NFL Football Betting Preview
Oakland Raiders (3-7) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3)
Thursday November 26th, 4:15PM Eastern
Betus.com betting line – Dallas -13.5, 40.5 O/U
The Dallas Cowboys trailed the Washington Redskins for nearly the entire game in last week’s match-up, before Tony Romo escaped pressure and hooked up with WR Patrick Crayton for the go ahead touchdown with just 2:41 to go in the game. The Cowboys touchdown was all that was needed to improve to 7-3 on the season as they held on to beat the Redskins 7-6.
Dallas now has the luxury of hosting the Oakland Raiders for their annual Thanksgiving Day tradition in attempt to put a little more distance on the rest of the NFC East. Fortunately, for the Cowboys they may not have to score many points again this Thursday and they will take on the worse scoring offense in the NFL that is averaging just 10.8 points per game. However, the Raiders did surprisingly upset the Bengals last week 20-17 and they will look for another huge type upset as they will enter the event as near two touchdown underdogs.
The last time these two teams meet was all the way back in the 2005 season when Kerry Collins led Oakland to a 19-13 victory over the Cowboys. The Raiders will be in search for similar results this weekend as they attempt to climb out of the pits of the AFC West. QB Bruce Gradkowski replaced JaMarcus Russell as the starter last week in their victory against Cincinnati. Gradkowski completed 17 of 34 passes for 183 yards 2 scores and 1 interception. While the numbers were not eye popping, they definitely were a sight better than Russell had produced in recent weeks.
Gradkowski will be the starter again this week and it will be very interesting to see how he withstands the Cowboys relentless pass rush. The problem for the Raiders is they simply do not have any type of player that is a go to guy that the offense can rely on. The receiving core is full of rookies and only tight end Zach Miller has had any type of production with 34 catches for 495 yards. The Raiders must find some answers to the offensive problems and they hope Gradkowski is the solution.
The Cowboys offense attempted to go back to the ground attack last week against the Redskins. Felix Jones started carrying the load with 10 carries for 49 yards and Marion Barber relieved those efforts through the latter part of the game with 20 carries for 99 yards. However when it came down to win the game, Romo led the passing offense down the field for the game winning drive. It will be up to Romo to attack through the air and take the Raiders out of the game early. Romo has racked up 2,624 yards this season with 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. If he can hook up with Miles Austin and Patrick Crayton for some early scores, the Cowboys defense can take care of the rest while also allowing the running backs to finish off the Raiders defense.
Betting Trends –
Dallas is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games at home while reaching the over total in 4 of the last 6 games and also 9-2 SU in their last 11 games at home. The Raiders are just 6-19 in their last 25 games SU on the road. However, Oakland holds a 5-2 advantage in their last 7 games against the Cowboys.
Pick – Cowboys defense causes turnovers and nightmares for Gradkowski. Dallas -13.5