New England Patriots vs. Carolina Panthers Monday Night Football Prop Picks

Bet at 5dimesIt’s Monday night, and that means that there is just one more game with which to handicap on the NFL card. The Carolina Panthers will play host to the New England Patriots in this edition of Monday Night Football, and we have some great MNF props covered so you can find an alternative way to beat the NFL betting lines in this one.

Tom Brady Passing Yards Over 265.5 – It is clear that Brady is a heck of a lot more confident now that he has TE Rob Gronkowski back in the fold. He threw for 432 yards in his most recent game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, and there is a great chance that he has at least 270 yards in him in this one. Remember, this is a man who averaged over 315 passing yards per game in 2011 and 2012, and there is no reason not to think that he is going to end up with at least somewhere near that amount this year when push comes to shove. The Carolina defense is good, but it has been doing the job shutting down opposing running games. With two weeks to prepare for this one, Head Coach Bill Belichick has clearly designed the scheme that is going to get Brady moving the ball up and down the field on Monday night.

Rob Gronkowski Over 82.5 Receiving Yards & Over 6.5 Receptions – Both of these props are -130, and they both go hand in hand. The Arizona grad has put up 114, 27, and 143 yards in his three games back in the fold this year, and he hasn’t even really had a chance to play full bore at this point yet. He has had a bye week to get the rest of the way healthy, and he should have at least 100 yards in this one as well. Remember, that one dud of a game which the Patriots played against the Miami Dolphins came in a game where Brady only put the ball in the air 22 times. Gronkowski is going to have a tough cover in this one against some of the awesome linebackers in the Carolina front seven. However, he has found ways to get loose against literally everyone else which he has faced this year, and we expect that he is going to do so again in this one.

Cam Newton Interceptions Under 0.5 – This seems to be about a 50/50 proposition to us, and we think that Newton has done a really nice job of taking care of the football for the most part. Yes, he has three picks in his last two games, but they aren’t all his fault. Prior to that, the former top pick in the NFL Draft had four straight games without an interception, and that’s the Newton that we are expecting to see in this game. Don’t be shocked if Head Coach Ron Rivera tries to get Newton doing more with his legs and his plethora of backs in the backfield than he does with his arm, and if Carolina is really going to win this game, we don’t think that Newton is going to be putting the pill in the air all that much.

Panthers To Score the Longest Touchdown of the Game – At -115, we think we have a great price here. The Panthers have scored at least one touchdown of at least 27 yards in four of their last five games, and there is a great chance that they’ll get one past this New England defense as well. Carolina has the more explosive return game, and it has a defense which is more likely to return a turnover to the house, and those are where your really long touchdowns come from. On top of that, we have seen Newton uncork some tremendous bombs down the field in the past, typically to WR Steve Smith, and there is always the threat that that is going to be where the long TD comes from. Someone is going to bust a long one in this game, and there is a great chance that it is going to be a Carolina player which gets the job done.

Total Quarterback Sacks Under 5.5 – These two teams have only allowed a combined 51 sacks this year in 10 games apiece, and to think that the two combined are going to get to six in this one is preposterous. New England ranks 29th in the game when it comes to stopping the run, and Rivera and the Panthers know just that. There will be a conscious effort to run the pill quite a bit, and the passes that Newton throws are going to be ones where he doesn’t have to do a whole heck of a lot. If Rivera keeps Newton out of trouble, that means that we would be banking on Brady getting sacked at least four or five times in this game. We’re definitely not willing to go so far as to say that the Panthers have a defense that can’t get five sacks on the future Hall of Famer, but more often than not, we know that they aren’t going to get the job done if that’s the number they really have to beat.

Adam Markowitz

is a staff writer living in the Orlando area. He has covered NFL, MLB, college football, CFL, AFL, NBA, college basketball, NASCAR, golf, tennis, and the NHL for a number of various outlets in his career, and he has been published by a number of different media outlets, including the Orlando Sentinel and the Wall Street Journal.