NCAA Football Betting Preview
No. 20 Oklahoma Sooners (3-2) vs. No. 3 Texas Longhorns (5-0)
Saturday October 17th, 12:00PM Eastern
Betus.com betting line – Texas -3.5, 51 O/U
The Red River Rivalry takes center stage in college football this Saturday from the Cotton Bowl. The game has been highly anticipated and was once thought to be the game of the year heading into the season. However, Oklahoma has shockingly been beaten twice this year which has taken some of the national importance off this year’s showdown. Although Oklahoma may be out of the National Championship picture, the Longhorns are very much in it. Oklahoma gets the chance to derail the Longhorns path to glory while putting their selves in control of the Big 12 South. However, all the importance of a win for both teams is just the extra incentive to the rivalry. These two schools own one of the biggest and most hated rivalries in the country and losing to the other is not an option.
The good news for Oklahoma despite their 2-2 start is that Sam Bradford is back behind center. Bradford made his return from a shoulder injury last week that kept him off the field for nearly a month. The former Heisman winner posted solid numbers expectedly in the 33-7 route over Baylor. The Sooners quarterback completed 27 of 49 for a whopping 389 yards. The return puts some much needed faith back into the young offense as they try make up for the early losses this season by staying unbeaten in conference play. The passing offense has not been as strong as advertise due to the young receivers, but are starting to come around.
Ryan Broyles has been a scoring machine with 7 touchdown receptions on the season and continues to be the most consistent playmakers. The Sooners have also run the ball seemingly more than expected. However, they own the best tandem of tailbacks in the nation in DeMarco Murray and Chris Brown. Murray leads the team with 381 rushing yards with Brown trailing closely at 363 on the season. Both tailbacks have 3 scores this season a piece and maintain a solid 4.7 and 5.3 yards per carry averages. There are wide array of folks who think the Sooners running game could give them the edge this Saturday. One thing that is for sure is that a win would really help soothe the two losses earlier this season.
The Longhorns on the other hand are on the hunt for a National Championship after being left out last year when they fell behind Oklahoma in the last week of the BCS Standings. It was an unjustified BCS error considering the Longhorns beat Oklahoma 45-35 at least that’s the case if you ask the state of Texas. However, the Longhorns look to put them past them and stay on the unbeaten path this Saturday. The Longhorns got off to a slow start in last week’s win over Colorado before catching fire to win 38-14. QB Colt McCoy perhaps has performed better than any of the other returning Heisman finalist from 2008 this year. McCoy had a strong outing last week completing 32 of 39 passing for 265 yards and is a big reason the Longhorns sports the number 1 scoring offense averaging a huge 47 points per game on the season.
If the Longhorns are to get the job done again this year, they will have to get help from WR Jordan Shipley. Shipley returned this season after receiving a medical hardship giving him an extra year of eligibility which was a big gift to Texas. The Longhorns lost some big names to the wide receiving core last year and outside of Shipley the group has not been very productive. Shipley has been able to capture over 47 receptions this season ranking 2nd in the country which has resulted 583 yards and 3 scores. WR Dan Buckner has also been pretty solid with 333 yards and 4 scores, but there is not much behind those two star wide outs. The Longhorns will look for these 3 playmakers to lead the passing game in efforts to what would be their biggest win of the season. However, in a rivalry anything can and will happen.
Betting Trends –
Oklahoma is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on the road while reaching the over in 5 of the last 6 games on the road as well. Texas is just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home. The Longhorns have reached the under in 6 of the last 8 games.
Pick – Over 51