Point spread: New England -9
The New York Giants square-off against the New England Patriots this Sunday afternoon at Gillette Stadium in an NFC-AFC clash between two division leaders. Kick-off is set for 4:15 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on FOX.
New York currently sits atop the NFC East with a two-game lead over the other three teams after hammering out a 20-17 victory over Miami this past Sunday as a 9.5-point home favorite. In typical Giants’ fashion, it was not pretty, but good enough to move them to 5-2 straight-up (3-3-1 against the spread) on the year. The total has gone ‘over’ in four of their seven games.
One of the main reasons for New York’s early success has been Eli Manning’s ability to manage the game and take care of the ball. Last season he personally turned the ball over 30 times through interceptions and fumbles, but through seven games he has only turned it over six times (five interceptions and one fumble).
New England hardly looked like a team ready to make a Super Bowl run in its 25-17 loss to Pittsburgh as a three-point road favorite. It is now 5-2 SU and tied with Buffalo for the lead in the AFC East. The total stayed ‘under’ the 52-point line against the Steelers but it has gone ‘over’ in four of the other six games.
Despite Sunday’s loss, the Patriots are still one of the most potent offenses in the league. Tom Brady has already thrown for 2,361 yards and 18 touchdowns and Wes Welker is responsible for 824 of those yards and six of those scores. The problem with this team is a defense that is ranked last in the league in total yards allowed.
The Giants are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as underdogs on the road and the total has gone ‘over’ in eight of their last 11 games as underdogs.
The Patriots are 25-9-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a SU loss. The total has gone ‘over’ in eight of their last nine games as home favorites.
Head-to-head, New York is 1-4 SU in the last five meetings, but 4-1 ATS. This time around stick with New England to bounce-back with a solid win at home that covers the nine points.
The Free NFL Pick: New England 35 New York 24
DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for BangTheBook.com as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.