NFL Week 9 System Picks
Throughout the course of the NFL season, teams will usually have several instances where they’re home for consecutive weeks, as well as a couple of games where they are the visitors for consecutive weeks. Astute bettors have picked up on some definite trends that involve teams that are on the road for back-to-back contests.
Teams on the road after a loss on the road are a solid 129-82-1 (61.1%) since the start of the 2008 season. This week there are four such teams; Baltimore -3 at Cleveland, Atlanta +7.5 at Carolina, Pittsburgh +7 at New England and Chicago +10.5 at Green Bay on Monday night. The line in the Green Bay game is inflated due to Josh McCown getting the start for the injured Jay Cutler. If McCown is injured, you can throw your tickets away, as their back-up is the newly signed Jordan Palmer, the brother of Carson.
The system is 12-3 (80%) this season and went through October with a perfect 8-0 record.
Two of the teams, Pittsburgh and Chicago, have several other trends in their favor. Teams on the road after a loss as a road favorite are an outstanding 29-11 (72.5%) since the start of the 2008 season and both the Bears and the Steelers were defeated as small road favorites a week ago. This trend is 4-1 for the season.
The Ravens fall into several other minor systems that show road favorites 33-25-1 (56.9%) after a loss on the road and shows teams 99-68-1 (59.3%) on the road after a loss as a road underdog. The Falcons also fall into the second system.
Overall, all teams playing after a loss as a road favorite have been decent wagers, going 88-68 (56.4%) in their next game since the start of the 2008 season and are a solid 13-3 this year, which moved the trend from 54.5% up to its current percentage.