Sacramento Kings vs. Boston Celtics NBA Betting Prediction

kings celtics nba predictionNBA Odds: Kings (-3)

The Boston Celtics head to Sleep Train Arena to take on the Sacramento Kings. The game starts at 10:00 pm ET on Friday, Feb. 20 and will air on CSN-NE and CSN-CA.

The Kings were beaten by the Bucks 111-103 the last time they played. DeMarcus Cousins recorded 28 points and 19 rebounds, earning his 33rd double-double of the year. The Celtics, meanwhile, are coming off an 89-88 win over the Hawks in their last outing. Jared Sullinger played well, posting 17 points and 15 rebounds to claim his 12th double-double of the season.

Over the last five games, Sullinger has been on fire for the Celtics. During that stretch, he has averaged 18.4 points, 9.2 rebounds, 4.2 assists, 1.0 steal, 0.6 blocks, and 0.8 three-pointers.

This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Celtics won the first game 106-84. Sullinger played a huge role in the victory by recording a double-double with 20 points and 11 rebounds.

Sacramento, a three-point favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Boston. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is presently unavailable. The Kings enter the game with records of 18-34 Straight Up (SU) and 21-29-2 Against The Spread (ATS). In their last 10 games they are 3-7 ATS. The Kings are a phenomenal shooting team from the line with an NBA-best 1,181 free throws made (22.7 per game). Turning to the defensive side, the Kings have stifled opponents’ efforts from beyond the arc, allowing a three-point field goal percentage of only .334.

On the other side, the Celtics head into the game with records of 29-22 ATS and 20-31 SU. Boston has done particularly well ATS over its past ten matchups, going 8-2. Defenses have a tough time accounting for every player when up against the Celtics, who are known for distributing the ball with 24.5 assists per game.

Following the Celtics’ latest win over Sacramento, their SU record rises to 7-3 over the Kings in the last 10 games. The teams have an even record ATS, 5-5. Boston had the advantage in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) three times over the last 10. Sacramento has had the edge in all categories twice.

Predictions: SU Winner – BOS, ATS Winner – BOS

Notes

Sacramento puts up an average of 100.0 points per game (ranked 16th). Boston ranks 25th in points allowed per game with 102.3.

On average, Sacramento puts up 100.6 points per home game (ranked 18th). Boston ranks 22nd in points allowed per road game with 102.5.

The Boston Celtics won their last game by a one-point margin. In games decided by a margin of three points or less, the Sacramento Kings are 5-4. Boston is 4-6 in close games this season.

When allowing fewer than 100 points, the Celtics are 15-5 on the season. When the Kings score fewer than 100, they are an underachieving 5-19.

Boston is a subpar 5-26 when it gives up 100 or more points. Sacramento has a 13-15 record when it hits triple digits.

The Kings have a defensive rating of 105.5 (ranked 26th), while the Celtics rank 20th for their offensive rating of 101.1.

Sacramento has an average field goal percentage of 45.1%. Boston is an abysmal 5-22 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.

On average, the Sacramento Kings attempt 15.8 three point field goals per game and the Boston Celtics attempt 23.4 per game. In games where they attempt at least 25 threes, Sacramento is an even 1-1, while Boston has a poor record of 6-11.

Sacramento has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.23 this season (ranked 29th). Boston ranks higher with an A/TO of 1.78 (ranked seventh).

The Sacramento Kings rebound 44.6 times per game and are ranked eighth. Ranked 13th, the Boston Celtics rebound 43.8 times per game.

The Boston Celtics rank 15th in offensive rebounding, while the Sacramento Kings rank seventh in defensive rebounding.

Sacramento has forced an average turnover percentage of 12.1% this season. Boston has a subpar 13-21 record when its TOV% is 12.1% or higher.

Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.