Oklahoma State Cowboys
(4-0, 3-1 ATS)
Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns
(2-2, 2-2 ATS)
Traveling to take on Sun Belt schools is always something dangerous for a BCS conference team to do, but that’s the task that the Oklahoma State Cowboys are going to be in for on Friday night when they take on the Louisiana Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns at Cajuns Field in college football betting action.
There might not be an offense that has impressed more this year than that of Oklahoma State. The numbers that this team has been putting up week in and week out have been absurd. QB Brandon Weeden has thrown for 1,259 yards and 13 scores, while RB Kendall Hunter has rushed for 574 yards and eight TDs of his own. No one can stop WR Justin Blackmon either, as he has 34 catches, 558 yards, and nine scores in just four games! Needless to say, Okie State ranks in the Top 3 in the land in total offense (534.8 YPG), passing offense (364.8 YPG), and scoring average (52.2 PPG). Last week’s 38-35 win over the Texas A&M Aggies was the “worst” offense output of the season. It wasn’t the worst defensive performance, though. Another Sun Belt team, the Troy Trojans, nearly pulled off the upset in Stillwater earlier this year, losing 41-38.
The Ragin’ Cajuns have to face the simple fact that they are outmatched in this game, and if they are going to stand a chance at pulling off the upset, they’re going to need to be at the top of their game and be very, very lucky as well. The offense just isn’t good enough to keep up with the Pokes, so QB Chris Masson is going to have to take good care of the football and not force any mistakes. He is completing 51.5 percent of his passes for 721 yards and does have a solid 5/1 TD/INT ratio on the season. However, he’ll need some help at some point from at least one or two of his backs. This is a team that prefers to throw the football, and as a result, the leading rusher has just 153 yards. RB Kevis Streeter is averaging 7.7 YPC this year, which is nice, but he is the only man that has more than three carries this season that is averaging more than four yards per tote of the football. The defense has allowed 35.0 points per game this year as well, and the only time that a non-Sun Belt team was played, the Cajuns lost 55-7 to a 1-4 Georgia Bulldogs squad.
This might be the first time this year that the Pokes are going on the road, but we just can’t see them struggling. This line sort of implies that the Cowboys are allowing at least four TDs on the day, and there just isn’t enough offense there for the Ragin’ Cajuns to pull that off, even at home. The best case scenario is a narrow cover for ULL. We’ll back the team that isn’t just “hoping” to hang on.
Selection: Oklahoma State Cowboys -24