold someone under 24 points, or it is going to lose. This is going to be that day. There won’t be a problem with any of the offensive numbers for the Eagles, and they’ll fly to 27 points or so against this New York ‘D’. The problem? The G-Men are just going to outscore them.
NFL Free Pick: New York Giants +3
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