NCAA Football Betting Preview
South Carolina Gamecocks (6-3) at Arkansas Razorbacks (4-4)
Saturday November 7th, 12:20PM Eastern
Betus.com betting line – Arkansas -7
SEC action will kickoff early this Saturday when the Arkansas Razorbacks host the South Carolina Gamecocks from Donald W. Reynolds Stadium. The Razorbacks will be fighting to get back above the .500 mark behind the tenacious offense. The Gamecocks on the other hand have been heavily criticized after last week’s loss to Tennessee 31-13 and many are predicting the Gamecocks will encounter yet another late season collapse. However Coach Steve Spurrier has insisted that this will not be one of those years, and the Gamecocks emerging offense will try to rise to the challenge in Fayetteville this Saturday.
The Arkansas offense will be led by quarterback Ryan Mallett who has emerged into the SEC’s top star behind center. Mallett has thrown for 2,151 yards on the season while recording 21 touchdowns to just 3 interceptions. As a result, the Arkansas passing game ranks 14th nationally with the help of some great receivers for Mallett to target. WR Greg Childs leads the team with consistent big play capability averaging just less than 20 yards per receptions. Childs has racked up 594 yards on the season. Also, wide out Jarius Wright and Joes Adams have over 400 yards a piece. The Gamecocks secondary will have their hands full, but they have been solid as the nation’s 3rd ranked pass defense. However, the secondary is very young and it will be interesting to see how they handle their biggest challenge to date.
The Razorbacks defense has been the unit that has really held the team back this season. Despite posting the 7th ranked scoring offense with 36 points per game, the defense has allowed 28 points per game which is the main reason for the 4-4 record. The pass defense has been absolutely horrendous allowing 264 yards per game which ranks an embarrassing 116th in America. The Gamecocks offense has emerged into a legitimate passing threat which could complicate the defensive struggles, but the Razorbacks will need their defense to step up if they are to get the win.
Gamecocks quarterback Stephen Garcia has emerged into the SEC’s number 2 ranked quarterback behind Mallett. Garcia has posted two straight 300 yard performances for the first time in his career and has 12 touchdowns to just 5 interceptions. Of course the offense fuel has been fired by the emergence of some young talents from the receiving core. Freshman Alshon Jeffery has come out of nowhere to record over 400 yards and 4 touchdowns in recent weeks. Freshman Tori Gurley may not have posted huge numbers, but has consistently made some big plays along the way. The Gamecocks running game has given the team a big boost this season. Freshman Kenny Miles has taken over the leading role at running back with 454 yards this season, but the entire running game has not been up to standard in the last 3 games. The Gamecocks will need all their young guys to produce this weekend, and hope Garcia can inflict more damage to the Arkansas secondary.
Betting Trends –
South Carolina is 5-3 ATS this season, but has dropped 2 of their last 3 against the books. Arkansas is just 4-3 ATS this season while also going 4-3 favoring the over total on the year. However, Arkansas has done well against South Carolina in recent years. The Razorbacks have won 6 of the last 8 games and also won 6 of the last 8 games against the spread against the Gamecocks.
Pick – South Carolina defense the difference. Take SC +7