MLB Pick: Orioles vs. Giants 8/10/13
Date/Time: August 10th, 4:05 PM ET
MLB Betting Odds from BetOnline Sportsbook
Probable Starters: Chen (Baltimore) vs. Gaudin (San Francisco)
Moneyline: Orioles -122
The streaking Baltimore Orioles are trying to get back in the thick of the fight in the AL East, but they have a tough series out West against the San Francisco Giants that they are going to have to win if they want to make up ground.
The O’s are winners of each of their first three games on this road trip, and they are hoping to keep that up here in San Fran. The team has been producing runs left and right, scoring 19 runs in those three games. If LHP Wei-Yin Chen continues to pitch like he has, all those runs won’t be needed in this game. Chen is 6-4 in his 13 starts this year with a 2.95 ERA. The team is only giving him 3.7 runs per game of support, and in spite of the fact, he is making those runs stand up. Chen has allowed exactly three runs over the course of each of his last three starts, and he has pitched either 7.0 or 7.1 innings in each of those games. Chen has been the picture of consistency for sure for Baltimore, and he is going to hope to continue to take the team to the next level for the rest of this season.
The Giants just can’t score runs right now, and they are certainly just playing out the string for the rest of the season. The team is now 13-games below .500 and has a losing record at home after losing on Friday night to the O’s. San Francisco has gone eight straight games scoring four runs or fewer, and that’s why all of the ‘totals’ are staying relatively low in these games. The team is only averaging 3.57 runs per nine innings this year against left-handed pitching. RHP Chad Gaudin will start tonight, and he has surprisingly been one of the most effective starters that Manager Bruce Bochy has had at his disposal this season. Gaudin has allowed one earned run or fewer in six of his last seven starts, and though he doesn’t typically pitch deep into games, he does set up his bullpen well. The converted reliever is 5-2 on the season with a 2.56 ERA. This is only his 11th start of the season after 18 relief appearances.
We just don’t see where the runs are coming from in this one. Even if Baltimore does ultimately find a way to put four or five up against Gaudin, the ‘under’ still isn’t totally out of play. There is a reason that the ‘total’ is this low, and with the way that San Fran has been going, we don’t think that number is low enough.
Baltimore Orioles @ San Francisco Giants Pick: Under 7