November 17, 2012

San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos Pick

NFL Picks


San Diego Chargers
Denver Broncos

Date/Time: Sunday, Nov.18 4:25 pm EST

Television: CBS

NFL Odds from Bookmaker

Point Spread: Broncos -8

Total: 48


NFL Betting Game Trends

San Diego Chargers

  • San Diego is 7-11-4 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Denver
  • San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
  • San Diego is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Denver
  • San Diego is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver

Denver Broncos

  • Denver is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against San Diego
  • Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
  • Denver is 1-4-3 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Diego
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego


NFL Pick – Week 11

The San Diego Chargers are off to another one of their patented slow starts. Once again the hot seat is getting really hot for Norv Turner. Denver is off to a 6-3 start under the direction of quarterback Peyton Manning. The Broncos beat the Chargers last month in San Diego after trailing 24-0 at halftime, so they’ll be looking for the season sweep in this one.

Game Overview:

Phillip Rivers had an extremely disappointing season last year, and it has been more of the same so far this year. Rivers has had some silly costly turnovers that have really hurt his team in key moments. For the season, Rivers has thrown 15 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. He has a quarterback rating of 89.3. In the team’s first meeting with Denver, Rivers threw four interceptions. Malcolm Floyd has become his favorite target on the outside. Antonio Gates has struggled again this year with his health, and he has just 28 receptions on the season. Ryan Matthews is running well now that he is healthy. The Chargers are 22nd in the NFL in total offense.

San Diego’s defense has been pretty good this year. The Chargers are terrific against the run, but they are only mediocre against the pass. In the first meeting against Denver, the Chargers stopped the run very well, but Peyton Manning threw for 309 yards and three touchdowns. The Chargers will have to get some more pressure on Manning in this game. San Diego is giving up 21.2 points per game.

Peyton Manning has been superb in his first season with the Denver Broncos. The questions about how Manning would fare coming off a major injury have been answered in a big way. He has thrown 21 touchdowns and just six interceptions this season. Manning is completing 70 percent of his passes, and he has a terrific quarterback rating of 108.0. As you would expect from Manning, he has been spreading the ball around very well. Six Broncos players have at least 23 receptions this year. Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker have been his top targets. Willis McGahee is having a resurgent season in the backfield, which helps keep the defense honest. Denver is putting up 30.1 points per game, which is second best in the NFL.

The Broncos defense has a scary combination of pass rushers with Von Miller and Elvis Dumervil on the outside of the defense. Miller already has ten sacks on the year, while Dumervil has seven. Champ Bailey is still one of the best cover corners in the league, and the Broncos have been solid in all aspects of the game on this side of the ball. Denver is allowing 21 points per game.

Free NFL Pick: Over 48

Both offenses should be able to move the ball, and both defenses are capable of getting a defensive touchdown or two as well. Look for a higher scoring game than most expect.

Broncos 31 Chargers 23

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Kyle Hunter

is full-timesports writer and sports handicapper. You simply won’t find someone who loves sports more than Kyle. Kyle considers college football and college basketball his two favorite sports. Kyle has earned many accolades for his highly successful handicapping, and he writes full-time for many top sports websites. Keep an eye out for high quality free sports analysis from Kyle!

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