NCAA Football Betting Preview
No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (11-0) at Auburn Tigers (7-4)
Friday November 27th, 2:30PM Eastern
Betus.com betting line – Alabama -12.5
The no. 2 ranked Alabama Crimson Tide seek to cap off their 2nd straight perfect 12-0 regular season this Friday to kick start rivalry week. The Crimson Tide have already locked up their spot to play for the SEC Championship, but perhaps more importantly are on the pursuit of perfection. The Crimson Tide will take on their rivals in the Auburn Tigers in the Iron Bowl this Friday afternoon in the final game of the year for both teams.
Auburn has had a pretty solid season in Gene Chizik’s first season as coach, but they are looking to avenge a 36-0 blowout from the Crimson Tide one year ago. Auburn held a long run over the Crimson Tide prior to last year’s big loss winning 6 consecutive games before the 2008 massacre and they look to get the trend started once again. The Tigers have an offense that must be respected, but they are taking on the Alabama Crimson Tide who many consider the best team in America.
Alabama wins ball games by controlling the trenches on both sides of the ball. Their offensive and defensive lines look like NFL type size guys and they are extremely strong up front. Auburn has one of the best running backs in the SEC in Ben Tate who also recently made the claim to be “the best running back in the state.” However, Tate’s ability to control the ground may not be a certainty against the Alabama defense. QB Chris Todd will have to spread out the defense and try picking them apart.
After all, the Tigers do hold the advantage in the passing game with Todd behind center. Todd has thrown for 2,196 yards with 19 touchdowns this season. To beat the Crimson Tide defense, the key will be to completing a ton of passes and keeping the Alabama defense on their heels. If that happens, Tate may be able to break open some plays later in the game giving that dual threat, but I believe the passing game will have to jump out to a strong start for that to happen.
Tate’s claim as the best back in the state may be valid in any other state outside of Alabama. However, the Crimson Tide have sophomore Mark Ingram who is leading most Heisman Trophy polls after racking up 1,399 yards this season. The impressive aspect to Ingram’s rushing yards is most of his biggest games have been against the biggest competition and you can expect Alabama to feed him the ball plenty this Friday. With Alabama’s huge offensive line and Ingram running through tackles, that could be enough in itself to win the football game.
However QB Greg McElroy could take a ton of pressure of the Alabama if offense by completing some passes. The Alabama passing game has not been very strong over the 2nd half of the season which is disappointing with the outside presence of WR Julio Jones. Jones is a playmaker that has tremendous hands and speed to make big plays. However, he has been limited in touching the football in recent weeks. If McElroy can find Jones a few times this Friday it will go along way to helping the Crimson Tide cap off another perfect season. However, their defense still should make it very tough for Auburn to score points even if the passing game does not make any big plays and unless Ingram is shut down then the Crimson Tide should roll.
Pick – Alabama -12.5
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