Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Trends and Free Pick



Penn State Nittany Lions
(6-3, 4-5 ATS)

Ohio State Buckeyes
(8-1, 7-2 ATS)

Arch rivals that have a heck of a history with one another crack skulls at the Horseshoe in Columbus, as the Ohio State Buckeyes try to tame the Penn State Nittany Lions in NCAA football betting action.

HC Joe Paterno made the decision that QB Robert Bolden probably isn’t ready for this type of a game on Saturday, so he is turning the reins to his team over to QB Matthew McGloin. McGloin came in three games ago against the Minnesota Golden Gophers and threw for two TDs right now. The sophomore then fired back against the Michigan Wolverines and Northwestern Wildcats and combined for 475 yards and five scores, leading the Nittany Lions to wins in both games. The ball will be back in his hands, where he will try to guide PSU to a fourth straight win both SU and against the college football odds. Defensively, this was supposed to be one of the better units in the Big Ten, but it just hasn’t panned out that way. The Nittany Lions have allowed at least 21 points in five straight games after holding teams to just a total of 51 points in their first four. This is a unit that has definitely been shaky at best at times. If any of that shakiness shows, the Buckeyes are probably going to take full advantage of the situation.

We really don’t know why in the heck the Buckeyes are getting absolutely no respect in the polls, as they really haven’t done much of anything wrong this year. QB Terrelle Pryor is still one of the most dangerous weapons in the nation, and he is still fighting for the Heisman Trophy this year. Pryor is just one completion away from 2,000 passing yards on the season, and he has 463 more yards and a total of 24 TDs on the campaign. RB Daniel Herron has rushed for 634 yards and a dozen scores as well. Parlay all that together with the best defense amongst BCS conference teams, as only the TCU Horned Frogs and Boise State Broncos rank out higher than does Ohio State on ‘D’. Teams are averaging just 233.8 yards and 13.6 points per game, both of which rank No. 3 in the country, but we still know that special teams have directly provided an extra almost four points per game that this defense is not allowing. Six of the nine foes to face the Buckeyes this year have been held to ten points or less, and if that continues, so will their streak of consecutive ‘W’ at the Horseshoe.

The equation in this one is relatively simple. Forget about the names of the players on the field for a second. The Nittany Lions are just 1-2 on the road this year, and the two times that they have played legitimate opponents, they’ve gotten spanked by identical 24-3 score lines by the Iowa Hawkeyes and Alabama Crimson Tide. Ohio State has played six games at home this year. Six wins. Six covers. Make it seven of each on Saturday.

College Football Free Pick: Ohio State Buckeyes -18.5

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