Ravens vs. Lions Monday Night Football Prop Picks
It’s Monday night, and that means that there is just one more game with which to handicap on the NFL card. The Detroit Lions will play host to the Baltimore Ravens in this edition of Monday Night Football, and we have some great MNF props covered so you can find an alternative way to beat the NFL betting lines in this one.
Ray Rice Under 54.5 Rushing Yards – It just seems to be the really sharp play, to be honest with you. Most are going to remember the Ray Rice of the past, who would seemingly get to 55 yards on the ground by halftime of every single game, and it wouldn’t be all that shocking to us if he did it again in this one. But there aren’t many players who have done less with his opportunities this year than Rice, partially thanks to his offensive line play and partially thanks to the fact that he just isn’t as explosive as he once was. It’s going to be tough for him to get through a Detroit front line which is surprisingly one of the best in football.
Matthew Stafford Under 300.5 Passing Yards – Once again, this is a matter of doing the sharp thing for sure. The Lions have thrown the ball a ton of late, and if you take out the snow game last week against the Philadelphia Eagles, what’s left is a man in Stafford who has five games with at least 297 yards in his last six games. However, these Ravens have played some of their best defense of the season in the last month and a half or so, and we have a tough time believing that they are going to let Stafford reach the 300+ yard mark once again more often than not.
Longest Field Goal of the Game Over 45.5 Yards – This is a simple one now that we are back playing indoors and neither of these teams have to worry about Mother Nature as they did last week when they both played in wickedly brutal snow games. Believe it or not, K David Akers only has two games this year in which he has longer than a 45 yard field goal, but this one is about K Justin Tucker, not about Akers. Tucker has been a man amongst boys out there, and until last week’s game – again, in the midst of a horrid snowstorm – he had six straight games with at least one field goal of at least 46 yards. This was a foolishly placed prop, and it is one which deserves to be taken advantage of on Monday Night Football.
Baltimore Ravens To Score First (+130) – Little known fact about the Ravens: They’ve scored first in four consecutive games. Give QB Joe Flacco some credit for the way that he is starting out games, knowing that he is routinely getting the job done on his first or second drive of the game. Of course, Detroit has generally been a high flying team out of the blocks as well, especially last week when it jumped out to a 14-0 lead over the Eagles. Still, for the price, and knowing that we are dealing with a Baltimore team which knows what it is like to play in big games against a Detroit team which we aren’t sure if it can play under the spotlight or not, we’ll take our chances that the Ravens score first.
Nate Burleson Under 42.5 Receiving Yards – Burleson has more or less been nowhere since coming back from his broken arm. He came right out of the blocks and had seven catches for 77 yards and a TD in the loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but since that point, he has just two total catches for 18 yards. We’re seeing more out of WR Kris Durham than we really thought we would have been hearing, and we aren’t all that sure that Burleson is going to get that many looks in this game either. The opportunities could be limited unless a ton of coverage is rolled to the side of WR Calvin Johnson (not that that ever stopped Megatron before), and the Ravens really might completely shut down all of the other receiving options which Stafford has.
Nate Burleson Under 3.5 Receptions – See above.
Brandon Pettigrew To Not Score a Touchdown (-215) – It’s chalky, yes, but in the end, we have to play the percentages. Even though the Ravens have had all sorts of troubles defending tight ends, especially near the end zone, Pettigrew just doesn’t see the ball enough in the red zone to make us concerned. TE Joseph Fauria is the man of the hour in the red zone, and he has six scores on just 11 receptions. Pettigrew is a between the 20s type of tight end, as he has 39 catches and just two scores in 13 games. This price is insinuating that Pettigrew is going to find the end zone in at least one out of three games, and we just don’t see it happening, regardless of what the situation is.