Sunday, Oct. 27, 8:30 p.m. (ET)
Pointspread: Green Bay -10
Total Line: 46.5
The Packers got off to a shaky start with two straight-up losses in their first three games, but a current three-game winning streak has them back on familiar ground atop the standings in the NFC North. Last Sunday they rolled over Cleveland 31-13 as 7.5-point home favorites after holding on to beat Baltimore 19-17 the week before as one-point favorites on the road. Overall, Green Bay is now 4-2 both SU and against the spread with the total staying UNDER in its last three games.
Aaron Rodgers continues to throw the ball all over the field with 1,906 passing yards and 13 touchdowns. He recently lost two of his key targets in Jeremichael Finley, who is out indefinitely with a neck injury and Randall Cobb, who broke his fibula, but the big difference with the Packers’ offense is a new found running game. Led by rookie running back Eddie Lacy, Green Bay is averaging 134.7 rushing yards a game. Another plus during this recent three-game run has been the elevated play on defense. The Packers have allowed a combined 39 points in their last three games.
Minnesota’s season has gone from bad to worse with this past Monday night’s 23-7 loss to a Giants’ team that had lost its first six games of the year. The Vikings failed to cover as four-point road underdogs and the total stayed well UNDER the 47.5-point line. They are now 1-5 SU on the year and 2-4 ATS. The total actually went OVER in their first five games behind a defense that is allowing an average of 30.2 points a game.
Trying to solve their woes at the quarterback position, the Vikings decided to sign Josh Freeman after he was abruptly released by Tampa Bay. He got the start against New York and the rust from an extended layoff was apparent with a dismal performance in which he completed just 39 percent of his throws. He did suffer a concussion in that game, so the Vikings will turn the reins back over to Christian Ponder for Sunday night. Look for Minnesota to try and establish the running game behind a heavy dose of Adrian Peterson, but that could be easier said then done.
Free NFL Pick
The Packers are a team on the rise despite some injury concerns, while Minnesota continues to prove that last season’s 10-6 mark was just a fluke. Adrian Peterson running the ball is not going to get it done against Green Bay. I am more than willing to lay the 10 points on the road to take the Packers as the free NFL pick in this one.
Green Bay 28 Minnesota 13
DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for BangTheBook.com as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.