SEC Football Week 4 Handicapping Guide
SEC Football Week 4 Handicapping Guide
The SEC enters Week 4 of the college football season with six teams ranked in the latest AP Top 25 poll. Tennessee dropped out after its 37-20 loss to Florida as a three-point favorite at home but the Gators moved to No.14. No.5 Georgia and No.7 South Carolina are the other two teams ranked in the East Division while the West has No.1 Alabama, No.2 LSU and No.23 Mississippi State. The following is a look at a couple of the top matchups for Week 4 in the SEC along with betting lines as provided by 5Dimes.
Missouri Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (-10)
Missouri came up woefully short in its first ever SEC opener in Week 2 with a 41-20 loss to Georgia as a one-point underdog at home. It now has to go on the road for the first time this season as a 10-point underdog. The Tigers are 2-1straight-up on the year and ranked 37th in the nation in scoring with an average of 35.3 points a game.
The Gamecocks struggled to get by Vanderbilt in their SEC opener but have rolled over East Carolina and UAB by a combined score of 97-16 in their last two games. Quarterback Conner Shaw has been hampered with a sore shoulder, but running back Marcus Lattimore has returned to form with a total of 235 yards rushing in the first three games.
The Tigers are 1-5 against the spread in their last six games following a SU win, while South Carolina is 4-0 ATS in its last four following one. The total has gone OVER in five of Missouri’s last seven road games and in six of the Gamecocks last eight games in September.
LSU Tigers (-18.5) vs. Auburn Tigers
LSU has not scored less than 40 points and has not given-up more than 14 in its first three games, so the balance on both sides of the ball that was present last season is clearly back again this year. Kenny Hilliard and Alfred Blue have already combined for 573 yards rushing and eight touchdowns on the ground.
Auburn started the season with an eight-point loss to No.10 Clemson as a two-point underdog at home. It lost its SEC opener to Mississippi State 28-10 as a three-point underdog on the road. Only two years removed from winning a national title, these Tigers are barely a middle-of-road team in the high-powered SEC.
The home team in this series is 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four. LSU is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games in Auburn and the total has stayed UNDER in five of those games. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 12 meetings overall.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Georgia Bulldogs (-14)
Vanderbilt’s near miss against South Carolina at home was followed by a stunning 23-13 loss to Northwestern as a three-point favorite on the road. The Commodores are averaging 191 yards a game on the ground led by running back Zac Stacy’s 258 yards on 48 carries.
Georgia continues to move up the ranks and cracked the top five with a 56-20 pasting of Florida Atlantic but it could not cover as a 41.5-point favorite at home. The Bulldogs’ running game is even more productive than Vandy’s with an average of 222.7 yards a game. Todd Gurley leads the team in rushing with 276 yards on just 28 carries.
The Commodores are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on the road and the Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. Georgia has won nine of the last 10 meetings SU, but the series is tied at five games apiece ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.
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