November 30, 2008

Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots Pick and Preview

NFL Betting Preview
 Pittsburgh Steelers (8-3) at New England Patriots (7-4)

Sunday, 4:15 pm Eastern – CBS

 

SBG Global Opening Line: Patriots  -  1   ,  Total  39.5

 

A marquee matchup is set for Sunday afternoon as the New England Patriots host the Pittsburgh Steelers.  Last year the Patriots routed the Steelers 34-13 but both teams are different this season.  The Steelers lead the AFC North by a game over Baltimore while New England is a game behind the New York Jets in the AFC East. SBG Global reports that early NFL betting has the public taking Steelers on the Road.

 

Pittsburgh has lost six of the last seven meetings against New England but still leads the all-time series 13-10.  Pittsburgh has the top ranked defense in the league but they should get tested by a New England offense that is suddenly rolling under quarterback Matt Cassel.  He has thrown six touchdowns over the last two weeks.  The key to the game could be New England’s pass protection.  The Steelers lead the AFC with 37 sacks.

 

A big part of this game on Sunday could be the injury situation.  Pittsburgh running back Willie Parker is questionable.  The Steelers also might be without defensive end Brett Keisel, cornerback Deshea Townsend, cornerback Bryant McFadden and left tackle Marvel Smith.  There is no time to rest for the Steelers who play the NFL’s toughest schedule that doesn’t get any easier.  They have the Cowboys, Ravens and Titans the next three weeks. “I didn’t care about the schedule in March. I don’t care about the schedule now,” head coach Mike Tomlin said. “I really don’t. We play New England this week and that’s where we’re at. And that’s where our attention needs to be. I can care less what’s going to happen in the upcoming month or the subsequent weeks. That’s never been our mentality and won’t be.”

 

Here are the NFL betting stats for Sunday’s game. The Steelers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings between the two teams. The Steelers are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

 

The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the AFC. The Patriots are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.

 

SBG Global Current Line: Patriots  -  1   ,  Total  39.5

The Over is 5-1 in the Steelers last 6 vs. the AFC. The Under is 8-2-2 in the Patriots last 12 home games. The Under is 9-3-2 in the Patriots last 14 vs. the AFC. The Under is 13-5 in the Patriots last 18 games in November. The Under is 11-5-2 in the Patriots last 18 games overall. The Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between the two teams.

 

Pick: Patriots 3 out of 5 units

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