October 23, 2012

SEC Football Week 9 Handicapping Guide

Alabama continued its march to the SEC title game and possible berth in the BCS championship with another blow-out win to remain the top-ranked team in the nation. Florida is right behind the Tide at No.2 after an impressive rout of South Carolina. The Gamecocks fell all the way to No.13 in the latest BCS poll, while LSU remained at No.6 and Georgia climbed back into the top 10 at No.10. The surprising Mississippi State Bulldogs are hanging tough at No.11 and Texas A&M fell to No.20 after losing to LSU.

The following is a look at a couple of the top matchups for Week 9 in the SEC along with betting lines as provided by 5Dimes.

Tennessee Volunteers vs. No.13 South Carolina Gamecocks (-14) -Saturday, Oct.27, 12 p.m.

Tennessee’s fast start has become a distant memory with three-straight losses that have it 3-4 straight-up and 2-5 against the spread. The Volunteers have covered just once in their last six games and the total has gone OVER in their last five. South Carolina is also reeling after back-to-back losses to LSU and Florida. The Gamecocks are now 6-2 both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in three of their last four games.

This series is tied at three games apiece SU in the last six meetings but Tennessee has a slight 4-2 edge against the spread. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six games and the road team is 11-3-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings. The Volunteers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven trips to South Carolina and the total has stayed UNDER in three of the last five games overall.

No. 2 Florida Gators (-6) vs. No.10 Georgia Bulldogs -Saturday, Oct.27, 3:30 p.m.

Florida put itself in excellent position to win the SEC-East title with last Saturday’s romp of South Carolina and is now 7-0 (6-1 ATS) overall and 6-0 SU and ATS in conference play. Georgia bounced-back from a lopsided loss to the Gamecocks with a tight 29-24 win over Kentucky as a 25.5-point road underdog. The Bulldogs are now 6-1 SU but a costly 2-5 ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of those seven games.

The Gators are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played at a neutral site, while Georgia is 1-5 ATS in their last six neutral-site games. Head-to-head, Florida has won five of the last seven meetings SU and is 4-3 ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings and the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four games.

No.11 Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. No.1 Alabama Crimson Tide (-23.5) -Saturday, Oct.21, 8:30 p.m.

Mississippi State has very quietly compiled a 7-0 SU record (5-2 ATS) that includes victories over Auburn, Kentucky, and Tennessee as part of a very soft schedule so far. Alabama has yet to really be tested either on its way to a 7-0 SU (4-3 ATS) start. The spread has been greater than 19 points in six of the Tides’ first seven games.

The Bulldogs have lost the last four meetings SU but did cover last season as 17.5-point underdogs at home. The total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings. Mississippi State is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games overall with the total staying UNDER in seven of its last eight. Alabama is 1-5 ATS in its last six home games and the total has stayed UNDER in six of its last eight games at home.

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Dave Schwab

DJ is a freelance writer that concentrates on his true passion in life; the world of sports. He produces a number of articles each week for BangTheBook.com as well as a select group of other websites that specialize in providing the most up-to-date information for the sports gaming industry. His goal is to write insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player.

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