Red Sox vs. Cardinals Game 4 Picks 10/27/13
Date/Time: October 27th, 8:15 PM ET
MLB Betting Odds from BetOnline Sportsbook
Probable Starters: Buchholz (Boston) vs. Lynn (St. Louis)
Moneyline: St. Louis -107
The pivotal fourth game of the World Series takes place on Sunday night at historic Busch Stadium, where the St. Louis Cardinals are looking to pull just one win away from their 12th World Series ring at the expense of the Boston Red Sox.
Boston fan isn’t all that happy this morning, as an obstruction call took away the chance to take the 2-1 series lead. However, when you really look back at it, Game 3 was a game that the Red Sox chased all night long. They were down 2-0, scratched back two runs, immediately gave up two more runs, got two more back, and finally blew it once and for all in the ninth. The Sox committed two errors, two more than St. Louis committed, and the team only managed six hits, half of what the Cards had for the evening. Now, it’s up to perhaps the shakiest of all of the Boston pitchers right now, RHP Clay Buchholz to get the job done in Game 4. Buchholz hasn’t really had a great start in over a month, as he has allowed at least two earned runs in five straight outings. He isn’t getting away with what he was getting away with in the regular season, and it is really coming back to bite him in the backside here in the playoffs. The good news is that the last start he was in against the Detroit Tigers, Buchholz didn’t allow a home run, but he gave up five in three starts prior to that.
The Cardinals haven’t been flashy here in the second season, but they have been finding ways to get the job done. It goes all the way back to Game 4 of the NLDS against the Pittsburgh Pirates when they scratched out a 2-1 victory, and it ran all the way through the NLCS and now here in the Fall Classic. The names you would expect to be stepping up are doing just that, as C Yadier Molina had three hits last night, while OF Matt Holliday had two hits and three RBIs and 1B Allen Craig came off the bench to pitch hit and did his job, eventually scoring a run. RHP Lance Lynn made two appearances in the NLCS against the Los Angeles Dodgers, once in relief and once as a starter. In the two outings, Lynn allowed just two runs on seven hits in 7.1 innings combined, and though those aren’t fantastic numbers for this time of year, they are definitely good enough to keep him in the rotation. This is a man that had 11 wins by the end of June though, so it was a little disappointing that he only went 15-10 for the campaign.
We have a lot more confidence right now in Lynn than we do in Buchholz. We would have seriously considered taking Buchholz out of the rotation on Sunday and letting someone… anyone else pitch. Perhaps LHP Felix Doubront? As it is though, Lynn is the better of the two arms on the mound at the moment, and we think that the Cards are really working hard towards winning the World Series. They have the better of the two teams right now and will win more often than they lose on Sunday.
Boston Red Sox @ St. Louis Cardinals Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -107