February 14, 2013

St. John’s Red Storm vs. Louisville Cardinals Pick

St. John’s vs Louisville Basketball Picks

Preview


St. John’s Red Storm
vs.
Louisville Cardinals

Date/Time: Thursday February 14, 9:00 pm EST

Television: ESPN

College Basketball Odds from Sportsbook.AG

Point Spread: Louisville -17.5

Total: 131.5

 

Basketball Betting Game Trends

St. John’s Red Storm

  • St. John’s is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
  • St. John’s is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Louisville

Louisville Cardinals

  • Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. John’s
  • Louisville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing St. John’s
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville’s last 7 games when playing St. John’s
  • Louisville is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games at home
  • Louisville is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Louisville is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games
  • Louisville is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

 

NCAA Basketball Pick

How will the Louisville Cardinals respond to being on the losing end of a five-overtime game at Notre Dame Saturday night? That game was an instant classic, and it always hurts bad to be on the losing end of that type of game, but those of you who watched the game know that Louisville had every chance to win that game. The Cardinals have lost four of their last seven games. St. John’s is 7-5 in the conference, so they are only half a game behind Louisville in the Big East standings.

Game Overview:

St. John’s has won six of their last eight games. They haven’t played part of their conference schedule yet, but for the Red Storm to be where they are right now tells you that this team has come a long ways in the past couple years. Coach Steve Lavin won’t be with the team in this one. He is with his family after his father passed away this past weekend.

The Red Storm are led by sophomore sensation D’Angelo Harrison. Harrison leads the team in scoring at 18.3 points per game. St. John’s is much better on the interior this year, and that is one major reason for this team’s improvement. A big reason for that improvement is freshman Jakarr Sampson. Sampson averages 14.8 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. He has scored in double figures in 11 straight games. Guard Jamal Branch has missed the last two games with a knee injury, and he is listed as questionable for this one. St. John’s struggles as a team from beyond the arc (30%), so they need to get the ball to the basket in order to stay close in this one.

Louisville was thought to be one of the top three or four teams in the country a few weeks ago, but now they are really struggling. There is still plenty of time for the Cardinals to get things turned back around, but they need to start getting it going. Russ Smith has proven to be a great play maker at times this year, but his decision making really cost the team the game at Notre Dame. Peyton Siva has to stay out of foul trouble and be the primary ball handler for this team. Chane Behanan had a career-high 30 points in the loss at Notre Dame, and he is looking more and more like a guy who could lead the team moving forward. As a team, Louisville’s biggest weakness is its outside shooting. The Cardinals shoot only 32.4% from beyond the arc.

Louisville has been one of the better teams in the Big East on the defensive end this year. Gorgui Dieng averages 2.6 blocks per game, and he alters all kinds of shots in the paint. The Cardinals have the ability to full court press or simply play great half court defense. Rick Pitino’s teams are always good on this side of the ball, and this team is no different. Opponents are averaging only 59.1 points per game this year.

Free Pick: Louisville -17.5

Louisville has blown out a lot of teams at home, and I tend to think they’ll be extremely motivated to get back on track in this one. Look for a big win for the Cardinals.

Louisville 74 St. John’s 54

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Kyle Hunter

is full-timesports writer and sports handicapper. You simply won’t find someone who loves sports more than Kyle. Kyle considers college football and college basketball his two favorite sports. Kyle has earned many accolades for his highly successful handicapping, and he writes full-time for many top sports websites. Keep an eye out for high quality free sports analysis from Kyle!

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