NCAA Football Betting Preview
No. 1 Florida Gators (4-0) at No. 4 LSU Tigers (5-0)
Saturday October 10th, 8:00PM Eastern
Betus.com betting line – Florida -8
The top ranked Florida Gators face their biggest challenge to date when they travel to Baton Rouge to take on the No. 4 LSU Tigers this weekend. The Tigers have withstood some tough early challenges in the SEC surviving to remain with an unblemished record of 5-0. However, the Tigers now take on the team the world thinks can not be beaten in their chance to take down Goliath. The Florida Gators have had a week off with some much needed time to heel as they suffered some injuries against Kentucky in their last outing in a 41-7 victory. The main injury was sustained by former Heisman Trophy winner Tim Tebow when the Gators quarterback was knocked out of the game from a concussion. The question that has been on everyone’s mind is will the famous quarterback get to play in the Gators biggest game of the season this weekend?
Good news for Gators fans is that all indicators point that Tebow should be good to go this Saturday night in a battle in the Bayou. Tebow started practicing early as Tuesday and should be cleared for play. Not that the Gators offense could not be effective without Tebow, but they would definitely rather have their leader on the field. Tebow has thrown for 6 touchdowns this season while giving up 1 pick and has run for an additional 5 scores. The always dangerous quarterback has actually had a fairly small snap count considering the Gators have blown out all competition this season outside of Tennessee allowing other players time on the field.
However, that will not be expected this weekend. The running game from Florida is expected to flourish. The Gators lead the nation averaging a stout 307 yards per game on the ground. The Gators have a lucrative stable of running backs that are rotated consistently. Jeffrey Demps leads the team with 304 yards with an unbelievable 10.9 yards per carry. Backing up Demps are tailbacks Chris Rainey and Emmanuel Moody who are both averaging an impressive 8 plus yards per carry. Of course when the Tigers defense gets caught moving forward, Tebow will be looking for wide outs Riley Cooper and Aaron Hernandez who are very dangerous on the outside.
The Tigers offense will get their biggest challenge to date facing the best defense in America. The Gators defense has allowed just 212 yards per game of total offense. The Tigers offense has struggled for the most part this season and that does not match-up well for them against an overpowering defense. The main problem LSU has faced is their inability to run the ball. The Tigers rank 3rd worse in the SEC averaging just 135 yards as a team on the ground. Running back Charles Scott had a breakout year last season, but has not had as much production as expected. However, Scott did break open the game’s winning run last week on a 33 yard touchdown run with 46 seconds to play against Georgia. LSU will look for Scott and tailback Keiland Williams to add some more big plays to the offense.
However if there are going to be more points scored, QB Jordan Jefferson will have to play a great game. Jefferson has controlled the ball well this season throwing just 2 picks to 7 touchdowns. Jefferson has a ton of talented receivers to target in Terrance Toliver and Brandon LaFell. LaFell surprised many last year giving up a chance to go to the NFL and is poised for a big game. Both LaFell and Toliver have caught 23 passes and 2 scores this season. The Gators secondary is very talented, but these two guys can make some plays to keep LSU in the game and possibly win.
Pick – LSU is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games at home while Florida is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. The line is way to low here as LSU has struggled on both sides of the ball. Those struggles now have to be solved against a flawless Florida stage in a nationally televised late night game and it will not happen. Florida wins convincingly.